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CWST vs LPX

CWST
Casella Waste Systems, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$78.11
Market Cap
$4.97B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
90%
LPX
Louisiana-Pacific Corporation
BEARISH
Price
$72.09
Market Cap
$5.04B
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
CWST
650.92
LPX
34.66
Forward P/E
CWST
51.32
LPX
16.93
P/B Ratio
CWST
3.16
LPX
2.92
P/S Ratio
CWST
2.7
LPX
1.86
EV/EBITDA
CWST
15.36
LPX
12.74

Profitability

Gross Margin
CWST
33.77%
LPX
21.75%
Operating Margin
CWST
4.43%
LPX
1.23%
Profit Margin
CWST
0.43%
LPX
5.39%
ROE
CWST
0.51%
LPX
8.58%
ROA
CWST
1.71%
LPX
6.3%

Growth

Revenue Growth
CWST
9.7%
LPX
-16.6%
Earnings Growth
CWST
--
LPX
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
CWST
0.8
LPX
0.22
Current Ratio
CWST
1.26
LPX
2.78
Quick Ratio
CWST
1.03
LPX
1.44

Dividends

Dividend Yield
CWST
--
LPX
1.66%
Payout Ratio
CWST
0.0%
LPX
53.85%

AI Verdict

CWST BEARISH

CWST exhibits a severe valuation disconnect, trading at $78.11 despite a Graham Number of $8.17 and an Intrinsic Value of $0.84. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health, the company's profitability is critically low with a profit margin of only 0.43% and an ROE of 0.51%. The astronomical P/E ratio of 650.92 and bearish insider activity from the CEO and CFO suggest the stock is significantly overpriced relative to its current earnings power. Despite bullish analyst targets, the fundamental data points to a high-risk valuation bubble.

Strengths
Consistent revenue growth of 9.70% YoY
Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.80
Risks
Extreme valuation premium (P/E 650.92)
Critically thin profit margins (0.43%)
Negative YoY EPS growth (-26.8%)
LPX BEARISH

LPX exhibits a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and lacks a provided Altman Z-Score, though its balance sheet remains liquid. The stock is severely overvalued relative to its Graham Number ($34.02) and Intrinsic Value ($14.56), trading at a significant premium despite a collapse in YoY EPS (-97.1%) and negative revenue growth (-16.6%). While analysts maintain a 'Buy' rating, the combination of aggressive CEO selling and a 0/100 technical trend suggests a strong bearish outlook.

Strengths
Very low Debt/Equity ratio (0.22)
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.78
Positive long-term 3Y and 5Y price performance
Risks
Severe earnings collapse with YoY EPS growth of -97.1%
Negative revenue growth (-16.6% YoY and Q/Q)
Significant overvaluation relative to defensive fair value (Graham Number)

Compare Another Pair

CWST vs LPX: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Casella Waste Systems, Inc. (CWST) and Louisiana-Pacific Corporation (LPX) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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