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BGC

NEUTRAL
$8.91 Live
BGC Group, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $14.5 (+62.7%)
$7.24 52W Range $10.96

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$4.23B
P/E
27.84
ROE
14.6%
Profit margin
6.3%
Debt/Equity
1.78
Dividend yield
0.87%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
72%
BGC has a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock shows strong revenue and earnings growth, with a high ROE of 14.56%, yet trades at a premium valuation (P/E 27.84 vs sector avg 22.39) despite a low Graham Number of $3.82, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive basis. While analyst consensus is strong_buy, insider selling worth $5.82M and a bearish technical trend signal caution. The fair value estimate is adjusted above the Graham Number due to growth metrics but tempered by leverage and weak technicals.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 31.20%, outpacing sector average of 28.71%
High gross margin of 90.98%, reflecting strong pricing power and low cost of sales
Impressive ROE of 14.56%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity
Earnings growth of 88.70% YoY demonstrates strong profitability expansion
Analyst recommendation is strong_buy with a high target price of $14.50

Key Risks

High P/E ratio of 27.84 vs forward P/E of 6.65 suggests current earnings are depressed or valuation is stretched
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.78 is above sector average of 1.56, increasing financial risk
Insider selling activity totaling $5.82M in last 6 months signals lack of confidence
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is negative at -6.5%, breaking a streak of strong growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.25
+26.3% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
60
Moderate
Value
52
Future
78
Past
65
Health
63
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
Moderately positive with caution due to valuation and technicals
Key drivers: High growth metrics, Strong ROE, Premium valuation, Bearish insider and technical signals
Confidence
75%
Value
52/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 6.65 suggests potential undervaluation on future earnings
  • Target price implies 62% upside
Watchpoints
  • Current P/E of 27.84 is high
  • Price/Sales of 1.60 and Price/Book of 4.39 are elevated
  • Graham Number ($3.82) is far below current price ($8.91)
Future
78/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Revenue growth of 31.20% YoY
  • Earnings growth of 88.70% YoY
  • Q/Q earnings growth of 89.10%
Watchpoints
  • Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is -6.5%, indicating possible deceleration
Past
65/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats in recent quarters
  • Long-term 5Y return of +140.9%
Watchpoints
  • 1Y and 6M returns are negative (-6.3%, -9.0%)
  • Recent price downtrend across 1M, 1W
Health
63/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 indicates stable financial condition
  • Current and quick ratios of 1.32 suggest short-term liquidity is adequate
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 1.78 is high
  • No Altman Z-Score available for distress risk analysis
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 24.24% is sustainable
Watchpoints
  • Dividend yield of 0.87% is low
  • Dividend Strength score of 25/100 indicates weak income profile

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$8.91
Analyst Target
$14.5
Upside/Downside
+62.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BGC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
BGC
BGC Group, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+140.9%
3Y
+117.3%
1Y
-6.3%
6M
-9.0%
1M
-1.8%
1W
-1.4%
FHI
Federated Hermes, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+124.1%
3Y
+49.3%
1Y
+50.0%
6M
+17.6%
1M
-2.9%
1W
-1.5%
TFS
TFS Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+12.2%
3Y
+56.5%
1Y
+32.9%
6M
+18.4%
1M
+12.4%
1W
+2.0%
FUL
Fulton Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
+60.8%
3Y
+98.3%
1Y
+44.4%
6M
+24.6%
1M
+11.1%
1W
+0.6%
AB
AllianceBernstein Holding L.P.
Peer
5Y
+61.4%
3Y
+31.7%
1Y
+5.9%
6M
-5.4%
1M
-0.1%
1W
-3.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
27.84
Forward P/E
6.65
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
4.39
P/S Ratio
1.6
EV/Revenue
2.06
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$4.23B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 6.28%
Operating Margin 4.47%
Gross Margin 90.98%
ROE 14.56%
ROA 3.12%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +31.2%
Earnings Growth +88.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +89.1%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.78
High debt
Current Ratio
1.32
Good
Quick Ratio
1.32
Good
Cash/Share
$2.02

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-12
$N/A
2025-11-06
$0.29
+3.6% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.31
2025-05-07
$0.29
+1.8% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing BGC against 820 companies in the Financial Services sector (141 bullish, 351 neutral, 328 bearish)
P/E Ratio
27.84
This Stock
vs
36.01
Sector Avg
-22.7% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.56%
This Stock
vs
-0.73%
Sector Avg
-2086.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
6.28%
This Stock
vs
91.62%
Sector Avg
-93.1% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.78
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
+30.9% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
31.2%
This Stock
vs
35.27%
Sector Avg
-11.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.32
This Stock
vs
3.18
Sector Avg
-58.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BELL LINDA A
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-12
5,447 shares
RICHARDS DAVID P
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-12
5,447 shares
MBANEFO ARTHUR U.
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-12
5,447 shares
ADDAS WILLIAM DEAN
Director
Stock Award
2025-11-12
5,447 shares
LUTNICK BRANDON
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Buy
2025-10-06
600,938 shares · $5,534,639
LUTNICK HOWARD W
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-10-06
600,939 shares · $5,534,648
HAUF JASON W.
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2025-08-21
29,023 shares · $286,167
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning BGC from our newsroom.

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