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CAT vs JCI

CAT
Caterpillar Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$735.35
Market Cap
$344.13B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
90%
JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
NEUTRAL
Price
$118.72
Market Cap
$78.66B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
72%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
CAT
39.01
JCI
44.97
Forward P/E
CAT
26.48
JCI
28.33
P/B Ratio
CAT
16.05
JCI
5.61
P/S Ratio
CAT
5.09
JCI
3.33
EV/EBITDA
CAT
26.1
JCI
23.68

Profitability

Gross Margin
CAT
28.79%
JCI
36.41%
Operating Margin
CAT
16.02%
JCI
10.42%
Profit Margin
CAT
13.14%
JCI
13.95%
ROE
CAT
43.53%
JCI
11.37%
ROA
CAT
7.89%
JCI
4.12%

Growth

Revenue Growth
CAT
18.0%
JCI
3.1%
Earnings Growth
CAT
-11.4%
JCI
181.3%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
CAT
2.07
JCI
0.86
Current Ratio
CAT
1.44
JCI
0.93
Quick Ratio
CAT
0.87
JCI
0.66

Dividends

Dividend Yield
CAT
0.85%
JCI
1.35%
Payout Ratio
CAT
31.05%
JCI
57.41%

AI Verdict

CAT NEUTRAL

CAT shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 18.0%
Strong ROE of 43.5%
Risks
High valuation with P/E of 39.0
Premium vs Graham Number ($139.4)
High debt burden with D/E of 2.07
JCI NEUTRAL

Johnson Controls International (JCI) trades at a premium valuation with strong recent earnings growth and solid profitability, but faces headwinds from stretched multiples, weakening near-term EPS momentum, and bearish insider activity. While the company has delivered consistent quarterly beats over the past six years—evidenced by a 20.0% Q/Q EPS growth and 3.64% average surprise over the last four quarters—its forward P/E of 28.33 and current P/E of 44.97 are well above the sector average of 31.50, raising concerns about near-term upside. The stock has significantly outperformed with a 1Y return of +41.2% and 5Y return of +189.6%, yet momentum has cooled recently (-2.9% over 1W). Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $129.11 target implying ~8.7% upside, but insider selling worth $4.04M over the last six months signals caution at current levels.

Strengths
Consistent earnings execution: 3 out of last 4 quarters beat estimates with a 3.64% average surprise; long-term track record of 22 beats in 25 quarters
Strong profitability: 13.95% net margin and 36.41% gross margin exceed sector averages of 12.61% and peer medians
Leverage to structural trends in building efficiency and smart infrastructure with global scale in HVAC and fire/security systems
Risks
Elevated valuation: P/E of 44.97 is 42.8% above sector average (31.50) and Forward P/E of 28.33 still implies premium pricing
Decelerating earnings momentum: YoY EPS growth is -1.6% despite strong Q/Q growth, suggesting cyclical peak risks
Weak liquidity profile: Current ratio of 0.93 and quick ratio of 0.66 indicate potential working capital pressure

Compare Another Pair

CAT vs JCI: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) and Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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