GRNT
BEARISH
$5.75
Live
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. · NYSE
Target $7.5
(+30.4%)
$4.18
52W Range
$6.72
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$758.46M
P/E
31.94
ROE
3.9%
Profit margin
5.7%
Debt/Equity
0.64
Dividend yield
7.65%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
90%
GRNT presents a precarious financial profile, characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a complete lack of positive earnings momentum. The stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($4.32) and Intrinsic Value ($1.26), while experiencing a catastrophic YoY EPS collapse of -94.1%. Most critically, the dividend is fundamentally unsustainable with a payout ratio of 244.44%, signaling an imminent cut. With a 0/100 technical trend and four consecutive quarterly earnings misses, the current valuation is unsupported by fundamentals.
Key Strengths
Strong Gross Margin of 78.95%
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.64 compared to sector average
Adequate liquidity with a Current Ratio of 1.25
Attractive Forward P/E (6.89) if earnings recovery materializes
Positive 1-year price performance (+24.6%) despite fundamental decay
Key Risks
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (244.44%)
Severe earnings deterioration (YoY EPS growth -94.1%)
Stagnant revenue growth (0.10% YoY)
Consistent failure to meet analyst expectations (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Significant overvaluation relative to Intrinsic Value ($1.26)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$3.5
-39.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
31
Weak
35
20
40
50
10
AI Verdict
High Risk / Value Trap
Key drivers: Dividend sustainability, EPS collapse, Valuation premium
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
- Price ($5.75) > Graham Number ($4.32)
- Price ($5.75) >> Intrinsic Value ($1.26)
- High trailing P/E (31.94)
Future
20/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price of $7.50
Watchpoints
- Flat revenue growth (0.10%)
- Negative Q/Q revenue growth
- Severe EPS decline
Past
40/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Recent 1Y price appreciation
Watchpoints
- Negative 5Y change (-24.4%)
- Consistent earnings misses (Avg surprise -46.64%)
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity lower than sector average
- Piotroski F-Score in 'Stable' range
Watchpoints
- Piotroski score of 4/9 indicates lack of strong financial improvement
Dividend
10/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- High nominal yield (7.65%)
Watchpoints
- Extreme payout ratio (244.44%) indicates dividend is paid from capital/debt rather than earnings
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$5.75
Analyst Target
$7.5
Upside/Downside
+30.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GRNT and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Primary
|
-24.4% | +26.1% | +24.6% | +14.4% | -1.5% | +15.9% |
|
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Peer
|
-36.2% | -40.0% | +24.6% | +26.9% | -5.3% | +7.8% |
|
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
|
-15.8% | -72.1% | -24.0% | -3.5% | +8.4% | -8.1% |
|
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
Peer
|
+660.0% | +61.9% | +21.6% | -25.0% | -19.7% | -4.0% |
|
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
Peer
|
-37.7% | -16.6% | +50.7% | +3.6% | +10.1% | +5.8% |
GRN
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-24.4%
3Y
+26.1%
1Y
+24.6%
6M
+14.4%
1M
-1.5%
1W
+15.9%
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
Peer
5Y
-36.2%
3Y
-40.0%
1Y
+24.6%
6M
+26.9%
1M
-5.3%
1W
+7.8%
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-15.8%
3Y
-72.1%
1Y
-24.0%
6M
-3.5%
1M
+8.4%
1W
-8.1%
HNR
Hallador Energy Company
Peer
5Y
+660.0%
3Y
+61.9%
1Y
+21.6%
6M
-25.0%
1M
-19.7%
1W
-4.0%
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
Peer
5Y
-37.7%
3Y
-16.6%
1Y
+50.7%
6M
+3.6%
1M
+10.1%
1W
+5.8%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
31.94
Forward P/E
6.89
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.25
P/S Ratio
1.77
EV/Revenue
2.61
EV/EBITDA
3.34
Market Cap
$758.46M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
5.69%
Operating Margin
20.86%
Gross Margin
78.95%
ROE
3.92%
ROA
6.7%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+0.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-0.77%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.64
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.25
Good
Quick Ratio
1.05
Good
Cash/Share
$0.2
