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AGM-A Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation - Fundamental Analysis

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AGM-A Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE Financial Services Credit Services
Current Price Live
$129.0
52W High
$160.36
52W Low
$117.01

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$1.79B
P/E
7.35
ROE
13.7%
Profit margin
57.2%
Debt/Equity
18.56
Dividend yield
4.65%

AI Analysis

Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms

Confidence Score
65%
Analysis Accuracy
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard shows a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health, while the absence of an Altman Z-Score prevents a full distress risk assessment. The stock appears undervalued with a current price of $129.00 well below the Graham Number of $206.29 and intrinsic value estimate of $517.43, supported by strong profitability metrics including a 70.23% operating margin and 57.15% profit margin. However, the extremely high debt/equity ratio of 18.56 raises significant leverage concerns, and technical trend is bearish despite a solid 4.65% dividend yield. Mixed signals between value, profitability, and financial risk lead to a neutral overall assessment.

Key Strengths

High profitability with operating margin of 70.23% and net profit margin of 57.15%
Attractive valuation: P/E of 7.35 vs sector average of 22.56
Current price ($129.00) significantly below Graham Number ($206.29), suggesting deep value
Strong dividend profile with 4.65% yield and sustainable 33.62% payout ratio
Revenue and earnings growth both positive at 11.10% and 15.00% YoY, respectively

Key Risks

Very high debt/equity ratio of 18.56, far above sector average of 1.64, indicating extreme leverage risk
Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 suggests only moderate financial health, limiting confidence in stability
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents definitive assessment of bankruptcy risk
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and 1-year price decline of -10.3% signal weak market sentiment
Lack of analyst coverage (zero analysts) implies limited institutional interest or transparency concerns
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$206.29
+59.9% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
64
Strong
Value
85
Future
60
Past
55
Health
40
Dividend
80
AI Verdict
Neutral with value appeal offset by financial risk
Key drivers: Low P/E and high margin strength, High debt/equity and weak technicals, Dividend sustainability, Lack of analyst coverage
Confidence
65%
Value
85/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • P/E of 7.35 well below sector average of 22.56
  • Price significantly below Graham Number ($129 vs $206.29)
  • Price/book of 1.20 is reasonable for financial firm
Watchpoints
  • No forward P/E or PEG to assess growth valuation
  • EV-based metrics unavailable
Future
60/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 11.10% YoY revenue growth
  • 15.00% YoY earnings growth
  • 10.40% Q/Q earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • No forward guidance or analyst targets
  • Uncertain sustainability given high leverage
Past
55/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • 5-year return of +116.9% shows long-term appreciation
  • Gross margin consistently at 100%
Watchpoints
  • 1-year return of -10.3% and bearish technical trend
  • 6-month and 1-month performance flat to negative
Health
40/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Current ratio of 1.60 and quick ratio of 1.58 indicate short-term liquidity
  • ROE of 13.72% is positive
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates only stable health
  • Debt/equity of 18.56 is dangerously high
  • ROA of 0.68% is very low despite high ROE
  • Altman Z-Score unavailable
Dividend
80/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Dividend yield of 4.65% is attractive
  • Payout ratio of 33.62% is sustainable
  • Dividend strength score of 70/100
Watchpoints
  • Ex-dividend date and history not available

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$129.0

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AGM-A and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
Company 5Y 3Y 1Y 6M 1M 1W
AGM-A
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Primary
+116.9% +37.7% -10.3% +1.4% -2.7% +1.0%
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano de Comercio Exterior, S. A.
Peer
+299.4% +227.1% +29.8% +12.0% +5.6% +3.8%
AGM
Federal Agricultural Mortgage Corporation
Peer
+153.5% +48.7% -9.9% -0.9% -3.9% -0.9%
BDJ
BlackRock Enhanced Equity Dividend Trust
Peer
+74.8% +37.0% +19.0% +12.5% +2.6% +0.9%
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd.
Peer
+20.7% +142.5% +70.2% +122.8% +2.6% -7.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
7.35
Forward P/E
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.2
P/S Ratio
4.73
EV/Revenue
85.49
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$1.79B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 57.15%
Operating Margin 70.23%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE 13.72%
ROA 0.68%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +11.1%
Earnings Growth +15.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +10.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
18.56
High debt
Current Ratio
1.6
Good
Quick Ratio
1.58
Excellent
Cash/Share
$84.14

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing AGM-A against 208 companies in the Financial Services sector (6 bullish, 111 neutral, 91 bearish)
P/E Ratio
7.35
This Stock
vs
30.39
Sector Avg
-75.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
13.72%
This Stock
vs
-7.57%
Sector Avg
-281.1% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
57.15%
This Stock
vs
83.86%
Sector Avg
-31.8% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
18.56
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+1128.1% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
11.1%
This Stock
vs
30.29%
Sector Avg
-63.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.6
This Stock
vs
3.78
Sector Avg
-57.8% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Company AI Rating Market Cap P/E ROE Profit Margin Price
AGM-A
Federal Agricultural...
NEUTRAL $1.79B 7.35 13.7% 57.2% $129.0
BLX
Banco Latinoamericano de...
NEUTRAL $1.72B 7.9 15.0% 72.1% $46.76
AGM
Federal Agricultural...
NEUTRAL $1.87B 10.02 13.7% 57.2% $171.22
BDJ
BlackRock Enhanced Equity...
NEUTRAL $1.68B 9.79 10.3% 384.9% $9.5
BITF
Bitfarms Ltd.
BEARISH $1.64B - -12.5% -46.4% $2.74

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AGM-A from our newsroom.

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