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GRNT vs HPK

GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$5.75
Market Cap
$758.5M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
90%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
BEARISH
Price
$6.34
Market Cap
$801.1M
Sector
Energy
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
GRNT
31.94
HPK
48.77
Forward P/E
GRNT
6.89
HPK
-17.61
P/B Ratio
GRNT
1.25
HPK
0.5
P/S Ratio
GRNT
1.77
HPK
0.93
EV/EBITDA
GRNT
3.34
HPK
3.18

Profitability

Gross Margin
GRNT
78.95%
HPK
71.61%
Operating Margin
GRNT
20.86%
HPK
-7.59%
Profit Margin
GRNT
5.69%
HPK
2.2%
ROE
GRNT
3.92%
HPK
1.19%
ROA
GRNT
6.7%
HPK
3.04%

Growth

Revenue Growth
GRNT
0.1%
HPK
-23.3%
Earnings Growth
GRNT
--
HPK
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
GRNT
0.64
HPK
0.75
Current Ratio
GRNT
1.25
HPK
1.13
Quick Ratio
GRNT
1.05
HPK
0.94

Dividends

Dividend Yield
GRNT
7.65%
HPK
2.74%
Payout Ratio
GRNT
244.44%
HPK
123.08%

AI Verdict

GRNT BEARISH

GRNT presents a precarious financial profile, characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a complete lack of positive earnings momentum. The stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($4.32) and Intrinsic Value ($1.26), while experiencing a catastrophic YoY EPS collapse of -94.1%. Most critically, the dividend is fundamentally unsustainable with a payout ratio of 244.44%, signaling an imminent cut. With a 0/100 technical trend and four consecutive quarterly earnings misses, the current valuation is unsupported by fundamentals.

Strengths
Strong Gross Margin of 78.95%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 compared to sector average
Adequate liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.25
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (244.44%)
Severe earnings deterioration (YoY EPS growth -94.1%)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.10% YoY)
HPK BEARISH

HPK presents as a classic value trap with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 (Stable) that masks severe fundamental deterioration. While the current price ($6.34) sits near the Graham Number ($6.1), the growth-based intrinsic value is a dismal $0.91, reflecting a collapse in earnings power. The company is currently paying out 123% of its earnings as dividends, which is fundamentally unsustainable. With revenue declining by 23.3% YoY and a technical trend score of 0/100, the stock is in a clear bearish regime.

Strengths
Low Price-to-Book ratio (0.50) suggesting assets are undervalued
Strong Gross Margin (71.61%) indicating efficient direct production
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio (0.75) compared to sector average (1.41)
Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (123.08%)
Severe revenue contraction (-23.30% YoY)
Negative operating margins (-7.59%) indicating inability to cover overhead

Compare Another Pair

GRNT vs HPK: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. (GRNT) and HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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