ADTN
NEUTRAL
$9.94
Live
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.0
(+40.8%)
$6.93
52W Range
$11.1
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$801.76M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-6.8%
Profit margin
-4.2%
Debt/Equity
0.49
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
72%
ADTN's Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates a stable but not strong financial health, with mixed profitability signals and a lack of Altman Z-Score data raising caution. The company shows strong revenue growth (20.1% YoY) and recent EPS rebound, but persistent negative ROE and ROA, along with a negative profit margin, highlight ongoing operational inefficiencies. Despite a favorable price-to-sales ratio (0.74) and a forward P/E of 13.11, the absence of a Graham Number and intrinsic value estimate limits fundamental valuation clarity. Analysts maintain a 'buy' recommendation with a $14.00 target, suggesting optimism, though insider selling and weak recent earnings surprises temper conviction.
Key Strengths
20.1% year-over-year revenue growth indicates strong top-line momentum
Forward P/E of 13.11 is below sector average (77.81), suggesting relative valuation attractiveness
Price-to-sales of 0.74 is below 1.0, indicating potential undervaluation on sales basis
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +220.0% signals a potential turnaround in earnings performance
Positive insider sentiment (60/100) and a buy recommendation from 6 analysts provide some market confidence
Key Risks
Negative profit margin (-4.21%) and ROE (-6.78%) reflect ongoing profitability challenges
Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 indicates stable but not robust financial health; lacks strong positive signals
Insider selling activity (1 transaction, $0.15M) with no buys suggests potential internal caution
No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate limits fundamental valuation clarity
Historical earnings surprises are volatile, with a recent average of -8.08% over last 4 quarters
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
49
Moderate
68
74
52
50
0
AI Verdict
Neutral
Key drivers: Strong revenue growth and favorable valuation metrics, Mixed profitability and weak financial health scores, Recent earnings rebound but inconsistent track record
Confidence
72%
Value
68/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price-to-sales of 0.74 is below 1.0, suggesting undervaluation on sales basis
- Forward P/E of 13.11 is significantly below sector average of 77.81
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
- Negative profit margin undermines earnings-based valuation
Future
74/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- 20.1% YoY revenue growth indicates strong top-line expansion
- Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +220.0% signals potential earnings recovery
Watchpoints
- Forward P/E and PEG are both unavailable, limiting growth-adjusted valuation
- Earnings growth (YoY) is not available, making trend analysis incomplete
Past
52/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historical EPS surprises include several large positive beats (e.g., +321.1%, +699.9%)
- Recent quarter showed a +95.1% surprise, indicating potential upside potential
Watchpoints
- Average earnings surprise over last 4 quarters is -8.08%, indicating underperformance
- Multiple quarters with negative actuals despite positive estimates
Health
50/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Debt/Equity of 0.49 is below sector average (0.76), indicating conservative leverage
- Current ratio of 1.75 suggests adequate short-term liquidity
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 is below the 7-9 threshold for strong financial health
- Negative ROE (-6.78%) and ROA (-0.79%) indicate poor capital efficiency
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or payout ratio available
- Payout ratio is 0.00%, indicating no dividend distribution
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$9.94
Analyst Target
$14.0
Upside/Downside
+40.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ADTN and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-03-13
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
Primary
|
-44.5% | -34.6% | +14.7% | -1.7% | -4.2% | +3.6% |
|
ALIT
Alight, Inc.
Peer
|
-87.9% | -83.0% | -77.8% | -73.4% | -24.4% | -5.1% |
|
LPTH
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
Peer
|
+391.8% | +907.7% | +670.6% | +61.9% | +37.1% | +25.4% |
|
MTC
MMTec, Inc.
Peer
|
-94.0% | +30.3% | +762.3% | +758.0% | +59.2% | +53.2% |
|
BLND
Blend Labs, Inc.
