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ALIT

BEARISH
$1.49 Live
Alight, Inc. · NYSE
Target $5.07 (+240.4%)
$1.48 52W Range $7.66

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$818.74M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-66.9%
Profit margin
-94.2%
Debt/Equity
1.06
Dividend yield
10.32%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
75%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a critically weak financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating severe operational and profitability concerns. Despite a low Price/Book of 0.39 and a forward P/E of 2.56 suggesting deep value, the company is unprofitable with a staggering -94.23% profit margin and negative ROE of -66.86%. Revenue is declining YoY by 4%, and while recent EPS growth shows a sharp +185.7% YoY increase, this is from a negative base and inconsistent with long-term trends. The stock trades at a steep discount to the $5.07 analyst target, but fundamental deterioration, poor earnings execution (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters), and lack of Altman Z-Score data raise serious sustainability concerns.

Key Strengths

Extremely low forward P/E ratio of 2.56 suggests potential undervaluation if turnaround succeeds
Recent quarterly EPS growth shows strong momentum: +20.0% Q/Q and +185.7% YoY
Gross margin remains healthy at 39.45%, indicating pricing power or cost control at production level
High dividend yield of 10.32% may attract income-focused investors despite sustainability risks
Analyst target price implies 240% upside to $5.07, signaling strong external optimism

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates severe financial distress and weak profitability, leverage, and operating efficiency
Profit margin of -94.23% and ROE of -66.86% reflect ongoing unprofitability and capital destruction
Revenue declining YoY (-4.00%) amid broader sector growth of 68.72%, indicating loss of competitive position
Quick ratio of 0.77 indicates short-term liquidity risk; unable to cover current liabilities without inventory
Debt/Equity of 1.06 is above sector average (0.71), increasing financial risk in a high-interest environment
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$5.07
+240.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
45
Moderate
Value
85
Future
58
Past
25
Health
18
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
High-risk turnaround play with speculative upside
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score dragging down health, Deep valuation metrics offering potential rebound, Negative profitability offsetting recent EPS growth, Lack of insider activity reducing confidence in catalyst
Confidence
70%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 2.56 is exceptionally low
  • Price/Book of 0.39 indicates asset discount
  • Price/Sales of 0.36 well below sector average
Watchpoints
  • No Graham Number available for defensive valuation
  • P/E and P/B may be value traps due to unprofitability
Future
58/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Recent YoY EPS growth of +185.7% shows improvement
  • Operating margin positive at 3.75%
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth negative at -4.00% YoY
  • No consistent earnings growth trend; reliant on base effects
Past
25/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Some past earnings beats (e.g., +90.2% in 2022)
Watchpoints
  • Last 4 quarters missed estimates (0/4 beats)
  • 5Y price return of -87.9% reflects prolonged underperformance
  • History of volatility and declining investor confidence
Health
18/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.21 provides minimal liquidity buffer
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates financial weakness
  • ROE of -66.86% shows severe equity destruction
  • Quick ratio below 1.0 signals near-term solvency risk
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • High dividend yield of 10.32% stands out in sector
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 0.00% contradicts dividend payment, suggesting potential data error or non-sustainable distribution
  • Unprofitable company paying dividend raises red flags

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$1.49
Analyst Target
$5.07
Upside/Downside
+240.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ALIT and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
ALI
Alight, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-87.9%
3Y
-83.0%
1Y
-77.8%
6M
-73.4%
1M
-24.4%
1W
-5.1%
LPT
LightPath Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+391.8%
3Y
+907.7%
1Y
+670.6%
6M
+61.9%
1M
+37.1%
1W
+25.4%
ADT
ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-44.5%
3Y
-34.6%
1Y
+14.7%
6M
-1.7%
1M
-4.2%
1W
+3.6%
YB
Yuanbao Inc.
Peer
5Y
+8.7%
3Y
+8.7%
1Y
+8.7%
6M
-26.5%
1M
+0.5%
1W
-4.2%
IBT
Ibotta, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-63.7%
3Y
-63.7%
1Y
-27.2%
6M
+3.2%
1M
+22.8%
1W
-0.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
2.56
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.39
P/S Ratio
0.36
EV/Revenue
1.18
EV/EBITDA
6.28
Market Cap
$818.74M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -94.23%
Operating Margin 3.75%
Gross Margin 39.45%
ROE -66.86%
ROA 0.22%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -4.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.06
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.21
Good
Quick Ratio
0.77
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.41

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-19
$N/A
2025-11-05
$0.12
-7.4% surprise
2025-08-05
$0.1
-4.3% surprise
2025-05-08
$0.1
-1.6% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing ALIT against 565 companies in the Technology sector (45 bullish, 197 neutral, 323 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-66.86%
This Stock
vs
-33.47%
Sector Avg
+99.7% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-94.23%
This Stock
vs
-11.75%
Sector Avg
+702.1% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
1.06
This Stock
vs
0.74
Sector Avg
+43.2% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-4.0%
This Stock
vs
4383.21%
Sector Avg
-100.1% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.21
This Stock
vs
3.59
Sector Avg
-66.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

VERMA ROHIT
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-07
922,883 shares
WILLIAMS LENORE DENISE
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
14,102 shares · $27,499
LOPES ROBERT A. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
7,051 shares · $13,749
FOLEY WILLIAM P II
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
9,134 shares · $17,811
FRADIN RUSSELL P.
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
25,641 shares · $50,000
MASSEY RICHARD N
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
14,743 shares · $28,749
MASSEY RICHARD N
Director
Buy
2025-11-26
100,000 shares · $232,500
SCHRIESHEIM ROBERT A
Director
Buy
2025-11-26
42,098 shares · $100,189
LOPES ROBERT A. JR.
Director
Buy
2025-11-26
10,000 shares · $23,899
RAJGOPAL KAUSIK
Director
Buy
2025-11-25
40,000 shares · $89,596
WILLIAMS LENORE DENISE
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-30
8,435 shares · $27,498
LOPES ROBERT A. JR.
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-30
4,217 shares · $13,747
FOLEY WILLIAM P II
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-30
5,463 shares · $17,809
FRADIN RUSSELL P.
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-30
15,337 shares · $49,999
MASSEY RICHARD N
Director
Stock Award
2025-09-30
8,819 shares · $28,750
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
Keybanc
2026-01-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
DA Davidson
2025-12-08
Maintains
Buy Buy
DA Davidson
2025-11-25
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2025-11-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wedbush
2025-11-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Wedbush
2025-08-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
UBS
2025-08-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Needham
2025-08-06
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ALIT from our newsroom.

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