GOOS
BEARISH
$11.71
Live
Canada Goose Holdings Inc. · NYSE
Target $10.0
(-14.6%)
$8.07
52W Range
$15.43
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$1.14B
P/E
73.19
ROE
4.2%
Profit margin
1.5%
Debt/Equity
1.3
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating solid operational health, GOOS is fundamentally overvalued relative to its deterministic baselines, with a Graham Number of $3.92 and an Intrinsic Value of $1.12. The company exhibits a severe disconnect between its high gross margins (70.19%) and its dismal net profit margin (1.47%), compounded by a disastrous recent earnings track record (0/4 beats in the last year). With a bearish technical trend and a current price ($11.71) significantly above both the analyst target ($10.00) and fair value models, the risk-reward profile is unfavorable.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating operational stability
Impressive Gross Margin of 70.19%
Consistent Revenue Growth (14.20% YoY)
Healthy liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.12
Attractive Price-to-Sales ratio (0.78) relative to sector
Key Risks
Severe earnings disappointment (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Extreme valuation gap between current price and Graham/Intrinsic values
Very low net profit margin (1.47%) despite high operating margins
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and poor 5-year price performance (-72.5%)
Negative earnings growth (-4.20% YoY)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.42
-53.7% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
36
Weak
20
45
30
85
0
AI Verdict
Underperforming Value Trap
Key drivers: Operational health vs. Valuation disconnect, Consistent earnings misses, Poor long-term price action
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
Graham Number $3.92, Intrinsic Value $1.12
Positives
- Low Price/Sales ratio
Watchpoints
- Price is ~3x the Graham Number
- Trailing P/E is excessively high (73.19)
Future
45/100
Revenue Growth 14.20%, Earnings Growth -4.20%
Positives
- Double-digit revenue growth
- Low Forward P/E (15.95) suggests expected recovery
Watchpoints
- Negative earnings growth
- Failure to meet analyst estimates
Past
30/100
5Y Change -72.5%
Positives
- Recent 1-year recovery (+40.8%)
Watchpoints
- Catastrophic 5-year return (-72.5%)
- Consistent negative earnings surprises
Health
85/100
Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Positives
- High Piotroski F-Score
- Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
- Debt/Equity ratio of 1.30 is slightly elevated
Dividend
0/100
Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$11.71
Analyst Target
$10.0
Upside/Downside
-14.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GOOS and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
Primary
|
-72.5% | -40.3% | +40.8% | -16.2% | +10.9% | -3.8% |
|
MLKN
MillerKnoll, Inc.
Peer
|
-59.0% | -3.3% | -0.1% | -3.3% | -17.6% | +8.9% |
|
LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
Peer
|
-72.6% | -61.9% | -23.5% | -0.5% | +20.1% | -1.8% |
|
PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
Peer
|
-54.3% | -45.9% | +25.9% | -26.2% | +9.1% | +5.1% |
|
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+10.0% | +107.0% | +137.9% | +62.7% | +8.4% | +12.1% |
GOO
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
-72.5%
3Y
-40.3%
1Y
+40.8%
6M
-16.2%
1M
+10.9%
1W
-3.8%
MLK
MillerKnoll, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-59.0%
3Y
-3.3%
1Y
-0.1%
6M
-3.3%
1M
-17.6%
1W
+8.9%
LGI
LGI Homes, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-72.6%
3Y
-61.9%
1Y
-23.5%
6M
-0.5%
1M
+20.1%
1W
-1.8%
PZZ
Papa John's International, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-54.3%
3Y
-45.9%
1Y
+25.9%
6M
-26.2%
1M
+9.1%
1W
+5.1%
LIN
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+10.0%
3Y
+107.0%
1Y
+137.9%
6M
+62.7%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+12.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
73.19
Forward P/E
15.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.75
P/S Ratio
0.78
EV/Revenue
1.07
EV/EBITDA
13.22
Market Cap
$1.14B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
1.47%
Operating Margin
28.83%
Gross Margin
70.19%
ROE
4.18%
ROA
2.7%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+14.2%
Earnings Growth
-4.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+14.25%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-3.5%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
1.3
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.12
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.18
Good
Cash/Share
$3.57
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
74.0%
Op. Margin
28.8%
Net Margin
19.4%
Total Assets
$1.8B
Liabilities
$1.2B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
2.15x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
95%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-21
$N/A
2026-02-05
$1.05
-12.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.11
-214.4% surprise
2025-07-31
$-0.66
-4.1% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing GOOS against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
73.19
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
+115.4%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
4.18%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-109.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
1.47%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-127.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.3
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
-14.2%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
14.2%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-50.0%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.12
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-13.6%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GOOS
Canada Goose Holdings Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.14B | 73.19 | 4.2% | 1.5% | $11.71 | |
|
MLKN
MillerKnoll, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.07B | 104.13 | 1.1% | 0.3% | $15.62 | Compare |
|
LGIH
LGI Homes, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.05B | 14.53 | 3.5% | 4.3% | $45.32 | Compare |
|
PZZA
Papa John's International, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $1.23B | 41.62 | -% | 1.5% | $37.46 | Compare |
|
LIND
Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $1.25B | - | -% | -3.9% | $19.13 | Compare |
GOOS
Canada Goose...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.1B
P/E
73.2
ROE
4.2%
Price
$11.71
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Clymer (Beth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 12,454 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | Clymer (Beth) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 11.83 pe | 4,681 | $55,385 |
| 2025-12-01 | Johannson (Jessica Sybil-Lynne) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 456 | - |
| 2025-12-01 | Johannson (Jessica Sybil-Lynne) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 14.34 pe | 456 | $6,539 |
| 2025-12-01 | Saage (Gary Albert Jr) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 292 | - |
| 2025-12-01 | Saage (Gary Albert Jr) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 12.97 pe | 67 | $868 |
Clymer (Beth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-02-12
12,454 shares
Clymer (Beth)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-02-12
4,681 shares
·
$55,385
Johannson (Jessica Sybil-Lynne)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-12-01
456 shares
Johannson (Jessica Sybil-Lynne)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2025-12-01
456 shares
·
$6,539
Saage (Gary Albert Jr)
Director of Issuer
2025-12-01
292 shares
Saage (Gary Albert Jr)
Director of Issuer
2025-12-01
67 shares
·
$868
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning GOOS from our newsroom.
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No matching news yet.