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BRSL vs HOG

BRSL
Brightstar Lottery PLC
BEARISH
Price
$14.08
Market Cap
$2.65B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
78%
HOG
Harley-Davidson, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$22.97
Market Cap
$2.57B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
BRSL
156.44
HOG
8.26
Forward P/E
BRSL
10.96
HOG
13.87
P/B Ratio
BRSL
3.07
HOG
0.82
P/S Ratio
BRSL
1.06
HOG
0.57
EV/EBITDA
BRSL
6.79
HOG
6.97

Profitability

Gross Margin
BRSL
44.47%
HOG
29.84%
Operating Margin
BRSL
29.09%
HOG
-69.64%
Profit Margin
BRSL
13.75%
HOG
7.57%
ROE
BRSL
2.03%
HOG
10.42%
ROA
BRSL
4.27%
HOG
2.81%

Growth

Revenue Growth
BRSL
7.2%
HOG
-27.8%
Earnings Growth
BRSL
1631.5%
HOG
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
BRSL
3.18
HOG
0.97
Current Ratio
BRSL
0.74
HOG
2.1
Quick Ratio
BRSL
0.63
HOG
1.72

Dividends

Dividend Yield
BRSL
6.27%
HOG
3.17%
Payout Ratio
BRSL
888.89%
HOG
25.9%

AI Verdict

BRSL BEARISH

The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals critical weaknesses: a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9 indicates severe financial distress, and the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents safety confirmation. Despite high earnings growth and a bullish analyst recommendation, the stock trades at a massive premium to both Graham ($3.05) and intrinsic value ($2.65), with deteriorating earnings surprises, alarming leverage (Debt/Equity: 3.18), and a dangerously high payout ratio (888.89%). Technical trend is deeply bearish, and recent price performance shows consistent downward momentum, reinforcing structural concerns.

Strengths
Exceptional year-over-year earnings growth (1631.50%) suggests strong recent profitability rebound
High dividend yield of 6.27% may attract income-focused investors
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a $20.17 target price, implying 43% upside
Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals severe financial weakness and high risk of value deterioration
Debt/Equity ratio of 3.18 is more than double the sector average (1.63), indicating aggressive leverage
Payout ratio of 888.89% is unsustainable—dividends are being paid from capital, not earnings
HOG BEARISH

HOG presents a classic value trap scenario, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severely deteriorating fundamentals. While the stock appears cheap on a P/E (8.26) and Price/Book (0.82) basis, this is offset by a catastrophic revenue decline of -27.8% and a negative operating margin of -69.64%. The divergence between the Graham Number ($41.94) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($19.46) highlights that the company's asset value is not being translated into growth. With a technical trend of 0/100 and bearish insider activity, the outlook remains negative.

Strengths
Low P/E ratio (8.26) relative to sector average
Trading below book value (P/B 0.82)
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.10
Risks
Severe revenue contraction (-27.8% YoY)
Extreme operating margin deficit (-69.64%)
Very high PEG ratio (5.23) indicating poor growth relative to valuation

Compare Another Pair

BRSL vs HOG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Brightstar Lottery PLC (BRSL) and Harley-Davidson, Inc. (HOG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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