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MGPI vs OTLY

MGPI
MGP Ingredients, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Price
$19.33
Market Cap
$413.1M
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
80%
OTLY
Oatly Group AB
BEARISH
Price
$12.92
Market Cap
$403.4M
Sector
Consumer Defensive
AI Confidence
95%

Valuation

P/E Ratio
MGPI
--
OTLY
--
Forward P/E
MGPI
9.49
OTLY
-6.35
P/B Ratio
MGPI
0.57
OTLY
21.75
P/S Ratio
MGPI
0.77
OTLY
0.47
EV/EBITDA
MGPI
6.13
OTLY
-328.03

Profitability

Gross Margin
MGPI
37.18%
OTLY
32.12%
Operating Margin
MGPI
12.59%
OTLY
-4.33%
Profit Margin
MGPI
-20.1%
OTLY
-17.71%
ROE
MGPI
-13.92%
OTLY
-243.44%
ROA
MGPI
3.95%
OTLY
-4.78%

Growth

Revenue Growth
MGPI
-23.5%
OTLY
9.1%
Earnings Growth
MGPI
--
OTLY
--

Financial Health

Debt/Equity
MGPI
0.37
OTLY
28.48
Current Ratio
MGPI
2.61
OTLY
0.48
Quick Ratio
MGPI
0.69
OTLY
0.33

Dividends

Dividend Yield
MGPI
2.49%
OTLY
--
Payout Ratio
MGPI
96.0%
OTLY
0.0%

AI Verdict

MGPI NEUTRAL

MGPI presents a classic 'value trap' profile: fundamentally healthy but operationally declining. While the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong financial health and the balance sheet is robust (Debt/Equity 0.37), the company is facing a severe growth crisis with revenue down 23.5% and EPS down 59.9% YoY. The stock is deeply undervalued on a Price-to-Book (0.57) and Price-to-Sales (0.77) basis, but this is offset by bearish insider activity and a nearly unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 96%.

Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating high financial quality
Deep value valuation with P/B of 0.57 and P/S of 0.77
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.37
Risks
Severe revenue contraction (-23.5% YoY)
Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (96%)
Heavy insider selling totaling $8.92M in the last 6 months
OTLY BEARISH

OTLY exhibits critical financial instability, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a catastrophic ROE of -243.44%. The company is facing a severe liquidity crisis with a current ratio of 0.48 and an extreme Debt/Equity ratio of 28.48, signaling high insolvency risk. While revenue shows modest growth (9.10%) and the Price/Sales ratio is low (0.47), these are overshadowed by chronic unprofitability and a 96.8% loss in value over five years. The deterministic health markers suggest a company in distress despite recent short-term price volatility.

Strengths
Positive revenue growth of 9.10% YoY
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.47) suggesting low valuation relative to top-line
Positive Gross Margin (32.12%) indicating viable product pricing
Risks
Severe liquidity risk with a Current Ratio of 0.48 (below 1.0)
Extreme leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 28.48
Chronic net losses with a Profit Margin of -17.71%

Compare Another Pair

MGPI vs OTLY: Head-to-Head Comparison

This page compares MGP Ingredients, Inc. (MGPI) and Oatly Group AB (OTLY) across key fundamental metrics including valuation ratios, profitability margins, growth rates, financial health indicators, and dividend metrics. Each metric highlights the better-performing stock so you can quickly identify relative strengths and weaknesses.

Our AI engine independently analyzes each company's financials, competitive position, and market conditions to produce a verdict (Bullish, Neutral, or Bearish) along with key strengths and risks. Use this comparison alongside your own research to make informed investment decisions.

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