HGV

NEUTRAL

$46.41 Live

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. · NYSE

Target $55.1 (+18.7%)

$32.28 52W Range $52.08

HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

Console Chart News

HGV Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NYSE • Consumer Cyclical • Resorts & Casinos

Current Price Live

$46.41

Analyst Target

$55.1

+18.7% Upside

52W High

$52.08

52W Low

$32.28

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders SEC Filings

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026

Market cap

$3.78B

P/E

52.15

ROE

5.9%

Profit margin

1.8%

Debt/Equity

5.1

Dividend yield

N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

85%

HGV exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and excellent short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 4.46), yet it faces significant valuation headwinds. The current price of $46.41 trades at a substantial premium to both the Graham Number ($17.62) and Intrinsic Value ($26.25). While the Forward P/E of 9.73 suggests a potential for earnings recovery, the recent track record is alarming, with 0 out of the last 4 quarters beating estimates and an average surprise of -31.85%. The divergence between analyst optimism and poor recent earnings performance creates a high-risk profile.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating robust financial health

Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 4.46 and Quick Ratio of 2.48

Attractive Forward P/E (9.73) compared to trailing P/E (52.15)

Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.84) suggesting efficient revenue generation relative to market cap

Strong 1-year price performance (+35.4%)

Key Risks

Severe earnings disappointment with 0/4 recent beats and -31.85% average surprise

High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 5.10

Significant overvaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value

Bearish insider sentiment with recent officer sales totaling $1.39M

Very thin net profit margins (1.80%)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$31.25

-32.7% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Speculative Hold

Key drivers: Strong operational health (Piotroski), Poor earnings execution, Valuation gap, High leverage

Confidence

80%

Value

30/100

Stock trades at a significant premium to defensive fair value metrics.

Positives

Low P/S ratio

Watchpoints

Price far exceeds Graham Number ($17.62)
Price far exceeds Intrinsic Value ($26.25)
High trailing P/E

Future

45/100

Growth is present on paper but not meeting analyst expectations.

Positives

Strong YoY earnings growth (187%)
Low Forward P/E

Watchpoints

Consistent earnings misses in recent quarters
Slow revenue growth (3.7%)

Past

60/100

Recent momentum is strong, but long-term growth has been stagnant.

Positives

Strong 1-year return
Successful integration of Diamond Resorts

Watchpoints

Flat 5-year performance (+4.2%)

Health

85/100

Operationally sound and liquid, despite high industry-standard leverage.

Positives

Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
High Current and Quick ratios

Watchpoints

Very high Debt/Equity (5.10)

Dividend

0/100

Company does not return capital via dividends.

Positives

No standout positives identified.

Watchpoints

No dividend paid
0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$46.41

Analyst Target

$55.1

Upside/Downside

+18.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HGV and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. Primary	+4.2%	+8.4%	+35.4%	+1.7%	+22.5%	-5.8%
GTX Garrett Motion Inc. Peer	+295.7%	+142.5%	+128.5%	+52.2%	+7.6%	+5.8%
GEF Greif, Inc. Peer	+29.9%	+17.7%	+27.9%	+12.9%	-0.4%	-4.8%
HRB H&R Block, Inc. Peer	+61.7%	-0.7%	-47.5%	-40.2%	-1.8%	-3.4%
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc. Peer	+107.0%	+65.0%	+0.5%	-6.9%	-11.0%	-3.2%

HGV

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.

Primary

+4.2%

+8.4%

+35.4%

+1.7%

+22.5%

-5.8%

GTX

Garrett Motion Inc.

Peer

+295.7%

+142.5%

+128.5%

+52.2%

+7.6%

+5.8%

GEF

Greif, Inc.

Peer

+29.9%

+17.7%

+27.9%

+12.9%

-0.4%

-4.8%

HRB

H&R Block, Inc.

Peer

+61.7%

-0.7%

-47.5%

-40.2%

-1.8%

-3.4%

CVC

Cavco Industries, Inc.

Peer

+107.0%

+65.0%

+0.5%

-6.9%

-11.0%

-3.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

52.15

9.73

N/A

2.99

0.84

2.44

13.22

$3.78B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 1.8%

Operating Margin 15.77%

Gross Margin 23.24%

ROE 5.94%

ROA 3.05%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +3.7%

Earnings Growth +187.2%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +3.82%

Q/Q Earnings Growth +140.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

5.1

High debt

Current Ratio

4.46

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.48

Excellent

Cash/Share

$3.16

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$1.3B

Gross Margin

175.6%

Op. Margin

21.0%

Net Margin

3.6%

Total Assets

$11.5B

Liabilities

$10.1B

Equity

$1.3B

Debt/Equity

7.83x

Operating CF

$0.2B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.1B

FCF Yield

75%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-30

$N/A

2026-02-26

$0.88

-24.0% surprise

2025-10-30

$0.6

-38.5% surprise

2025-07-31

$0.54

-33.1% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing HGV against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)

P/E Ratio

52.15

This Stock

33.98

Sector Avg

+53.5% (Expensive)

Return on Equity (ROE)

5.94%

This Stock

-43.92%

Sector Avg

-113.5% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

1.8%

This Stock

-5.4%

Sector Avg

-133.3% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

5.1

This Stock

1.51

Sector Avg

+237.4% (Higher)

Revenue Growth

3.7%

This Stock

28.42%

Sector Avg

-87.0% (Slower)

Current Ratio

4.46

This Stock

2.46

Sector Avg

+81.5% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.78B	52.15	5.9%	1.8%	$46.41
GTX Garrett Motion Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.79B	12.82	-%	8.6%	$19.48	Compare
GEF Greif, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.79B	27.48	-%	25.0%	$66.5	Compare
HRB H&R Block, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.88B	7.16	-%	16.2%	$30.64	Compare
CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$3.66B	20.37	17.2%	8.4%	$468.67	Compare

HGV Hilton Grand...

