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ERIE

NEUTRAL
$253.38 Live
Erie Indemnity Company · NASDAQ
$233.82 52W Range $434.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 09, 2026
Market cap
$13.25B
P/E
23.25
ROE
26.2%
Profit margin
13.8%
Debt/Equity
0.03
Dividend yield
2.35%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
ERIE shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.

Key Strengths

Low debt with D/E ratio of 0.03
Strong ROE of 26.2%

Key Risks

Premium vs Graham Number ($103.49)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$76.3
-69.9% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
53
Moderate
Value
50
Future
50
Past
60
Health
55
Dividend
50
AI Verdict
ERIE shows neutral fundamentals based on deterministic rules. Financial strength is stable (F-Score 4/9). Mixed signals with both opportunities and risks present.
Key drivers: Low debt with D/E ratio of 0.03, Strong ROE of 26.2%, Premium vs Graham Number ($103.49)
Confidence
60%
Value
50/100

Rule-based valuation (P/E + Graham).

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
  • Trades above Graham Number.
Future
50/100

Rule-based growth outlook.

Positives
  • Insufficient data for clear positives.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Past
60/100

Historical performance + price trend: Shares moved +25.4% over 5Y and -32.1% over 1Y.

Positives
  • ROE sits at 26.2%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
55/100

Balance sheet & liquidity (Z-Score: N/A).

Positives
  • Low D/E ratio (0.03).
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
50/100

Dividend policy fallback.

Positives
  • Moderate dividend profile (Score: 50/100).
  • Yield: 2.4%.
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$253.38

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ERIE and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-08
ERI
Erie Indemnity Company
Primary
5Y
+25.4%
3Y
+14.0%
1Y
-32.1%
6M
-21.8%
1M
-0.3%
1W
+3.2%
BEN
Franklin Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+21.5%
3Y
-0.8%
1Y
+34.2%
6M
+4.8%
1M
+6.1%
1W
-2.6%
BNT
Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+17.8%
3Y
+95.9%
1Y
+19.2%
6M
+4.4%
1M
+0.8%
1W
-0.6%
ARC
Ares Capital Corporation
Peer
5Y
+51.1%
3Y
+32.8%
1Y
-6.4%
6M
-13.9%
1M
-7.8%
1W
-2.1%
IRE
IREN Limited
Peer
5Y
+89.7%
3Y
+1824.1%
1Y
+348.9%
6M
+451.4%
1M
-31.8%
1W
-25.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
23.25
Forward P/E
18.09
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.8
P/S Ratio
3.26
EV/Revenue
3.19
EV/EBITDA
16.02
Market Cap
$13.25B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 13.75%
Operating Margin 17.16%
Gross Margin 17.63%
ROE 26.19%
ROA 14.8%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.9%
Earnings Growth -58.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -1.37%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -58.3%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.03
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.27
Good
Quick Ratio
1.16
Good
Cash/Share
$6.69

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Net Margin
19.0%
Total Assets
$3.4B
Liabilities
$1.1B
Equity
$2.3B
Debt/Equity
0.47x

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-23
$N/A
2026-02-23
$2.76
+73.7% surprise
2025-10-30
$3.49
+3.5% surprise
2025-08-07
$3.35
-5.7% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing ERIE against 265 companies in the Financial Services sector (41 bullish, 115 neutral, 109 bearish)
P/E Ratio
23.25
This Stock
vs
26.81
Sector Avg
-13.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
26.19%
This Stock
vs
-2.75%
Sector Avg
-1050.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
13.75%
This Stock
vs
75.42%
Sector Avg
-81.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.03
This Stock
vs
1.44
Sector Avg
-98.1% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.9%
This Stock
vs
30.71%
Sector Avg
-90.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.27
This Stock
vs
3.39
Sector Avg
-62.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

NECASTRO TIMOTHY G
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-03-18
2,039 shares
DABREO ANTHONY
Officer
Stock Award
2026-01-30
500 shares · $140,435
NECASTRO TIMOTHY G
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-12-23
3,481 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning ERIE from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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