Peer
|
-86.6% | +90.5% | -24.7% | -22.6% | -7.0% | -5.1% |
ADT
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-44.5%
3Y
-34.6%
1Y
+14.7%
6M
-1.7%
1M
-4.2%
1W
+3.6%
ALI
Alight, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-87.9%
3Y
-83.0%
1Y
-77.8%
6M
-73.4%
1M
-24.4%
1W
-5.1%
LPT
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+391.8%
3Y
+907.7%
1Y
+670.6%
6M
+61.9%
1M
+37.1%
1W
+25.4%
MTC
MMTec, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-94.0%
3Y
+30.3%
1Y
+762.3%
6M
+758.0%
1M
+59.2%
1W
+53.2%
BLN
Blend Labs, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-86.6%
3Y
+90.5%
1Y
-24.7%
6M
-22.6%
1M
-7.0%
1W
-5.1%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
13.11
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.45
P/S Ratio
0.74
EV/Revenue
1.23
EV/EBITDA
17.16
Market Cap
$801.76M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-4.21%
Operating Margin
1.75%
Gross Margin
38.29%
ROE
-6.78%
ROA
-0.79%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+20.1%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.49
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.75
Good
Quick Ratio
0.88
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.19
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$0.16
+95.1% surprise
2025-11-03
$0.05
-19.4% surprise
2025-08-04
$N/A
-100.0% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing ADTN against 383 companies in the Technology sector
(32 bullish, 137 neutral, 214 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-6.78%
This Stock
vs
-35.13%
Sector Avg
-80.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-4.21%
This Stock
vs
-11.73%
Sector Avg
-64.1%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.49
This Stock
vs
0.67
Sector Avg
-27.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
20.1%
This Stock
vs
6431.4%
Sector Avg
-99.7%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.75
This Stock
vs
3.83
Sector Avg
-54.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $801.76M | - | -6.8% | -4.2% | $9.94 | |
|
ALIT
Alight, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $818.74M | - | -66.9% | -94.2% | $1.49 | Compare |
|
LPTH
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $831.58M | - | -33.0% | -43.5% | $14.41 | Compare |
|
MTC
MMTec, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $854.46M | - | -272.7% | -% | $8.58 | Compare |
|
BLND
Blend Labs, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $727.29M | - | -0.5% | -2.5% | $2.8 | Compare |
ADTN
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$802M
P/E
-
ROE
-6.8%
Price
$9.94
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | JACQUELINE HOURIGAN RICE | Director | Sale | 14,406 | $148,238 |
| 2026-01-26 | STANTON THOMAS R | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 27,973 | - |
| 2026-01-26 | WILSON JAMES DENSON JR | Officer | Stock Award | 3,777 | - |
| 2026-01-26 | WILSON JAMES DENSON JR | Officer | Stock Award | 3,777 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | JACQUELINE HOURIGAN RICE | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | NAIR BALAN | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | HUSS HARRY FENWICK | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | WALKER KATHRYN A | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | MCCRAY GREGORY JAMES | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | THEODOSOPOULOS NIKOS | Director | Stock Award | 13,809 | - |
| 2025-11-28 | SANTO TIMOTHY P | Chief Financial Officer | Purchase | 6,150 | $49,323 |
| 2025-11-26 | THEODOSOPOULOS NIKOS | Director | Purchase | 12,859 | $100,429 |
| 2025-11-24 | STANTON THOMAS R | Chief Executive Officer | Purchase | 40,928 | $300,002 |
JACQUELINE HOURIGAN RICE
Director
2026-03-04
14,406 shares
·
$148,238
STANTON THOMAS R
Chief Executive Officer
2026-01-26
27,973 shares
WILSON JAMES DENSON JR
Officer
2026-01-26
3,777 shares
WILSON JAMES DENSON JR
Officer
2026-01-26
3,777 shares
JACQUELINE HOURIGAN RICE
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
NAIR BALAN
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
HUSS HARRY FENWICK
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
WALKER KATHRYN A
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
MCCRAY GREGORY JAMES
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
THEODOSOPOULOS NIKOS
Director
2025-12-31
13,809 shares
SANTO TIMOTHY P
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-28
6,150 shares
·
$49,323
THEODOSOPOULOS NIKOS
Director
2025-11-26
12,859 shares
·
$100,429
STANTON THOMAS R
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-24
40,928 shares
·
$300,002
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Rosenblatt
2026-02-27
Buy
Buy
Rosenblatt
2026-02-19
Buy
Buy
Rosenblatt
2025-11-05
Buy
Buy
B. Riley Securities
2025-09-18
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ADTN from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.