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NGD

BULLISH
$9.08 Live
New Gold Inc. · AMEX
Target $13.58 (+49.6%)
$2.9 52W Range $13.63
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated May 01, 2026
Market cap
$7.21B
P/E
28.38
ROE
22.3%
Profit margin
20.1%
Debt/Equity
0.32
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
NGD presents a high-growth profile with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($9.08) trading very close to its growth-based intrinsic value ($9.44). While the Graham Number ($3.36) suggests a defensive undervaluation gap, the stock's massive earnings growth (275% YoY) and a highly attractive Forward P/E of 7.69 justify the current premium. Despite strong profitability and low debt/equity, short-term liquidity is a concern with a current ratio of 0.88. The overall outlook is bullish based on fundamental expansion, though technicals remain bearish in the short term.

Key Strengths

Explosive earnings growth (275% YoY) and revenue growth (83.5% YoY)
Strong profitability margins (Operating Margin: 50.16%, Gross Margin: 63.13%)
Low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.32
Significant outperformance of sector averages in ROE (22.29% vs -5.20%)
Highly attractive Forward P/E (7.69) relative to trailing P/E (28.38)

Key Risks

Weak short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 0.88, Quick Ratio 0.45)
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Low insider sentiment (40/100) suggesting lack of internal conviction
High volatility in earnings surprises (Average surprise -61.17% over last 4 quarters)
Dependence on gold price fluctuations inherent to the industry
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$9.44
+4.0% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
61
Strong
Value
65
Future
95
Past
90
Health
55
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Strong Growth Play
Key drivers: Earnings acceleration, Margin expansion, Forward valuation compression
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100

Trailing P/E is high (28.38), but Forward P/E (7.69) suggests the market is underpricing future earnings.

Positives
  • Trading near intrinsic value
  • Low Forward P/E
Watchpoints
  • Significant premium over Graham Number
  • High Price/Book (5.80)
Future
95/100

Growth metrics are exceptional compared to the Basic Materials sector average.

Positives
  • Triple-digit EPS growth
  • Strong Q/Q revenue momentum
Watchpoints
  • Sustainability of 275% growth rate
Past
90/100

Long-term price performance is elite, though short-term momentum has stalled.

Positives
  • Massive 5Y (+424.9%) and 3Y (+887%) returns
  • Consistent recovery from 2020-2022 losses
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-month price correction (-19.1%)
Health
55/100

Balance sheet is lean on debt but tight on liquid assets.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.32)
  • Stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio < 1.0
  • Quick Ratio < 0.5
Dividend
0/100

Company is reinvesting all capital into growth.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$9.08
Analyst Target
$13.58
Upside/Downside
+49.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for NGD and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-20
NGD
New Gold Inc.
Primary
5Y
+424.9%
3Y
+887.0%
1Y
+172.7%
6M
+36.5%
1M
-19.1%
1W
-9.0%
AXT
Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+21.2%
3Y
+22.1%
1Y
-8.8%
6M
+13.8%
1M
+4.1%
1W
+0.1%
CE
Celanese Corporation
Peer
5Y
-55.4%
3Y
-32.6%
1Y
+49.1%
6M
+54.2%
1M
+3.7%
1W
+4.8%
ICL
ICL Group Ltd
Peer
5Y
+12.9%
3Y
-0.5%
1Y
-16.4%
6M
-15.8%
1M
+6.5%
1W
+6.3%
MOS
The Mosaic Company
Peer
5Y
-26.8%
3Y
-42.4%
1Y
-21.5%
6M
-18.2%
1M
-7.9%
1W
-6.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
28.38
Forward P/E
7.69
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.8
P/S Ratio
5.81
EV/Revenue
6.01
EV/EBITDA
10.72
Market Cap
$7.21B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 20.07%
Operating Margin 50.16%
Gross Margin 63.13%
ROE 22.29%
ROA 12.83%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +83.5%
Earnings Growth +275.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +89.21%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +275.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.32
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.88
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.45
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.16

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.5B
Gross Margin
69.1%
Op. Margin
56.6%
Net Margin
133.8%
Total Assets
$3.2B
Liabilities
$1.3B
Equity
$1.9B
Debt/Equity
0.66x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
79%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-03-20
$0.33
+41.0% surprise
2025-10-28
$0.18
2025-07-28
$0.11
+8.8% surprise
2025-04-29
$-0.02
-233.3% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing NGD against 175 companies in the Basic Materials sector (19 bullish, 68 neutral, 88 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.38
This Stock
vs
37.76
Sector Avg
-24.9% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
22.29%
This Stock
vs
-5.63%
Sector Avg
-496.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
20.07%
This Stock
vs
-4.07%
Sector Avg
-593.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.32
This Stock
vs
1.09
Sector Avg
-70.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
83.5%
This Stock
vs
36.54%
Sector Avg
+128.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
0.88
This Stock
vs
4.66
Sector Avg
-81.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

NGD New Gold Inc.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$7.2B
P/E
28.4
ROE
22.3%
Price
$9.08
AXTA Axalta Coating...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$7.2B
P/E
16.3
ROE
21.3%
Price
$33.62
 Compare with NGD
CE Celanese Corporation
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$7.3B
P/E
-
ROE
-22.5%
Price
$65.0
 Compare with NGD
ICL ICL Group Ltd
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$7.2B
P/E
30.8
ROE
4.6%
Price
$5.54
 Compare with NGD
MOS The Mosaic Company
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$7.3B
P/E
13.5
ROE
4.8%
Price
$23.03
 Compare with NGD

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-01-26
Maintains
Sector Outperform Sector Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning NGD from our newsroom.

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