HNRG
NEUTRAL
$15.2
Live
Hallador Energy Company · NASDAQ
Target $27.75
(+82.6%)
$13.08
52W Range
$24.7
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$714.76M
P/E
15.83
ROE
31.7%
Profit margin
8.9%
Debt/Equity
0.24
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
HNRG exhibits a stark divergence between high operational profitability (ROE 31.71%) and poor deterministic valuation, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health. The current price of $15.20 trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($8.88) and Intrinsic Value ($6.72). While analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish with a target of $27.75, the technical trend is bearish and liquidity is critically low, as evidenced by a Quick Ratio of 0.16.
Key Strengths
Exceptional ROE of 31.71% compared to sector average of 8.33%
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.24) indicating low leverage
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' recommendation
Consistent recent earnings beats (3 of last 4 quarters)
Positive YoY revenue growth of 9.20%
Key Risks
Critical liquidity risk indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.16
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Bearish technical trend (0/100) with recent sharp price declines
Exposure to the volatile and declining thermal coal industry
Current Ratio below 1.0 (0.81), suggesting potential short-term obligations pressure
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$10.25
-32.6% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
41
Moderate
30
60
75
40
0
AI Verdict
Speculative Hold
Key drivers: High ROE, Poor Liquidity, Valuation Gap, Bearish Technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E (11.54) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
- Price ($15.20) is ~71% above Graham Number ($8.88)
- Price is ~126% above Intrinsic Value ($6.72)
- High Price/Book ratio of 4.17
Future
60/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Positive revenue growth (9.20% YoY)
- High analyst target price ($27.75)
Watchpoints
- Industry headwinds for thermal coal
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth collapse (-101.8%)
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Massive 5-year price appreciation (+660%)
- Strong historical ROE
Watchpoints
- Recent 6-month decline of 25%
Health
40/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity (0.24)
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only mediocre
- Quick Ratio (0.16) is dangerously low
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$15.2
Analyst Target
$27.75
Upside/Downside
+82.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HNRG and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
Primary
|
+660.0% | +61.9% | +21.6% | -25.0% | -19.7% | -4.0% |
|
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
-15.8% | -72.1% | -24.0% | -3.5% | +8.4% | -8.1% |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
Peer
|
-80.6% | -43.2% | +77.6% | -4.2% | +8.6% | +2.4% |
|
EU
enCore Energy Corp.
Peer
|
-40.5% | -11.2% | +54.2% | -47.5% | -7.1% | -4.7% |
|
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Peer
|
-64.9% | -60.3% | -11.8% | +69.3% | +14.0% | +17.6% |
HNR
Hallador Energy Company
Primary
5Y
+660.0%
3Y
+61.9%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
-25.0%
1M
-19.7%
1W
-4.0%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-15.8%
3Y
-72.1%
1Y
-24.0%
6M
-3.5%
1M
+8.4%
1W
-8.1%
CLN
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
Peer
5Y
-80.6%
3Y
-43.2%
1Y
+77.6%
6M
-4.2%
1M
+8.6%
1W
+2.4%
EU
enCore Energy Corp.
Peer
5Y
-40.5%
3Y
-11.2%
1Y
+54.2%
6M
-47.5%
1M
-7.1%
1W
-4.7%
ACD
ProFrac Holding Corp.
Peer
5Y
-64.9%
3Y
-60.3%
1Y
-11.8%
6M
+69.3%
1M
+14.0%
1W
+17.6%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
15.83
Forward P/E
11.54
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.17
P/S Ratio
1.52
EV/Revenue
1.58
EV/EBITDA
7.32
Market Cap
$714.76M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
8.92%
Operating Margin
5.99%
Gross Margin
27.26%
ROE
31.71%
ROA
9.42%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+9.2%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+8.2%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.24
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.81
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.16
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.21
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
57.1%
Op. Margin
6.0%
Net Margin
-0.2%
Total Assets
$0.4B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.55x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
-206%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-11
$N/A
2026-03-12
$-0.01
+57.1% surprise
2025-11-10
$0.55
+768.5% surprise
2025-08-11
$0.19
+223.9% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing HNRG against 37 companies in the Energy sector
(0 bullish, 18 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
15.83
This Stock
vs
32.89
Sector Avg
-51.9%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
31.71%
This Stock
vs
8.76%
Sector Avg
+261.8%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
8.92%
This Stock
vs
0.97%
Sector Avg
+822.6%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.24
This Stock
vs
1.4
Sector Avg
-82.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
9.2%
This Stock
vs
7.66%
Sector Avg
+20.1%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.81
This Stock
vs
1.46
Sector Avg
-44.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
|
NEUTRAL | $714.76M | 15.83 | 31.7% | 8.9% | $15.2 | |
|
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $801.11M | 48.77 | 1.2% | 2.2% | $6.34 | Compare |
|
CLNE
Clean Energy Fuels Corp.
|
BEARISH | $557.35M | - | -34.7% | -52.3% | $2.54 | Compare |
|
EU
enCore Energy Corp.
|
BEARISH | $355.26M | - | -21.8% | -131.7% | $1.82 | Compare |
|
ACDC
ProFrac Holding Corp.
|
BEARISH | $1.15B | - | -35.2% | -19.0% | $6.35 | Compare |
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$715M
P/E
15.8
ROE
31.7%
Price
$15.2
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | LOVELL HEATH AARON | Chief Operating Officer | Stock Award | 40,864 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | HARDIE DAVID C | Director | Stock Award | 1,944 | $37,500 |
| 2025-12-30 | WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV | Director | Stock Award | 2,592 | $50,000 |
| 2025-12-30 | GRAY ZARRELL THOMAS | Director | Stock Award | 2,592 | $50,000 |
| 2025-12-30 | LUBAR DAVID J | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 2,851 | $54,996 |
| 2025-12-17 | WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV | Director | Purchase | 20,000 | $356,576 |
| 2025-11-21 | WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV | Director | Purchase | 13,000 | $250,665 |
LOVELL HEATH AARON
Chief Operating Officer
2026-03-31
40,864 shares
HARDIE DAVID C
Director
2025-12-31
1,944 shares
·
$37,500
WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV
Director
2025-12-30
2,592 shares
·
$50,000
GRAY ZARRELL THOMAS
Director
2025-12-30
2,592 shares
·
$50,000
LUBAR DAVID J
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2025-12-30
2,851 shares
·
$54,996
WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV
Director
2025-12-17
20,000 shares
·
$356,576
WESLEY CHARLES RAY IV
Director
2025-11-21
13,000 shares
·
$250,665
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Northland Capital Markets
2026-03-26
Outperform
Outperform
Jefferies
2026-03-24
Hold
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-13
Neutral
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning HNRG from our newsroom.
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