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HFWA vs JCAP

HFWA
Heritage Financial Corporation
BULLISH
Price
$27.30
Market Cap
$1.12B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
75%
JCAP
Jefferson Capital, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$20.01
Market Cap
$1.11B
Sector
Financial Services
AI Confidence
80%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
HFWA
13.93
JCAP
3.55
Forward P/E
HFWA
9.35
JCAP
6.97
P/B Ratio
HFWA
1.01
JCAP
2.45
P/S Ratio
HFWA
4.6
JCAP
1.82
EV/EBITDA
HFWA
--
JCAP
6.44

Profitability

Gross Margin
HFWA
0.0%
JCAP
78.13%
Operating Margin
HFWA
39.83%
JCAP
105.75%
Profit Margin
HFWA
27.66%
JCAP
30.95%
ROE
HFWA
7.57%
JCAP
43.78%
ROA
HFWA
0.96%
JCAP
12.78%

Growth

Revenue Growth
HFWA
20.2%
JCAP
27.7%
Earnings Growth
HFWA
90.8%
JCAP
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
HFWA
--
JCAP
2.97
Current Ratio
HFWA
--
JCAP
5.05
Quick Ratio
HFWA
--
JCAP
4.98

Dividends

Dividend Yield
HFWA
3.52%
JCAP
4.8%
Payout Ratio
HFWA
48.98%
JCAP
8.51%

AI Verdict

HFWA BULLISH

HFWA presents a compelling value opportunity, trading significantly below both its Graham Number ($34.59) and Intrinsic Value ($57.82). While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable financial health, the company is exhibiting explosive earnings growth (90.80% YoY) and a very attractive forward P/E of 9.35. Despite bearish insider sentiment and weak technical trends, the fundamental disconnect between the current price ($27.30) and the growth-adjusted value suggests a strong upside. The dividend remains sustainable with a payout ratio under 50%.

Strengths
Significant undervaluation relative to Graham Number and Intrinsic Value
Exceptional YoY earnings growth of 90.80%
Low forward P/E ratio (9.35) relative to growth rates
Risks
Bearish insider activity with consistent selling and zero buying
Severely bearish technical trend (10/100)
Modest ROE (7.57%) compared to high-performing regional peers
JCAP NEUTRAL

JCAP presents a stark contrast between deep fundamental value and alarming insider behavior. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health and the stock trades at a significant discount to its Graham Number ($32.19) and Intrinsic Value ($39.48), the technical trend is completely bearish. The company boasts an exceptional ROE of 43.78% and a very low P/E of 3.55, but these are overshadowed by massive insider selling totaling over $223M. Consequently, the valuation appeal is tempered by a lack of internal confidence and poor earnings surprise history.

Strengths
Extreme valuation discount with a P/E of 3.55
High profitability with ROE at 43.78% and Profit Margin at 30.95%
Strong top-line growth with 27.7% YoY revenue increase
Risks
Massive insider liquidation ($223.81M) including CEO and 10%+ owners
Bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
High leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 2.97

Compare Another Pair

HFWA vs JCAP: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares Heritage Financial Corporation (HFWA) and Jefferson Capital, Inc. (JCAP) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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