AGCC Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AGCC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ
Consumer Defensive
Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries
Current Price
Live
$9.66
52W High
$14.72
52W Low
$3.66
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$192.07M
P/E
241.57
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
24.5%
Debt/Equity
0.07
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating stable financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score and extremely high valuation multiples raise significant concerns. Despite strong profitability metrics like a 24.47% profit margin and 36.30% YoY revenue growth, earnings are declining (-12.20% YoY), and the stock trades at a massive premium with a P/E of 241.58 versus a sector average of 22.69. The current price of $9.66 is vastly above the Graham Number of $0.31 and intrinsic value of $0.28, suggesting severe overvaluation. Technical trend is bearish, recent price performance has weakened sharply, and insider sentiment is neutral at 40/100, further dampening outlook.
Key Strengths
Strong revenue growth of 36.30% YoY, well above sector average of 10.46%
High profitability with 24.47% net margin and 27.26% operating margin
Low debt burden with Debt/Equity ratio of just 0.07, below sector average of 1.75
Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial health and operational resilience
Current Ratio of 1.86 suggests adequate short-term liquidity
Key Risks
Extremely high P/E ratio of 241.58 vs sector average of 22.69 signals severe overvaluation
Earnings declining YoY (-12.20%) despite revenue growth, indicating margin or cost pressures
Current price of $9.66 is over 30x higher than Graham Number ($0.31) and intrinsic value ($0.28)
Quick Ratio of 0.72 indicates potential liquidity stress as it's below 1.0
No analyst coverage, missing target prices, and lack of key financial data (ROE, ROA, cash flows) increases uncertainty
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$0.31
-96.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
34
Weak
15
45
50
60
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued with deteriorating fundamentals despite strong revenue growth
Key drivers: Extreme valuation multiples, Negative earnings growth, Lack of Altman Z-Score and key financial data, High short-term price volatility and bearish technical trend
Confidence
70%
Value
15/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Low Debt/Equity ratio supports capital structure stability
Watchpoints
- P/E of 241.58 is extremely high
- Price/Book of 92.91 and Price/Sales of 63.20 indicate deep overvaluation
- Current price trades at over 30x Graham Number
Future
45/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Revenue growth of 36.30% YoY is robust
- Sector tailwinds in beverages may support future demand
Watchpoints
- Earnings declining by 12.20% YoY
- Q/Q earnings down 7.70%, suggesting ongoing deterioration
- No Forward P/E or PEG to assess future valuation
Past
50/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 1Y, 3Y, 5Y returns all +59.7%, indicating strong historical price appreciation
Watchpoints
- Recent 1M (-8.0%) and 1W (-8.6%) performance shows sharp reversal
- No moving averages available to confirm trend strength
Health
60/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 6 indicates stable financial condition
- Current Ratio of 1.86 supports short-term solvency
Watchpoints
- Quick Ratio of 0.72 is below 1, indicating potential liquidity risk
- Altman Z-Score missing, preventing distress risk assessment
- No ROE, ROA, or ROIC data to evaluate capital efficiency
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- Dividend Strength of 0/100
- No dividend yield or payout history
- Payout ratio is 0.00%, indicating no return to shareholders
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$9.66
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGCC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
Primary
|
+59.7% | +59.7% | +59.7% | +59.7% | -8.0% | -8.6% |
|
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
Peer
|
-66.2% | -26.8% | +6.9% | -26.0% | +0.1% | +15.0% |
|
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
Peer
|
-3.2% | -11.9% | +1.6% | +24.7% | -5.1% | -2.5% |
|
BRCC
BRC Inc.
Peer
|
-93.9% | -84.9% | -67.1% | -53.2% | -21.5% | -3.1% |
|
ABVE
Above Food Ingredients Inc.
Peer
|
-57.9% | -57.9% | +191.3% | -13.7% | -25.6% | -19.5% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
241.57
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
92.91
P/S Ratio
63.2
EV/Revenue
102.72
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$192.07M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
24.47%
Operating Margin
27.26%
Gross Margin
47.3%
ROE
N/A
ROA
N/A
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+36.3%
Earnings Growth
-12.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-7.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.07
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.86
Good
Quick Ratio
0.72
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.03
Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison
Comparing AGCC against 48 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector
(3 bullish, 26 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
241.57
This Stock
vs
28.82
Sector Avg
+738.1%
(Expensive)
Profit Margin
24.47%
This Stock
vs
-1.11%
Sector Avg
-2295.3%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.07
This Stock
vs
1.71
Sector Avg
-95.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
36.3%
This Stock
vs
9.45%
Sector Avg
+284.3%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.86
This Stock
vs
1.97
Sector Avg
-5.7%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AGCC
Agencia Comercial Spirits Ltd
|
BEARISH | $192.07M | 241.57 | -% | 24.5% | $9.66 | |
|
BHST
BioHarvest Sciences Inc.
|
BEARISH | $127.16M | - | -200.2% | -36.3% | $5.61 | |
|
AFRI
Forafric Global PLC
|
BEARISH | $264.71M | - | -156.4% | -11.1% | $9.84 | |
|
BRCC
BRC Inc.
|
BEARISH | $108.91M | - | -47.5% | -2.9% | $0.95 | |
|
ABVE
Above Food Ingredients Inc.
|
BEARISH | $80.37M | - | -% | -23.4% | $1.57 |
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AGCC from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.