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ACDC ProFrac Holding Corp. - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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ACDC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Energy Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Current Price Live
$5.47
Analyst Target
$4.0
-26.9% Downside
52W High
$10.7
52W Low
$3.08

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$989.37M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-28.1%
Profit margin
-16.9%
Debt/Equity
1.18
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
87%
Analysis Accuracy
ACDC exhibits severe financial distress, underscored by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 (indicating weak operational and financial health) and a lack of an Altman Z-Score, which raises red flags for potential bankruptcy risk. The company reports persistent losses with a negative profit margin of -16.91%, declining revenue growth of -29.9% YoY, and a deteriorating earnings trend, including a -82.1% YoY EPS decline. Despite a modest price-to-book of 1.15 and a low price-to-sales of 0.50, these valuation metrics are misleading given the company’s deteriorating fundamentals and negative earnings. Analysts have set a target price of $4.00, below the current $5.47, signaling downward price expectations. The lack of dividend, weak insider sentiment, and poor technical trend further reinforce a bearish outlook.

Key Strengths

Price-to-sales ratio of 0.50 suggests potential undervaluation relative to revenue
Gross margin of 25.72% indicates some operational efficiency in core production
Recent 6-month price surge (+54.5%) may reflect short-term speculative interest
Insider sentiment at 60/100 suggests cautious optimism from insiders
Market cap of $0.99B places it in a small-cap niche with potential for volatility-driven moves

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals extreme financial weakness and poor operational performance
Negative ROE (-28.14%) and ROA (-2.97%) indicate inefficient use of capital and equity
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.18 is elevated, especially for a loss-making firm
Current ratio of 0.91 and quick ratio of 0.58 suggest liquidity strain and inability to meet short-term obligations
Consistent earnings misses and negative EPS surprises over 16 quarters reflect deep operational instability

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
22
Weak
Value
45
Future
20
Past
25
Health
18
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 2/9, Negative earnings and revenue growth, High leverage and liquidity risk, Lack of analyst consensus and target price below current, Poor historical earnings consistency
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price-to-sales of 0.50 is below sector average
  • Price-to-book of 1.15 is modest
  • Low market cap may attract value hunters
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value due to negative earnings
  • Valuation metrics are meaningless without profitability
  • High PEG and negative forward P/E render traditional valuation models inapplicable
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent 6-month price rally may signal market re-rating potential
  • Some quarters show positive EPS surprises (e.g., +360.4%)
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth down 29.9% YoY
  • Earnings growth down 82.1% YoY
  • Forward P/E of -3.93 indicates continued losses
  • No positive guidance or growth trajectory
Past
25/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Historical periods of profitability (e.g., 2022-08: $0.41 actual vs $0.22 estimate)
  • Some quarters beat estimates (e.g., 2023-03-30: +6.8% surprise)
Watchpoints
  • 16 consecutive quarters with earnings misses or negative surprises
  • Multiple quarters with >50% negative surprises (e.g., -185.1%, -6868%)
  • Persistent negative EPS trend with no recovery
Health
18/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Gross margin of 25.72% shows some cost control
  • Insider sentiment at 60/100 suggests no outright panic
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but debt/equity of 1.18 and low liquidity ratios suggest distress risk
  • Negative ROE and ROA confirm capital inefficiency
  • Current ratio <1.0 and quick ratio <0.6 indicate liquidity risk
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout ratio
  • Dividend strength of 0/100
  • No history of dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.47
Analyst Target
$4.0
Upside/Downside
-26.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ACDC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Primary
-69.8% -74.8% -29.4% +54.5% +27.5% +1.9%
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
Peer
+165.0% -14.8% +34.9% +102.3% +12.9% +4.9%
AMPY
Amplify Energy Corp.
Peer
+124.3% -47.5% -17.5% +24.9% 0.0% -1.5%
BANL
CBL International Limited
Peer
-92.4% -92.4% -70.2% -56.5% -23.0% -9.0%
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
Peer
+412.1% -21.2% +31.8% +60.4% +5.1% +0.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
-3.93
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.15
P/S Ratio
0.5
EV/Revenue
1.17
EV/EBITDA
8.01
Market Cap
$989.37M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -16.91%
Operating Margin -16.89%
Gross Margin 25.72%
ROE -28.14%
ROA -2.97%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -29.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.18
Moderate
Current Ratio
0.91
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.58
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.32

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-05
$N/A
2025-11-10
$-0.51
-18.4% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.42
-62.0% surprise
2025-05-07
$-0.09
+71.7% surprise

Energy Sector Comparison

Comparing ACDC against 26 companies in the Energy sector (0 bullish, 20 neutral, 6 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-28.14%
This Stock
vs
8.3%
Sector Avg
-438.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-16.91%
This Stock
vs
8.88%
Sector Avg
-290.3% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.18
This Stock
vs
0.67
Sector Avg
+76.8% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-29.9%
This Stock
vs
3.55%
Sector Avg
-943.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.91
This Stock
vs
1.19
Sector Avg
-23.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
BEARISH $989.37M - -28.1% -16.9% $5.47
BORR
Borr Drilling Limited
NEUTRAL $1.37B 15.96 6.8% 7.1% $4.47
AMPY
Amplify Energy Corp.
BEARISH $190.64M - -6.9% -10.1% $4.71
BANL
CBL International Limited
BEARISH $9.2M - -14.2% -0.5% $0.34
BTE
Baytex Energy Corp.
BEARISH $2.55B 16.6 5.3% 7.0% $3.32

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date Insider Position Transaction Shares Value
2025-09-08 WILKS MATTHEW D. Officer and Director Purchase 43,297 $164,578
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
5 analysts
Piper Sandler
2025-10-16
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Piper Sandler
2025-08-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ACDC from our newsroom.

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