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
15.6%
Op. Margin
7.8%
Net Margin
-23.8%
Total Assets
$1.2B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$0.6B
Debt/Equity
0.93x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
-100%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-05
$0.01
-90.0% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.09
-34.5% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.11
-15.4% surprise
Energy Sector Comparison
Comparing GRNT against 107 companies in the Energy sector
(9 bullish, 37 neutral, 61 bearish)
P/E Ratio
31.94
This Stock
vs
31.33
Sector Avg
+2.0%
(Premium)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.92%
This Stock
vs
3.08%
Sector Avg
+27.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
5.69%
This Stock
vs
5.34%
Sector Avg
+6.6%
(Better)
Debt to Equity
0.64
This Stock
vs
1.35
Sector Avg
-53.0%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
0.1%
This Stock
vs
20.6%
Sector Avg
-99.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.25
This Stock
vs
2.09
Sector Avg
-40.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
GRNT
Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $758.46M | 31.94 | 3.9% | 5.7% | $5.75 | |
|
GFR
Greenfire Resources Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $781.41M | 12.98 | 4.8% | 8.1% | $6.23 | Compare |
|
HPK
HighPeak Energy, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $801.11M | 48.77 | 1.2% | 2.2% | $6.34 | Compare |
|
HNRG
Hallador Energy Company
|
NEUTRAL | $714.76M | 15.83 | 31.7% | 8.9% | $15.2 | Compare |
|
CLB
Core Laboratories Inc.
|
BEARISH | $803.54M | 27.7 | 11.6% | 5.6% | $17.45 | Compare |
GRNT
Granite Ridge...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$758M
P/E
31.9
ROE
3.9%
Price
$5.75
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | MILLER MATTHEW READE | Director | Stock Award | 3,194 | - |
| 2026-03-13 | KETTLER RONALD KYLE | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 3,000 | $15,510 |
| 2026-03-12 | MCCARTNEY JOHN F | Director | Purchase | 5,000 | $25,800 |
| 2026-03-12 | EVERARD MICHELE J. | Director | Purchase | 5,000 | $25,850 |
| 2026-03-11 | MCCARTNEY JOHN F | Director | Purchase | 2,000 | $10,240 |
| 2026-03-10 | FARQUHARSON TYLER S | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 12,500 | $65,125 |
| 2026-03-10 | MILLER MATTHEW READE | Director | Purchase | 10,000 | $51,000 |
| 2026-03-10 | KETTLER RONALD KYLE | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 5,000 | $25,900 |
| 2026-03-04 | FARQUHARSON TYLER S | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 47,656 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | WEIMER KIMBERLY A. | Officer | Stock Award | 26,616 | - |
| 2026-03-04 | KETTLER RONALD KYLE | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 17,110 | - |
| 2026-02-09 | KETTLER RONALD KYLE | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 97,466 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | MCCARTNEY JOHN F | Director | Stock Award | 16,026 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | COUSSENS AMANDA N | Director | Stock Award | 16,026 | - |
| 2026-01-02 | DARDEN THADDEUS | Director | Stock Award | 16,026 | - |
MILLER MATTHEW READE
Director
2026-03-31
3,194 shares
KETTLER RONALD KYLE
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-13
3,000 shares
·
$15,510
MCCARTNEY JOHN F
Director
2026-03-12
5,000 shares
·
$25,800
EVERARD MICHELE J.
Director
2026-03-12
5,000 shares
·
$25,850
MCCARTNEY JOHN F
Director
2026-03-11
2,000 shares
·
$10,240
FARQUHARSON TYLER S
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-10
12,500 shares
·
$65,125
MILLER MATTHEW READE
Director
2026-03-10
10,000 shares
·
$51,000
KETTLER RONALD KYLE
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-10
5,000 shares
·
$25,900
FARQUHARSON TYLER S
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-04
47,656 shares
WEIMER KIMBERLY A.
Officer
2026-03-04
26,616 shares
KETTLER RONALD KYLE
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-04
17,110 shares
KETTLER RONALD KYLE
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-09
97,466 shares
MCCARTNEY JOHN F
Director
2026-01-02
16,026 shares
COUSSENS AMANDA N
Director
2026-01-02
16,026 shares
DARDEN THADDEUS
Director
2026-01-02
16,026 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
HOLD
5 analysts
Freedom Broker
2026-03-13
Hold
Hold
Freedom Broker
2025-11-13
Buy
Hold
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning GRNT from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.