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MG

BEARISH
$18.49 Live
Mistras Group, Inc. · NYSE
Target $18.0 (-2.7%)
$7.06 52W Range $19.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 30, 2026
Market cap
$588.29M
P/E
34.89
ROE
7.8%
Profit margin
2.3%
Debt/Equity
1.03
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Mistras Group (MG) presents a significant valuation disconnect, with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicating only stable financial health. The current price of $18.49 trades at a massive premium compared to its Graham Number ($9.42) and Intrinsic Value ($3.71). While recent price action has been exceptionally strong, the underlying fundamentals are marred by negative YoY earnings growth (-25%) and a bearish technical trend score of 10/100. The stock appears to be priced for a recovery that is not yet supported by current profitability metrics.

Key Strengths

Attractive Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.81
Strong short-term liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.74 and Quick Ratio of 1.47
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+98.2%)
Forward P/E (15.16) suggests expected earnings recovery compared to trailing P/E (34.89)
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 1.03 relative to industrial sector averages

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to Graham Number ($9.42) and Intrinsic Value ($3.71)
Negative YoY earnings growth of -25.00%
Very low Technical Trend score (10/100) suggesting a potential trend reversal
Low profit margin (2.33%) leaving little room for operational error
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises, including several significant misses
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.42
-49.1% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
35
Weak
Value
20
Future
45
Past
60
Health
50
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued / Speculative
Key drivers: Extreme gap between market price and intrinsic value, Negative earnings growth, Bearish technical indicators despite price surge
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
Watchpoints
  • Price is ~96% above Graham Number
  • Price is ~400% above Intrinsic Value
  • High trailing P/E of 34.89
Future
45/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E indicates growth expectations
  • Positive revenue growth (5.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY earnings growth
  • Negative Q/Q earnings growth
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Strong 1Y and 3Y price returns
  • Consistent revenue generation
Watchpoints
  • Inconsistent earnings track record
Health
50/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9)
  • Healthy Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Lack of Altman Z-Score data
  • Moderate Debt/Equity
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$18.49
Analyst Target
$18.0
Upside/Downside
-2.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-29
MG
Mistras Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+66.1%
3Y
+130.6%
1Y
+98.2%
6M
+91.2%
1M
+26.6%
1W
-0.3%
FWR
Forward Air Corporation
Peer
5Y
-78.4%
3Y
-82.3%
1Y
+36.2%
6M
-19.8%
1M
-14.4%
1W
+8.4%
ERI
Energy Recovery, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-42.5%
3Y
-56.0%
1Y
-25.1%
6M
-30.6%
1M
-3.6%
1W
+4.9%
KE
Kimball Electronics, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+8.1%
3Y
+13.8%
1Y
+92.6%
6M
-5.5%
1M
+12.3%
1W
+7.0%
ULH
Universal Logistics Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+4.4%
3Y
-3.0%
1Y
+11.9%
6M
+44.4%
1M
+17.7%
1W
-0.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
34.89
Forward P/E
15.16
PEG Ratio
1.15
P/B Ratio
2.48
P/S Ratio
0.81
EV/Revenue
1.1
EV/EBITDA
9.91
Market Cap
$588.29M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.33%
Operating Margin 10.82%
Gross Margin 31.34%
ROE 7.79%
ROA 6.04%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +5.1%
Earnings Growth -25.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +5.05%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -24.9%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.03
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.74
Good
Quick Ratio
1.47
Good
Cash/Share
$0.89

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
28.4%
Op. Margin
9.7%
Net Margin
2.1%
Total Assets
$0.6B
Liabilities
$0.3B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
1.46x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
77%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-03-04
$0.25
+6.4% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.46
+58.6% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.19
-7.3% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing MG against 510 companies in the Industrials sector (42 bullish, 192 neutral, 276 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.89
This Stock
vs
93.51
Sector Avg
-62.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.79%
This Stock
vs
0.87%
Sector Avg
+797.1% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.33%
This Stock
vs
6.44%
Sector Avg
-63.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.03
This Stock
vs
2.77
Sector Avg
-62.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
5.1%
This Stock
vs
66.53%
Sector Avg
-92.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.74
This Stock
vs
3.02
Sector Avg
-42.5% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PRAJZNER EDWARD J
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
37,202 shares
D ALTERIO GENNARO A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
19,905 shares
STAMATAKIS MANUEL N
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-02-25
86,310 shares
SHUMAN-FABBRI NATALIA
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
101,190 shares
HAMMAD HANEI WAIL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
29,762 shares
HAMMAD HANEI WAIL
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-25
29,762 shares
COGGINS EILEEN MARY
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-02-25
7,242 shares
STAMATAKIS MANUEL N
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
40,000 shares
STAMATAKIS MANUEL N
Officer and Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
40,000 shares
VAHAVIOLOS ASPASIA FELICE
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2025-12-31
5,251,358 shares
PIZZI CHARLES P
Director
Gift
2025-12-04
2,150 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-04-07

MG filed a Definitive Proxy Statement (DEF 14A) on April 7, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-11

MG filed its 10-K annual report on March 11, 2026, covering its business operations, risk factors, and financial condition. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-04

MG likely filed this 8-K to announce its annual financial results for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

MG filed its Form 10-Q quarterly report on November 6, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available metadata.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-04

MG filed an 8-K on November 4, 2025, likely to report its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-11

MG filed its quarterly 10-Q report on August 11, 2025. Due to the limited information provided, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-06

MG filed an 8-K on August 6, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-23
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-09

MG filed its quarterly 10-Q report on May 9, 2025. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for analysis.

8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-09
10-K
10-K
2025-03-11
8-K
8-K
2025-03-05
8-K
8-K
2025-02-13
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MG from our newsroom.

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