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DEC

BULLISH
$15.48 Live
Diversified Energy Company · NYSE
Target $22.25 (+43.7%)
$12.26 52W Range $18.9

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 26, 2026
Market cap
$1.09B
P/E
3.38
ROE
48.6%
Profit margin
21.2%
Debt/Equity
3.04
Dividend yield
7.49%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
DEC presents a classic deep-value opportunity, trading at a significant discount to its Graham Number ($36.29) and Intrinsic Value ($32.06). While the Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable financial health, the company carries high leverage (Debt/Equity 3.04) and weak short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 0.60). However, these risks are offset by exceptional profitability metrics, including an ROE of 48.60% and explosive revenue growth of 95.70%. The combination of a very low P/E (3.38) and a sustainable high-yield dividend makes it an attractive risk-reward play despite bearish insider activity.

Key Strengths

Extreme valuation discount (P/E 3.38 vs Sector Avg 33.43)
Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 48.60%
Massive YoY Revenue Growth of 95.70%
Strong dividend yield (7.49%) with a conservative payout ratio (25.33%)
High operating margins (46.40%) indicating strong cost control

Key Risks

High leverage with Debt/Equity ratio of 3.04
Liquidity risk indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.60
Bearish insider sentiment following a large 2.1M share sale
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Lack of recent earnings beats (0/2 quarters)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$31.18
+101.4% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
75
Strong
Value
95
Future
85
Past
65
Health
40
Dividend
90
AI Verdict
Strong Value Play with Leverage Risks
Key drivers: Deep valuation discount, High profitability, Revenue acceleration, Balance sheet leverage
Confidence
80%
Value
95/100

Ref P/E 3.38, Graham Number $36.29

Positives
  • P/E of 3.38 is extremely low
  • Price is <50% of Graham Number
  • Price/Sales of 0.67
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E is higher than current P/E, suggesting a potential earnings peak
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 95.7% YoY Revenue growth
  • Strong analyst target price of $22.25
Watchpoints
  • Lack of earnings surprise data
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 1Y return of +35.9%
  • 6M return of +23.2%
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1M decline of -10.9%
  • Bearish technical trend
Health
40/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score, Debt/Equity

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity 3.04 is double sector average
  • Current Ratio 0.60 indicates liquidity pressure
Dividend
90/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High yield of 7.49%
  • Very low payout ratio (25.33%)
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.48
Analyst Target
$22.25
Upside/Downside
+43.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for DEC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
DEC
Diversified Energy Company
Primary
5Y
N/A
3Y
N/A
1Y
+35.9%
6M
+23.2%
1M
-10.9%
1W
+1.8%
ACD
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Peer
5Y
-64.9%
3Y
-60.3%
1Y
-11.8%
6M
+69.3%
1M
+14.0%
1W
+17.6%
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-16.6%
1Y
+50.7%
6M
+3.6%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+5.8%
BOR
Borr Drilling Limited
Peer
5Y
+165.0%
3Y
-14.8%
1Y
+34.9%
6M
+102.3%
1M
+12.9%
1W
+4.9%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-15.8%
3Y
-72.1%
1Y
-24.0%
6M
-3.5%
1M
+8.4%
1W
-8.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
3.38
Forward P/E
7.37
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.21
P/S Ratio
0.67
EV/Revenue
2.6
EV/EBITDA
4.52
Market Cap
$1.09B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 21.17%
Operating Margin 46.4%
Gross Margin 54.16%
ROE 48.6%
ROA 5.96%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +95.7%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.04
High debt
Current Ratio
0.6
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.41
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.39

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q2 2025

Total Assets
$5.7B
Liabilities
$4.9B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
6.89x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-03-17
$N/A

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing DEC against 87 companies in the Energy sector (7 bullish, 31 neutral, 49 bearish)
P/E Ratio
3.38
This Stock
vs
32.1
Sector Avg
-89.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
48.6%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+809.9% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
21.17%
This Stock
vs
7.45%
Sector Avg
+184.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
3.04
This Stock
vs
1.45
Sector Avg
+109.8% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
95.7%
This Stock
vs
23.86%
Sector Avg
+301.0% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.6
This Stock
vs
2.24
Sector Avg
-73.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GRAY BRADLEY GRAFTON
President
Gift
2026-03-26
15,000 shares
GRAY BRADLEY GRAFTON
President
Stock Award
2026-03-16
20,411 shares
GRAY BRADLEY GRAFTON
President
Stock Award
2026-03-16
36,840 shares
TURNER DAVID J. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
215 shares
KLABER KATHRYN Z
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
215 shares
THOMAS MARTIN KEITH
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
215 shares
HUTSON ROBERT RUSSELL JR.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
80,740 shares
SULLIVAN BENJAMIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
17,156 shares
SULLIVAN BENJAMIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
30,967 shares
JOHNSON DAVID EDWARD
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-16
286 shares
GARRETT MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
4,465 shares
GARRETT MICHAEL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
8,061 shares
RIDGWAY RON LEE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
5,471 shares
RIDGWAY RON LEE
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-16
9,874 shares
WADE RANDALL S.
Director
Sell
2026-01-09
2,100,000 shares · $27,888,000
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
8 analysts
Stephens & Co.
2026-04-16
init
Overweight
Truist Securities
2026-04-09
Maintains
Buy Buy
Keybanc
2026-04-02
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Truist Securities
2026-03-24
init
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-17
Maintains
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-02-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2025-12-12
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Johnson Rice
2025-12-05
up
Accumulate Buy
Clear Street
2025-11-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
William Blair
2025-11-18
init
Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning DEC from our newsroom.

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