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GOOS vs PZZA

GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$11.71
Market Cap
$1.14B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$37.46
Market Cap
$1.23B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
90%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
GOOS
73.19
PZZA
41.62
Forward P/E
GOOS
15.95
PZZA
20.41
P/B Ratio
GOOS
2.75
PZZA
-2.76
P/S Ratio
GOOS
0.78
PZZA
0.6
EV/EBITDA
GOOS
13.22
PZZA
10.61

Profitability

Gross Margin
GOOS
70.19%
PZZA
20.73%
Operating Margin
GOOS
28.83%
PZZA
6.78%
Profit Margin
GOOS
1.47%
PZZA
1.49%
ROE
GOOS
4.18%
PZZA
--
ROA
GOOS
2.7%
PZZA
7.93%

Growth

Revenue Growth
GOOS
14.2%
PZZA
-6.1%
Earnings Growth
GOOS
-4.2%
PZZA
-53.5%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
GOOS
1.3
PZZA
--
Current Ratio
GOOS
2.12
PZZA
0.82
Quick Ratio
GOOS
1.18
PZZA
0.5

Dividends

Dividend Yield
GOOS
--
PZZA
4.91%
Payout Ratio
GOOS
0.0%
PZZA
204.44%

AI Verdict

GOOS BEARISH

Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating solid operational health, GOOS is fundamentally overvalued relative to its deterministic baselines, with a Graham Number of $3.92 and an Intrinsic Value of $1.12. The company exhibits a severe disconnect between its high gross margins (70.19%) and its dismal net profit margin (1.47%), compounded by a disastrous recent earnings track record (0/4 beats in the last year). With a bearish technical trend and a current price ($11.71) significantly above both the analyst target ($10.00) and fair value models, the risk-reward profile is unfavorable.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating operational stability
Impressive Gross Margin of 70.19%
Consistent Revenue Growth (14.20% YoY)
Risks
Severe earnings disappointment (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Extreme valuation gap between current price and Graham/Intrinsic values
Very low net profit margin (1.47%) despite high operating margins
PZZA BEARISH

PZZA exhibits significant financial distress, anchored by a mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a massive disconnect between its current price ($37.46) and growth-based intrinsic value ($6.30). The company is operating with negative equity (Price/Book: -2.76) and a critically unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 204.44%. With revenue and earnings growth both in steep decline (-6.10% and -53.50% YoY respectively), the current valuation is unsupported by fundamental performance. The technical trend is completely bearish (0/100), suggesting a lack of market confidence despite analyst 'buy' recommendations.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.60) relative to revenue
Positive Return on Assets (7.93%)
Consistent history of meeting or beating EPS estimates in several quarters
Risks
Negative shareholder equity (Price/Book -2.76) indicating liabilities exceed assets
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (204.44%) which risks a dividend cut
Severe earnings contraction (-53.50% YoY)

Compare Another Pair

GOOS vs PZZA: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Canada Goose Holdings Inc. (GOOS) and Papa John's International, Inc. (PZZA) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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