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AGCC Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd - Fundamental Analysis

BEARISH
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AGCC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Consumer Defensive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Current Price Live
$11.4
52W High
$14.72
52W Low
$3.66

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Confidence Score
85%
Analysis Accuracy
AGCC's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given the company's high valuation multiples. Despite strong gross and operating margins (47.3% and 27.26%), the company exhibits negative earnings growth (-12.2% YoY) and an extremely high P/E of 285.00, signaling overvaluation. The Graham Number of $0.31 and intrinsic value of $0.28 are vastly below the current price of $11.40, indicating a significant premium not supported by fundamentals. The lack of dividend, weak insider sentiment (40/100), and bearish technical trend (0/100) further undermine confidence. The stock's 88.4% return over multiple timeframes appears unsustainable given deteriorating earnings and extreme valuation.

Key Strengths

High gross margin of 47.30% indicates strong pricing power and cost control
Solid operating margin of 27.26% reflects efficient core operations
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.07 suggests minimal financial leverage risk
Current ratio of 1.86 indicates adequate short-term liquidity
Strong revenue growth of 36.30% YoY demonstrates top-line expansion

Key Risks

Negative earnings growth of -12.2% YoY contradicts revenue momentum, indicating margin compression or one-time costs
Extremely high P/E of 285.00 and Price/Book of 109.62 suggest severe overvaluation
No dividend and 0% payout ratio indicate no return to shareholders
Insider sentiment at 40/100 reflects cautious or neutral confidence
Technical trend is bearish (0/100), and price is far above Graham Number ($0.31) and intrinsic value ($0.28)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.31
-97.3% below current price

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