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GTX vs HGV

GTX
Garrett Motion Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$19.48
Market Cap
$3.79B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$46.41
Market Cap
$3.78B
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
AI Confidence
85%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
GTX
12.82
HGV
52.15
Forward P/E
GTX
9.28
HGV
9.73
P/B Ratio
GTX
-4.63
HGV
2.99
P/S Ratio
GTX
1.06
HGV
0.84
EV/EBITDA
GTX
8.25
HGV
13.22

Profitability

Gross Margin
GTX
20.4%
HGV
23.24%
Operating Margin
GTX
14.14%
HGV
15.77%
Profit Margin
GTX
8.65%
HGV
1.8%
ROE
GTX
--
HGV
5.94%
ROA
GTX
13.62%
HGV
3.05%

Growth

Revenue Growth
GTX
5.6%
HGV
3.7%
Earnings Growth
GTX
-9.8%
HGV
187.2%

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
GTX
--
HGV
5.1
Current Ratio
GTX
0.97
HGV
4.46
Quick Ratio
GTX
0.58
HGV
2.48

Dividends

Dividend Yield
GTX
1.65%
HGV
--
Payout Ratio
GTX
17.11%
HGV
0.0%

AI Verdict

GTX NEUTRAL

GTX presents a stark contrast between strong price momentum and fragile fundamentals. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates a stable but mediocre financial health, the negative Price-to-Book ratio (-4.63) reveals negative shareholders' equity, a significant red flag. The stock is currently trading at a substantial premium to its growth-based intrinsic value of $10.64, despite a low forward P/E of 9.28. Recent price gains are decoupled from declining year-over-year earnings growth (-9.80%) and bearish insider activity.

Strengths
Low Forward P/E (9.28) relative to sector average (39.86)
Strong 1-year price performance (+128.5%)
Consistent recent earnings beats (3 of last 4 quarters)
Risks
Negative shareholders' equity (indicated by P/B of -4.63)
Significant overvaluation relative to intrinsic value ($19.48 vs $10.64)
Declining YoY earnings growth (-9.80%)
HGV NEUTRAL

HGV exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and excellent short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 4.46), yet it faces significant valuation headwinds. The current price of $46.41 trades at a substantial premium to both the Graham Number ($17.62) and Intrinsic Value ($26.25). While the Forward P/E of 9.73 suggests a potential for earnings recovery, the recent track record is alarming, with 0 out of the last 4 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of -31.85%. The divergence between analyst optimism and poor recent earnings performance creates a high-risk profile.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.46 and Quick Ratio of 2.48
Attractive Forward P/E (9.73) compared to trailing P/E (52.15)
Risks
Severe earnings disappointment with 0/4 recent beats and -31.85% average surprise
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.10
Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Compare Another Pair

GTX vs HGV: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Garrett Motion Inc. (GTX) and Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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