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GPK vs HD

GPK
Graphic Packaging Holding Company
BEARISH
Price
$9.60
Market Cap
$2.84B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
HD
The Home Depot, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$328.89
Market Cap
$327.58B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
70%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
GPK
6.49
HD
23.1
Forward P/E
GPK
8.15
HD
20.17
P/B Ratio
GPK
0.85
HD
25.57
P/S Ratio
GPK
0.33
HD
1.99
EV/EBITDA
GPK
6.12
HD
15.68

Profitability

Gross Margin
GPK
18.72%
HD
33.32%
Operating Margin
GPK
6.8%
HD
10.08%
Profit Margin
GPK
5.15%
HD
8.6%
ROE
GPK
13.98%
HD
145.54%
ROA
GPK
4.66%
HD
12.98%

Growth

Revenue Growth
GPK
0.4%
HD
-3.8%
Earnings Growth
GPK
-48.0%
HD
-14.2%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
GPK
1.76
HD
5.14
Current Ratio
GPK
1.3
HD
1.06
Quick Ratio
GPK
0.46
HD
0.21

Dividends

Dividend Yield
GPK
4.58%
HD
2.83%
Payout Ratio
GPK
29.73%
HD
64.65%

AI Verdict

GPK BEARISH

GPK presents as a classic value trap, characterized by a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 but severe fundamental deterioration. While the stock trades significantly below its Graham Number ($19.4) and Intrinsic Value ($10.36), these metrics are lagging indicators that fail to account for a catastrophic -48% collapse in earnings growth. The combination of stagnant revenue (0.40%) and a consistent streak of earnings misses (0/4 in the last year) suggests the current low valuation is a reflection of declining business quality rather than a market mispricing.

Strengths
Deeply undervalued on trailing metrics (P/E 6.49, P/B 0.85)
Trading below Graham Number ($19.4) and Intrinsic Value ($10.36)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (29.73%)
Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-48% YoY)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.40% YoY)
Poor short-term liquidity (Quick Ratio 0.46)
HD BEARISH

HD shows bearish fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is strong (F-Score 6/9). Concerns include weak profitability or high valuation.

Strengths
Strong ROE of 145.5%
Risks
Premium vs Graham Number ($64.2)
Declining revenue (-3.8%)
High debt burden with D/E of 5.14

Compare Another Pair

GPK vs HD: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) and The Home Depot, Inc. (HD) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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