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HNRG vs HPK

HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
NEUTRAL
Price
$15.20
Market Cap
$714.8M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$6.34
Market Cap
$801.1M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
HNRG
15.83
HPK
48.77
Forward P/E
HNRG
11.54
HPK
-17.61
P/B Ratio
HNRG
4.17
HPK
0.5
P/S Ratio
HNRG
1.52
HPK
0.93
EV/EBITDA
HNRG
7.32
HPK
3.18

Profitability

Gross Margin
HNRG
27.26%
HPK
71.61%
Operating Margin
HNRG
5.99%
HPK
-7.59%
Profit Margin
HNRG
8.92%
HPK
2.2%
ROE
HNRG
31.71%
HPK
1.19%
ROA
HNRG
9.42%
HPK
3.04%

Growth

Revenue Growth
HNRG
9.2%
HPK
-23.3%
Earnings Growth
HNRG
--
HPK
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
HNRG
0.24
HPK
0.75
Current Ratio
HNRG
0.81
HPK
1.13
Quick Ratio
HNRG
0.16
HPK
0.94

Dividends

Dividend Yield
HNRG
--
HPK
2.74%
Payout Ratio
HNRG
0.0%
HPK
123.08%

AI Verdict

HNRG NEUTRAL

HNRG exhibits a stark divergence between high operational profitability (ROE 31.71%) and poor deterministic valuation, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable health. The current price of $15.20 trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($8.88) and Intrinsic Value ($6.72). While analyst sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish with a target of $27.75, the technical trend is bearish and liquidity is critically low, as evidenced by a Quick Ratio of 0.16.

Strengths
Exceptional ROE of 31.71% compared to sector average of 8.33%
Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.24) indicating low leverage
Strong analyst consensus with a 'strong_buy' recommendation
Risks
Critical liquidity risk indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.16
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value baselines
Bearish technical trend (0/100) with recent sharp price declines
HPK BEARISH

HPK presents as a classic value trap with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) that masks severe fundamental deterioration. While the current price ($6.34) sits near the Graham Number ($6.1), the growth-based intrinsic value is a dismal $0.91, reflecting a collapse in earnings power. The company is currently paying out 123% of its earnings as dividends, which is fundamentally unsustainable. With revenue declining by 23.3% YoY and a technical trend score of 0/100, the stock is in a clear bearish regime.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Book ratio (0.50) suggesting assets are undervalued
Strong Gross Margin (71.61%) indicating efficient direct production
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio (0.75) compared to sector average (1.41)
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (123.08%)
Severe revenue contraction (-23.30% YoY)
Negative operating margins (-7.59%) indicating inability to cover overhead

Compare Another Pair

HNRG vs HPK: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Hallador Energy Company (HNRG) and HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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