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ASTE

NEUTRAL
$58.75 Live
Astec Industries, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $71.75 (+22.1%)
$35.54 52W Range $64.37

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$1.35B
P/E
34.97
ROE
5.9%
Profit margin
2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.53
Dividend yield
0.89%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
ASTE presents a stark divergence between fundamental value and market sentiment. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable financial health and the balance sheet is strong (Debt/Equity 0.53), the stock is trading at a significant premium to its Graham Number ($33.56) and Intrinsic Value ($11.76). Despite a 'Strong Buy' analyst consensus and a compelling Forward P/E of 13.40, the bearish technical trend (10/100) and insider selling suggest a potential peak in the current rally.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.49
Conservative leverage with Debt/Equity at 0.53
Consistent recent earnings beats (3 of last 4 quarters)
Positive top-line revenue growth (11.60% YoY)
Significant compression in Forward P/E (13.40) vs Trailing P/E (34.97)

Key Risks

Severe overvaluation relative to Graham and Intrinsic value models
Very thin net profit margins (2.75%)
Negative year-over-year earnings growth (-43.80%)
Extremely bearish technical trend (10/100) indicating loss of momentum
Bearish insider sentiment with net selling activity
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$36.16
-38.5% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
50
Moderate
Value
30
Future
60
Past
55
Health
65
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Speculative Growth
Key drivers: Forward earnings expectations, Strong balance sheet, Valuation gap
Confidence
85%
Value
30/100

Trading at a massive premium to defensive fair value.

Positives
  • Price/Sales under 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($33.56)
  • Price far exceeds Intrinsic Value ($11.76)
  • High PEG ratio (2.21)
Future
60/100

Market is pricing in a significant earnings recovery.

Positives
  • Strong Forward P/E
  • Positive revenue growth
  • High average earnings surprise (46.95%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY earnings growth
Past
55/100

Recent momentum is strong, but long-term trend is stagnant.

Positives
  • Strong 1Y price performance (+68.5%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative 5Y price change (-20.1%)
  • Inconsistent quarterly EPS history
Health
65/100

Balance sheet is the company's strongest fundamental attribute.

Positives
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • High Current Ratio
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score is only 4/9 (Stable, not Strong)
Dividend
40/100

Dividend is a negligible component of total return.

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (30.95%)
Watchpoints
  • Very low yield (0.89%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$58.75
Analyst Target
$71.75
Upside/Downside
+22.1%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASTE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-27
AST
Astec Industries, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-20.1%
3Y
+48.0%
1Y
+68.5%
6M
+23.5%
1M
+12.7%
1W
+0.1%
ENR
Energizer Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-51.5%
3Y
-31.0%
1Y
-22.3%
6M
-15.5%
1M
+19.4%
1W
-2.4%
BW
Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+38.8%
3Y
+93.9%
1Y
+991.4%
6M
+278.1%
1M
+9.4%
1W
-19.8%
ARL
Arlo Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+60.2%
3Y
+244.6%
1Y
+8.2%
6M
-20.0%
1M
-7.4%
1W
-7.8%
ALG
Allegiant Travel Company
Peer
5Y
-71.1%
3Y
-15.9%
1Y
+40.3%
6M
+15.9%
1M
-31.4%
1W
-5.6%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
34.97
Forward P/E
13.4
PEG Ratio
2.21
P/B Ratio
1.97
P/S Ratio
0.95
EV/Revenue
1.16
EV/EBITDA
12.14
Market Cap
$1.35B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.75%
Operating Margin 7.46%
Gross Margin 27.06%
ROE 5.88%
ROA 5.11%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.6%
Earnings Growth -43.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +11.59%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -43.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.53
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.49
Strong
Quick Ratio
0.89
Poor
Cash/Share
$3.24

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.4B
Gross Margin
27.3%
Op. Margin
5.7%
Net Margin
3.0%
Total Assets
$1.4B
Liabilities
$0.7B
Equity
$0.7B
Debt/Equity
1.01x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
20%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-25
$1.06
+27.7% surprise
2025-11-05
$0.47
+23.7% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.72
+89.5% surprise

Industrials Sector Comparison

Comparing ASTE against 469 companies in the Industrials sector (39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
34.97
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-64.4% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
5.88%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-130.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.75%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
-58.7% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.53
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-79.8% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
11.6%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-83.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.49
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-19.4% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JR.
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-31
18 shares
PUTNEY ROBERT GERALD
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
3 shares
HOWELL MARY L
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
SHANNON PATRICK S
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
GLIEBE MARK JOSEPH
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
JACKSON JEFFREY T
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
14 shares
HARRIS BRIAN JAMES
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
31 shares
GEHL WILLIAM D
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
57 shares
MERWE JACO VAN DER
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
119 shares
COOK TRACEY H.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
JAIN NALIN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
KNOLL LINDA I.
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
SNYMAN BAREND
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
29 shares
WINFORD JAMES MURPHY JR
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
9 shares
NORRIS MICHAEL PAUL
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-31
20 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
FORM 8-K - PROXY VOTE RESULTS
2026-04-27

ASTE reported the results of its proxy vote on April 27, 2026.

8-K
FORM 8-K - NEO SEPARATION
2026-04-20

ASTE reported the separation of Neo.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-13

ASTE filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 13, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the upcoming annual meeting.

10-K
FORM 10-K
2026-02-25

ASTE filed its annual 10-K report on February 25, 2026, which includes sections on business operations, risk factors, and management's discussion and analysis. Specific financial highlights and risk details were not provided in the available excerpts.

8-K
FORM 8-K - EARNINGS RELEASE Q4 2025
2026-02-25

ASTE reported its financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025.

10-Q
FORM 10-Q - Q3 2025
2025-11-05

ASTE filed its Q3 2025 10-Q on November 5, 2025, noting that there have been no significant changes to its critical accounting estimates since the 2024 annual report. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial performance metrics or detailed risk factors.

8-K
FORM 8-K - EARNINGS RELEASE Q3 2025
2025-11-05

ASTE reported its financial results for the third quarter of 2025.

8-K/A
FORM 8-K/A - TERRASOURCE FINANCIALS
2025-09-10

ASTE filed an amendment to its current report regarding Terrasource Financials.

10-Q
FORM 10-Q - Q2 2025
2025-08-06

ASTE filed its Q2 2025 10-Q on August 6, 2025, noting that there have been no significant changes to its critical accounting estimates since the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024. The company refers investors to Item 1A of the filing for a comprehensive discussion of its risk factors.

8-K
FORM 8-K - EARNINGS RELEASE Q2 2025
2025-08-06

ASTE reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025.

8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-07-01
8-K
FORM 8-K
2025-05-02
10-Q
FORM 10-Q - Q1 2025
2025-04-29
8-K
FORM 8-K - EARNINGS RELEASE Q1 2025
2025-04-29
8-K
FORM 8-K - PROXY VOTE RESULTS
2025-04-28
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
4 analysts
Freedom Broker
2026-04-01
init
Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ASTE from our newsroom.

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