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$3.8B

P/E

52.1

ROE

5.9%

Price

$46.41

GTX Garrett Motion Inc.

Compare with HGV

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CVCO Cavco Industries, Inc.

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Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

Date	Insider	Position	Transaction	Shares	Value
2026-03-10	WANG MARK D	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	73,456	-
2026-03-10	CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.	Officer	Stock Award	25,875	-
2026-03-10	GURNIK GORDON SCOTT	Chief Operating Officer	Stock Award	28,980	-
2026-03-10	MATHEWES DANIEL JASON	President	Stock Award	32,085	-
2026-03-10	TONKIN DUSTY	Officer	Stock Award	34,066	-
2026-03-10	HERNANDEZ CARLOS	Officer	Stock Award	7,540	-
2026-03-10	CORNEJO MARIA PIA	Officer	Stock Award	14,194	-
2026-02-20	WANG MARK D	Chief Executive Officer	Stock Award	80,340	-
2026-02-20	CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.	General Counsel	Stock Award	32,141	-
2026-02-20	GURNIK GORDON SCOTT	Chief Operating Officer	Stock Award	29,831	-
2026-02-20	MATHEWES DANIEL JASON	President	Stock Award	29,831	-
2026-02-20	HERNANDEZ CARLOS	Officer	Stock Award	4,641	-
2025-12-12	JOHNSON DAVID WILLIAM	Director	Gift	11,347	-
2025-11-07	HERNANDEZ CARLOS	Officer	Sale	2,867	$114,651
2025-11-03	CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.	Officer	Sale	30,426	$1,272,172

WANG MARK D

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

73,456 shares

CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

25,875 shares

GURNIK GORDON SCOTT

Chief Operating Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

28,980 shares

MATHEWES DANIEL JASON

President

Stock Award

2026-03-10

32,085 shares

TONKIN DUSTY

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

34,066 shares

HERNANDEZ CARLOS

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

7,540 shares

CORNEJO MARIA PIA

Officer

Stock Award

2026-03-10

14,194 shares

WANG MARK D

Chief Executive Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-20

80,340 shares

CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.

General Counsel

Stock Award

2026-02-20

32,141 shares

GURNIK GORDON SCOTT

Chief Operating Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-20

29,831 shares

MATHEWES DANIEL JASON

President

Stock Award

2026-02-20

29,831 shares

HERNANDEZ CARLOS

Officer

Stock Award

2026-02-20

4,641 shares

JOHNSON DAVID WILLIAM

Director

Gift

2025-12-12

11,347 shares

HERNANDEZ CARLOS

Officer

Sell

2025-11-07

2,867 shares · $114,651

CORBIN CHARLES R. JR.

Officer

Sell

2025-11-03

30,426 shares · $1,272,172

Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K

2026-03-17

DEF 14A

2026-03-17

HGV filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 17, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

8-K

2026-02-26

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) filed an 8-K on February 26, 2026, likely to announce its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-K

2026-02-26

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. (HGV) operates in the vacation ownership interval (VOI) market, utilizing both developed and fee-for-service inventory models across owned and third-party managed resorts. The company has expanded its scale through the 2021 acquisition of Diamond Resorts and maintains critical brand licenses with Hilton Worldwide Holdings. Specific financial results and risk factors were not detailed in the provided excerpts.

10-Q

2025-10-30

HGV filed its 10-Q on October 30, 2025. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-10-30

Host Hotels & Resorts (HGV) likely reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K

FORM 8-K

2025-08-14

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. filed an 8-K on August 14, 2025, likely to announce its second-quarter financial results.

8-K

2025-08-12

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. filed an 8-K likely announcing its second-quarter financial results for 2025.

8-K

2025-07-31

Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. likely reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results.

10-Q

2025-07-31

HGV filed its quarterly 10-Q report on July 31, 2025. The filing includes a dedicated section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K

2025-05-07

10-Q

2025-05-01

8-K

2025-05-01

8-K

2025-03-24

DEF 14A

2025-03-18

Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

10 analysts

Wells Fargo

2026-04-16

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Morgan Stanley

2026-04-10

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Citizens

2026-03-09

Maintains

Market Outperform Market Outperform

Jefferies

2026-03-02

Maintains

Hold Hold

Barclays

2026-03-02

Maintains

Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Mizuho

2026-02-27

Maintains

Outperform Outperform

Morgan Stanley

2026-01-16

down

Overweight Equal-Weight

Wells Fargo

2025-11-18

init

Equal-Weight

Truist Securities

2025-11-14

Maintains

Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HGV from our newsroom.

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HGV

HGV Hilton Grand Vacations Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Recent Insider Trading

SEC Filings

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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