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FWRD vs MG

FWRD
Forward Air Corporation
BEARISH
Price
$18.87
Market Cap
$595.4M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
90%
MG
Mistras Group, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$18.49
Market Cap
$588.3M
Sector
Industrials
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
FWRD
--
MG
34.89
Forward P/E
FWRD
71.21
MG
15.16
P/B Ratio
FWRD
5.22
MG
2.48
P/S Ratio
FWRD
0.24
MG
0.81
EV/EBITDA
FWRD
11.22
MG
9.91

Profitability

Gross Margin
FWRD
19.67%
MG
31.34%
Operating Margin
FWRD
3.59%
MG
10.82%
Profit Margin
FWRD
-4.32%
MG
2.33%
ROE
FWRD
-63.34%
MG
7.79%
ROA
FWRD
1.98%
MG
6.04%

Growth

Revenue Growth
FWRD
-0.3%
MG
5.1%
Earnings Growth
FWRD
--
MG
-25.0%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
FWRD
13.36
MG
1.03
Current Ratio
FWRD
1.22
MG
1.74
Quick Ratio
FWRD
1.06
MG
1.47

Dividends

Dividend Yield
FWRD
--
MG
--
Payout Ratio
FWRD
0.0%
MG
0.0%

AI Verdict

FWRD BEARISH

FWRD exhibits severe financial distress, anchored by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and an alarming Debt/Equity ratio of 13.36. While the Price/Sales ratio is low, the company suffers from negative profit margins, a deeply negative ROE (-63.34%), and stagnant revenue growth. There is a stark disconnect between the bullish analyst target price ($35.33) and the deteriorating fundamental health and bearish insider sentiment. The combination of extreme leverage and poor operational efficiency suggests significant insolvency risk.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.24) suggesting potential undervaluation of top-line revenue
Current ratio of 1.22 indicates short-term liquidity is currently maintained
Recent quarterly earnings have beaten lowered analyst estimates
Risks
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 13.36, far exceeding sector averages
Critical financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
Deeply negative Return on Equity (-63.34%) indicating value destruction
MG BEARISH

Mistras Group (MG) presents a significant valuation disconnect, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable financial health. The current price of $18.49 trades at a massive premium compared to its Graham Number ($9.42) and Intrinsic Value ($3.71). While recent price action has been exceptionally strong, the underlying fundamentals are marred by negative YoY earnings growth (-25%) and a bearish technical trend score of 10/100. The stock appears to be priced for a recovery that is not yet supported by current profitability metrics.

Strengths
Attractive Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.81
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.74 and Quick Ratio of 1.47
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+98.2%)
Risks
Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($9.42) and Intrinsic Value ($3.71)
Negative YoY earnings growth of -25.00%
Very low Technical Trend score (10/100) suggesting a potential trend reversal

Compare Another Pair

FWRD vs MG: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) and Mistras Group, Inc. (MG) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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