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AGCC

BEARISH
$15.94 Live
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd · NASDAQ
$3.66 52W Range $24.98

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Mar 14, 2026
Market cap
$316.83M
P/E
398.5
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
24.5%
Debt/Equity
0.07
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
AGCC's Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score raises concern about default risk, especially given the company's extreme valuation metrics. The stock trades at a P/E of 398.50—over 13x the sector average—despite negative earnings growth of -12.20% YoY, suggesting severe overvaluation. While profitability margins are strong, the lack of dividend, weak insider sentiment, and bearish technical trend undermine long-term conviction. The Graham Number of $0.41 and intrinsic value of $0.28 are vastly below the current price of $15.94, indicating a massive premium not supported by fundamentals.

Key Strengths

Strong gross, operating, and profit margins (47.3%, 27.26%, 24.47%) indicate pricing power and operational efficiency
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.07 suggests conservative capital structure and low financial leverage
High revenue growth of 36.30% YoY signals strong top-line momentum
Current ratio of 1.86 indicates adequate short-term liquidity
Positive 5-year price performance (+163.5%) reflects strong market enthusiasm

Key Risks

Extremely high P/E (398.50) and Price/Sales (104.26) ratios suggest severe overvaluation relative to earnings and revenue
Negative earnings growth (-12.20% YoY) contradicts strong revenue growth, indicating margin compression or one-time costs
No dividend and 0% payout ratio indicate no return to shareholders, limiting appeal for income investors
Insider sentiment at 40/100 and bearish technical trend (0/100) signal lack of confidence from insiders and market momentum
Absence of analyst coverage and target prices limits institutional validation and forward guidance
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.41
-97.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
42
Moderate
Value
20
Future
55
Past
70
Health
65
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Weak
Key drivers: Extreme valuation multiples, Negative earnings growth, Lack of analyst coverage, No dividend, Bearish technicals
Confidence
88%
Value
20/100

Stock trades at a massive premium to both Graham Number and intrinsic value, implying valuation is driven by speculative growth expectations rather than fundamentals.

Positives
  • Strong profit margins
  • Low debt/equity ratio
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 398.50 is unsustainable
  • Price/Sales of 104.26 is extremely high
  • Graham Number ($0.41) is far below current price
  • Intrinsic value ($0.28) is negligible
Future
55/100

Growth is concentrated in revenue, but earnings are declining, raising concerns about sustainability and margin quality.

Positives
  • 36.30% YoY revenue growth
  • Strong top-line momentum
Watchpoints
  • -12.20% YoY earnings growth
  • No forward P/E or PEG data
  • No analyst estimates available
Past
70/100

Historical performance has been exceptional, but recent pullback suggests potential overextension.

Positives
  • 5-year price return of +163.5%
  • Strong 1-year and 6-month returns
Watchpoints
  • Recent 1-week price drop of -12.0%
  • Price volatility despite strong historical performance
Health
65/100

Financial health appears stable on surface, but absence of Altman Z-Score prevents assessment of bankruptcy risk.

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 (stable)
  • Low debt/equity (0.07)
  • Current ratio of 1.86
Watchpoints
  • No Altman Z-Score available (critical gap)
  • Quick ratio of 0.72 is below ideal (1.0)
  • No ROE, ROA, or ROIC data
Dividend
0/100

No dividend policy exists, making the stock unattractive to income-focused investors.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • Payout ratio of 0.00%
  • Dividend strength of 0/100

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$15.94

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGCC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-03-13
AGC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Primary
5Y
+163.5%
3Y
+163.5%
1Y
+163.5%
6M
+163.5%
1M
+38.7%
1W
-12.0%
EWC
European Wax Center, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-69.6%
3Y
-69.4%
1Y
+76.9%
6M
+66.3%
1M
+1.2%
1W
+0.5%
HNS
The Honest Company, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-81.8%
3Y
+57.8%
1Y
-34.1%
6M
-21.5%
1M
+3.5%
1W
+3.5%
ALC
Alico, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+39.8%
3Y
+55.7%
1Y
+38.2%
6M
+13.6%
1M
-6.0%
1W
-4.2%
BGS
B&G Foods, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-79.7%
3Y
-56.7%
1Y
-21.4%
6M
+6.6%
1M
+1.4%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
398.5
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
84.79
P/S Ratio
104.26
EV/Revenue
93.51
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$316.83M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 24.47%
Operating Margin 27.26%
Gross Margin 47.3%
ROE N/A
ROA N/A

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +36.3%
Earnings Growth -12.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth -7.7%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.07
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.86
Good
Quick Ratio
0.72
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.05

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q2 2025

Total Assets
$0.0B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.0B
Debt/Equity
0.96x

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing AGCC against 103 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (5 bullish, 43 neutral, 55 bearish)
P/E Ratio
398.5
This Stock
vs
31.13
Sector Avg
+1180.2% (Expensive)
Profit Margin
24.47%
This Stock
vs
-6.73%
Sector Avg
-463.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.07
This Stock
vs
1.57
Sector Avg
-95.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
36.3%
This Stock
vs
181.5%
Sector Avg
-80.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.86
This Stock
vs
2.26
Sector Avg
-17.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGCC from our newsroom.

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