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COP vs NGS

COP
ConocoPhillips
BEARISH
Price
$128.25
Market Cap
$156.32B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
NGS
Natural Gas Services Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Price
$40.69
Market Cap
$512.3M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
75%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
COP
20.2
NGS
25.92
Forward P/E
COP
15.08
NGS
18.04
P/B Ratio
COP
2.44
NGS
1.86
P/S Ratio
COP
2.59
NGS
2.97
EV/EBITDA
COP
7.21
NGS
--

Profitability

Gross Margin
COP
46.18%
NGS
57.7%
Operating Margin
COP
16.3%
NGS
20.95%
Profit Margin
COP
13.25%
NGS
11.56%
ROE
COP
12.36%
NGS
7.52%
ROA
COP
6.42%
NGS
4.67%

Growth

Revenue Growth
COP
-6.8%
NGS
13.5%
Earnings Growth
COP
-39.0%
NGS
43.5%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
COP
0.38
NGS
0.85
Current Ratio
COP
1.3
NGS
2.33
Quick Ratio
COP
1.07
NGS
1.33

Dividends

Dividend Yield
COP
2.62%
NGS
0.52%
Payout Ratio
COP
50.08%
NGS
6.37%

AI Verdict

COP BEARISH

ConocoPhillips presents a stark divergence between its strong balance sheet and its current market valuation. With a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) and a Graham Number of $86.72, the current price of $128.25 represents a significant premium over defensive fair value and a massive premium over the growth-based intrinsic value of $44.45. This overvaluation is compounded by severe earnings contraction (-39% YoY) and a bearish insider signal, with the CEO selling substantial holdings. While the company remains a sector leader with low debt, the combination of negative growth and technical weakness suggests limited upside at current levels.

Strengths
Exceptionally low Debt/Equity (0.38) compared to sector average (1.34)
Strong profitability margins (13.25% Profit Margin) exceeding sector peers
Diverse, low-cost global supply portfolio across 14 countries
Risks
Severe earnings decline (-39% YoY) and revenue contraction (-6.8% YoY)
High sensitivity to volatile commodity prices due to unhedged strategy
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value models
NGS BULLISH

NGS presents a stable financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and strong growth fundamentals. While the current price of $40.69 is a premium to the Graham Number ($27.78), it remains below the growth-based intrinsic value of $46.32, supported by a highly attractive PEG ratio of 0.82. The company demonstrates exceptional earnings momentum with a 43.5% YoY growth rate and a consistent track record of beating analyst estimates. However, the bullish fundamental outlook is countered by bearish insider activity and weak technical trends.

Strengths
Exceptional earnings growth (43.5% YoY) and consistent EPS beats
Attractive PEG ratio (0.82) indicating undervaluation relative to growth
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.33
Risks
Significant insider selling ($6.87M) suggesting a perceived price ceiling
Bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating short-term momentum loss
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only 'stable' rather than 'strong' financial health

Compare Another Pair

COP vs NGS: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares ConocoPhillips (COP) and Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. (NGS) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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