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AFRI Forafric Global PLC - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AFRI Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Defensive Farm Products
Current Price Live
$9.84
52W High
$11.42
52W Low
$7.47

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Feb 14, 2026
Market cap
$264.71M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-156.4%
Profit margin
-11.1%
Debt/Equity
17.53
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AFRI exhibits severe financial distress, as evidenced by a Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 (indicating weak financial health) and a dangerously high Debt/Equity ratio of 17.53, with current and quick ratios below 0.4 and 0.2 respectively—signaling acute liquidity risk. The company reports negative profitability across all key metrics, including a -11.12% profit margin, -156.36% ROE, and a staggering -45.3% YoY revenue decline. Despite a modest Price/Sales ratio of 1.31, the negative Price/Book (-57.88) and lack of any intrinsic value or Graham Number suggest deep undervaluation is not justified by fundamentals. The absence of dividends, analyst coverage, and technical strength further underscores a lack of investor confidence.

Key Strengths

Gross margin of 9.30% indicates some pricing power or cost control in operations
Price/Sales ratio of 1.31 is below the sector average of 28.83, suggesting potential undervaluation on a revenue basis
Recent 6-month price appreciation of +24.7% may reflect short-term speculative interest
Market cap of $0.26B places it in a small-cap niche with potential for re-rating if turnaround occurs
Insider sentiment at 40/100 suggests minimal selling pressure, though not a strong signal

Key Risks

Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates severe financial deterioration and weak operational efficiency
Debt/Equity ratio of 17.53 is extremely high and unsustainable, signaling high financial leverage risk
Negative ROE (-156.36%) and ROA (-0.41%) reflect deep losses and inefficient capital use
Current ratio of 0.38 and quick ratio of 0.16 indicate severe liquidity constraints and potential insolvency
Revenue declined by 45.3% YoY, with no signs of recovery, suggesting structural business issues

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
16
Weak
Value
35
Future
15
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High Risk
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, Debt/Equity of 17.53, Negative profitability across all metrics, Liquidity ratios below 0.4, Revenue decline of 45.3% YoY
Confidence
90%
Value
35/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Price/Sales of 1.31 is below sector average
  • Low market cap may offer re-rating potential
Watchpoints
  • Price/Book of -57.88 indicates negative book value
  • No Graham Number or intrinsic value estimate available
  • Negative earnings and cash flow make valuation models unreliable
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 6-month price return of +24.7% may indicate short-term momentum
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is -45.3% YoY
  • No forward P/E or earnings growth data available
  • No analyst coverage or target prices to guide expectations
Past
20/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 52-week high of $11.42 suggests prior price strength
Watchpoints
  • 5-year return of -3.2% and 3-year return of -11.9% indicate long-term underperformance
  • 1-year return of +1.6% is weak compared to sector
  • Recent 1-month and 1-week declines suggest volatility and bearish momentum
Health
10/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Gross margin of 9.30% is positive relative to peers
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
  • No Altman Z-Score available, but Debt/Equity of 17.53 and low liquidity ratios suggest distress risk
  • Negative ROE and ROA confirm capital inefficiency
  • Negative operating cash flow and free cash flow
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield and payout ratio are N/A
  • Dividend strength is 0/100
  • No history of dividend payments

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$9.84

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AFRI and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-02-13
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
Primary
-3.2% -11.9% +1.6% +24.7% -5.1% -2.5%
ALCO
Alico, Inc.
Peer
+45.1% +55.4% +35.5% +27.8% +17.4% -0.9%
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Peer
+59.7% +59.7% +59.7% +59.7% -8.0% -8.6%
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
Peer
-79.7% -56.7% -21.4% +6.6% +1.4% +0.5%
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
Peer
-66.2% -26.8% +6.9% -26.0% +0.1% +15.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-57.88
P/S Ratio
1.31
EV/Revenue
2.22
EV/EBITDA
148.39
Market Cap
$264.71M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -11.12%
Operating Margin -3.46%
Gross Margin 9.3%
ROE -156.36%
ROA -0.41%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -45.3%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
17.53
High debt
Current Ratio
0.38
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.16
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.35

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing AFRI against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (3 bullish, 26 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-156.36%
This Stock
vs
4.7%
Sector Avg
-3428.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-11.12%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
+897.6% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
17.53
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
+923.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
-45.3%
This Stock
vs
9.45%
Sector Avg
-579.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.38
This Stock
vs
1.97
Sector Avg
-80.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
BEARISH $264.71M - -156.4% -11.1% $9.84
ALCO
Alico, Inc.
BEARISH $313.46M - -80.8% -% $40.94
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
BEARISH $192.07M 241.57 -% 24.5% $9.66
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
BEARISH $352.82M - -40.9% -13.6% $4.41
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
BEARISH $127.16M - -200.2% -36.3% $5.61

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AFRI from our newsroom.

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