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DEC vs HPK

DEC
Diversified Energy Company
BULLISH
Price
$15.48
Market Cap
$1.09B
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
75%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$6.34
Market Cap
$801.1M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
DEC
3.38
HPK
48.77
Forward P/E
DEC
7.37
HPK
-17.61
P/B Ratio
DEC
1.21
HPK
0.5
P/S Ratio
DEC
0.67
HPK
0.93
EV/EBITDA
DEC
4.52
HPK
3.18

Profitability

Gross Margin
DEC
54.16%
HPK
71.61%
Operating Margin
DEC
46.4%
HPK
-7.59%
Profit Margin
DEC
21.17%
HPK
2.2%
ROE
DEC
48.6%
HPK
1.19%
ROA
DEC
5.96%
HPK
3.04%

Growth

Revenue Growth
DEC
95.7%
HPK
-23.3%
Earnings Growth
DEC
--
HPK
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
DEC
3.04
HPK
0.75
Current Ratio
DEC
0.6
HPK
1.13
Quick Ratio
DEC
0.41
HPK
0.94

Dividends

Dividend Yield
DEC
7.49%
HPK
2.74%
Payout Ratio
DEC
25.33%
HPK
123.08%

AI Verdict

DEC BULLISH

DEC presents a classic deep-value opportunity, trading at a significant discount to its Graham Number ($36.29) and Intrinsic Value ($32.06). While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, the company carries high leverage (Debt/Equity 3.04) and weak short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 0.60). However, these risks are offset by exceptional profitability metrics, including an ROE of 48.60% and explosive revenue growth of 95.70%. The combination of a very low P/E (3.38) and a sustainable high-yield dividend makes it an attractive risk-reward play despite bearish insider activity.

Strengths
Extreme valuation discount (P/E 3.38 vs Sector Avg 33.43)
Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 48.60%
Massive YoY Revenue Growth of 95.70%
Risks
High leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 3.04
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.60
Bearish insider sentiment following a large 2.1M share sale
HPK BEARISH

HPK presents as a classic value trap with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) that masks severe fundamental deterioration. While the current price ($6.34) sits near the Graham Number ($6.1), the growth-based intrinsic value is a dismal $0.91, reflecting a collapse in earnings power. The company is currently paying out 123% of its earnings as dividends, which is fundamentally unsustainable. With revenue declining by 23.3% YoY and a technical trend score of 0/100, the stock is in a clear bearish regime.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Book ratio (0.50) suggesting assets are undervalued
Strong Gross Margin (71.61%) indicating efficient direct production
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio (0.75) compared to sector average (1.41)
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (123.08%)
Severe revenue contraction (-23.30% YoY)
Negative operating margins (-7.59%) indicating inability to cover overhead

Compare Another Pair

DEC vs HPK: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Diversified Energy Company (DEC) and HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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