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BGC BGC Group, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

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BGC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NASDAQ Financial Services Capital Markets
Current Price Live
$8.91
Analyst Target
$14.5
+62.7% Upside
52W High
$10.96
52W Low
$7.24

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Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
BGC has a stable Piotroski F-Score of 6/9, indicating moderate financial health, but the absence of an Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. The stock shows strong revenue and earnings growth, with a high ROE of 14.56%, yet trades at a premium valuation (P/E 27.84 vs sector avg 22.39) despite a low Graham Number of $3.82, suggesting overvaluation on a defensive basis. While analyst consensus is strong_buy, insider selling worth $5.82M and a bearish technical trend signal caution. The fair value estimate is adjusted above the Graham Number due to growth metrics but tempered by leverage and weak technicals.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 31.20%, outpacing sector average of 28.71%
High gross margin of 90.98%, reflecting strong pricing power and low cost of sales
Impressive ROE of 14.56%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity
Earnings growth of 88.70% YoY demonstrates strong profitability expansion
Analyst recommendation is strong_buy with a high target price of $14.50

Key Risks

High P/E ratio of 27.84 vs forward P/E of 6.65 suggests current earnings are depressed or valuation is stretched
Debt/Equity ratio of 1.78 is above sector average of 1.56, increasing financial risk
Insider selling activity totaling $5.82M in last 6 months signals lack of confidence
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum
Most recent Q/Q EPS growth is negative at -6.5%, breaking a streak of strong growth
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.25
+26.3% above current price

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