GCMG

NEUTRAL

$9.79 Live

GCM Grosvenor Inc. · NASDAQ

Target $16.5 (+68.5%)

$9.3 52W Range $13.22

GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

NEUTRAL

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GCMG Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights

NASDAQ • Financial Services • Asset Management

Current Price Live

$9.79

Analyst Target

$16.5

+68.5% Upside

52W High

$13.22

52W Low

$9.3

Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026

Market cap

$1.83B

P/E

23.31

ROE

765.9%

Profit margin

8.2%

Debt/Equity

3.85

Dividend yield

4.9%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence

80%

GCMG presents a complex profile with a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant disconnect between its Graham Number ($2.05) and Intrinsic Value ($12.39). While the company exhibits explosive earnings growth (104.4% YoY) and an attractive forward P/E of 9.22, these strengths are offset by a critical dividend payout ratio of 107.14%, indicating an unsustainable yield. Technicals are currently heavily bearish (0/100), suggesting the market is discounting the strong earnings surprises in favor of broader sector headwinds or balance sheet concerns.

Key Strengths

Exceptional earnings growth (104.4% YoY and 149.2% Q/Q)

Strong operating margin of 31.01%

Attractive forward P/E ratio of 9.22 compared to trailing P/E of 23.31

Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates (3 of last 4 quarters)

High ROA (11.69%) indicating efficient asset utilization

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio (107.14%)

High Debt/Equity ratio of 3.85

Severe bearish technical trend (0/100) with 1-year price decline of 19%

Extremely high Price/Book ratio (22.00) suggesting potential overvaluation of assets

Low insider sentiment score (40/100)

AI Fair Value Estimate

Based on comprehensive analysis

$11.25

+14.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall

Moderate

Value

Future

Past

Health

Dividend

AI Verdict

Speculative Value

Key drivers: Earnings growth, Dividend sustainability, Technical momentum, Leverage

Confidence

85%

Value

60/100

P/E 23.31, Forward P/E 9.22, Graham $2.05

Positives

Trades below intrinsic value ($12.39)
Low forward P/E

Watchpoints

Price far exceeds Graham Number
P/B ratio is excessive

Future

85/100

Earnings Growth 104.4% YoY

Positives

Triple-digit earnings growth
Positive analyst target price ($16.50)

Watchpoints

Modest revenue growth (6.8%) compared to earnings spikes

Past

40/100

1Y Change -19.0%

Positives

Strong 3-year growth (+45.6%)

Watchpoints

Poor 1-year performance (-19%)
Recent monthly slide (-15.2%)

Health

45/100

Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives

Healthy current ratio (2.99)

Watchpoints

Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable/Weak)
High Debt/Equity (3.85)

Dividend

20/100

Payout Ratio 107.14%

Positives

High yield (4.9%)

Watchpoints

Payout ratio > 100% is a major red flag

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price

$9.79

Analyst Target

$16.5

Upside/Downside

+68.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GCMG and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09

Company	5Y	3Y	1Y	6M	1M	1W
GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc. Primary	+1.0%	+45.6%	-19.0%	-13.6%	-15.2%	+0.9%
CLBK Columbia Financial, Inc. Peer	+1.0%	-3.4%	+35.5%	+19.9%	-0.3%	+1.7%
AGM Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Peer	+153.5%	+48.7%	-9.9%	-0.9%	-3.9%	-0.9%
AGM-A Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation Peer	+116.9%	+37.7%	-10.3%	+1.4%	-2.7%	+1.0%
CHCO City Holding Company Peer	+75.8%	+51.0%	+16.2%	+3.0%	+6.3%	+4.2%

GCM

GCM Grosvenor Inc.

Primary

+1.0%

+45.6%

-19.0%

-13.6%

-15.2%

+0.9%

CLB

Columbia Financial, Inc.

Peer

+1.0%

-3.4%

+35.5%

+19.9%

-0.3%

+1.7%

AGM

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

Peer

+153.5%

+48.7%

-9.9%

-0.9%

-3.9%

-0.9%

AGM

Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation

Peer

+116.9%

+37.7%

-10.3%

+1.4%

-2.7%

+1.0%

CHC

City Holding Company

Peer

+75.8%

+51.0%

+16.2%

+3.0%

+6.3%

+4.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

23.31

9.22

N/A

22.0

3.3

1.7

6.85

$1.83B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 8.18%

Operating Margin 31.01%

Gross Margin 42.4%

ROE 765.86%

ROA 11.69%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.8%

Earnings Growth +104.4%

Q/Q Revenue Growth +4.5%

Q/Q Earnings Growth +149.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity

3.85

High debt

Current Ratio

2.99

Strong

Quick Ratio

2.87

Excellent

Cash/Share

$3.98

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue

$0.2B

Op. Margin

32.1%

Net Margin

10.7%

Total Assets

$0.8B

Liabilities

$0.7B

Equity

$0.0B

Debt/Equity

25.43x

Operating CF

$0.0B

CapEx

$-0.0B

Free Cash Flow

$0.0B

FCF Yield

84%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07

$N/A

2026-02-10

$0.31

+27.1% surprise

2025-11-05

$0.19

+10.5% surprise

2025-08-07

$0.16

+3.9% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GCMG against 306 companies in the Financial Services sector (53 bullish, 132 neutral, 121 bearish)

P/E Ratio

23.31

This Stock

55.13

Sector Avg

-57.7% (Discount)

Return on Equity (ROE)

765.86%

This Stock

-0.93%

Sector Avg

-82649.4% (Below Avg)

Profit Margin

8.18%

This Stock

69.73%

Sector Avg

-88.3% (Weaker)

Debt to Equity

3.85

This Stock

1.41

Sector Avg

+172.3% (Higher)

Revenue Growth

6.8%

This Stock

32.66%

Sector Avg

-79.2% (Slower)

Current Ratio

2.99

This Stock

3.27

Sector Avg

-8.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company	AI Rating	Market Cap	P/E	ROE	Profit Margin	Price
GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc.	NEUTRAL	$1.83B	23.31	765.9%	8.2%	$9.79
CLBK Columbia Financial, Inc.	NEUTRAL	$1.86B	34.92	4.6%	20.8%	$17.81	Compare
AGM Federal Agricultural...	NEUTRAL	$1.87B	10.02	13.7%	57.2%	$171.22	Compare
AGM-A Federal Agricultural...	NEUTRAL	$1.79B	7.35	13.7%	57.2%	$129.0	Compare
CHCO City Holding Company	BULLISH	$1.79B	13.94	16.9%	41.3%	$124.49	Compare

GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc.

NEUTRAL

Mkt Cap

$1.8B

P/E

23.3

ROE

765.9%

Price

$9.79

Compare with GCMG

Compare with GCMG

Compare with GCMG

CHCO City Holding Company

Compare with GCMG

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus

BUY

4 analysts

Piper Sandler

2026-04-07

Maintains

Overweight Overweight

TD Cowen

2025-10-16

Maintains

Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GCMG from our newsroom.

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GCMG

GCMG GCM Grosvenor Inc. - Fundamental Analysis

At a glance

AI Analysis

Key Strengths

Key Risks

Performance Snowflake

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Historical Performance Trends

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Valuation Metrics

Profitability

Growth

Financial Health

Financial Statement Flow

Quarterly Earnings History

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Similar Companies

Wall Street Analysts

Past News Coverage

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