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AGM-A

NEUTRAL
$129.0 Live
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation · NYSE
$117.01 52W Range $160.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.79B
P/E
7.35
ROE
13.7%
Profit margin
57.2%
Debt/Equity
18.56
Dividend yield
4.65%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock appears undervalued with a current price of $129.00 well below the Graham Number of $206.29 and intrinsic value estimate of $517.43, supported by strong profitability metrics including a 70.23% operating margin and 57.15% profit margin. However, the extremely high debt/equity ratio of 18.56 raises significant leverage concerns, and technical trend is bearish despite a solid 4.65% dividend yield. Mixed signals between value, profitability, and financial risk lead to a neutral overall assessment.

Key Strengths

High profitability with operating margin of 70.23% and net profit margin of 57.15%
Attractive valuation: P/E of 7.35 vs sector average of 22.56
Current price ($129.00) significantly below Graham Number ($206.29), suggesting deep value
Strong dividend profile with 4.65% yield and sustainable 33.62% payout ratio
Revenue and earnings growth both positive at 11.10% and 15.00% YoY, respectively

Key Risks

Very high debt/equity ratio of 18.56, far above sector average of 1.64, indicating extreme leverage risk
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests only moderate financial health, limiting confidence in stability
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents definitive assessment of bankruptcy risk
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and 1-year price decline of -10.3% signal weak market sentiment
Lack of analyst coverage (zero analysts) implies limited institutional interest or transparency concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$206.29
+59.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
85
Future
60
Past
55
Health
40
Dividend
80
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal offset by financial risk
Key drivers: Low P/E and high margin strength, High debt/equity and weak technicals, Dividend sustainability, Lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
65%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 7.35 well below sector average of 22.56
  • Price significantly below Graham Number ($129 vs $206.29)
  • Price/book of 1.20 is reasonable for financial firm
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG to assess growth valuation
  • EV-based metrics unavailable
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 11.10% YoY revenue growth
  • 15.00% YoY earnings growth
  • 10.40% Q/Q earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • No forward guidance or analyst targets
  • Uncertain sustainability given high leverage
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of +116.9% shows long-term appreciation
  • Gross margin consistently at 100%
Watchpoints
  • 1-year return of -10.3% and bearish technical trend
  • 6-month and 1-month performance flat to negative
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.60 and quick ratio of 1.58 indicate short-term liquidity
  • ROE of 13.72% is positive
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable health
  • Debt/equity of 18.56 is dangerously high
  • ROA of 0.68% is very low despite high ROE
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable
Dividend
80/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 4.65% is attractive
  • Payout ratio of 33.62% is sustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 70/100
Watchpoints
  • Ex-dividend date and history not available

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$129.0

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGM-A and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Primary
5Y
+116.9%
3Y
+37.7%
1Y
-10.3%
6M
+1.4%
1M
-2.7%
1W
+1.0%
CHC
City Holding Company
Peer
5Y
+75.8%
3Y
+51.0%
1Y
+16.2%
6M
+3.0%
1M
+6.3%
1W
+4.2%
FSU
FirstSun Capital Bancorp
Peer
5Y
+57.4%
3Y
+37.4%
1Y
+9.5%
6M
-6.8%
1M
+4.5%
1W
+3.0%
GCM
GCM Grosvenor Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1.0%
3Y
+45.6%
1Y
-19.0%
6M
-13.6%
1M
-15.2%
1W
+0.9%
EZP
EZCORP, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+422.0%
3Y
+218.9%
1Y
+83.8%
6M
+47.9%
1M
+5.0%
1W
+7.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.35
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.2
P/S Ratio
4.73
EV/Revenue
85.49
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.79B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 57.15%
Operating Margin 70.23%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 13.72%
ROA 0.68%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.1%
Earnings Growth +15.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +10.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
18.56
High debt
Current Ratio
1.6
Good
Quick Ratio
1.58
Excellent
Cash/Share
$84.14

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing AGM-A against 484 companies in the Financial Services sector (87 bullish, 202 neutral, 195 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.35
This Stock
vs
46.02
Sector Avg
-84.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.72%
This Stock
vs
0.23%
Sector Avg
+5896.4% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
57.15%
This Stock
vs
50.44%
Sector Avg
+13.3% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
18.56
This Stock
vs
1.37
Sector Avg
+1250.8% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
11.1%
This Stock
vs
37.35%
Sector Avg
-70.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.6
This Stock
vs
3.28
Sector Avg
-51.3% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGM-A from our newsroom.

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