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GECC

BEARISH
$5.13 Live
Great Elm Capital Corp. · NASDAQ
Target $7.0 (+36.5%)
$4.63 52W Range $11.46

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 10, 2026
Market cap
$71.81M
P/E
N/A
ROE
-25.5%
Profit margin
-63.6%
Debt/Equity
1.68
Dividend yield
23.39%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
90%
GECC exhibits severe fundamental distress, highlighted by a critical Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating a near-total failure of financial health metrics. While the stock trades at a discount to book value (P/B 0.64), this is offset by a precarious liquidity position with a current ratio of 0.26 and a negative ROE of -25.53%. The dividend yield of 23.39% is likely unsustainable given the high payout ratio and negative profit margins. Overall, the company shows signs of a value trap where low valuation metrics are a reflection of deteriorating operational health.

Key Strengths

Trading significantly below book value (P/B 0.64)
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 37.60%
Positive Return on Assets (ROA) of 6.65%
Low forward P/E ratio of 6.11
High current dividend yield for income-focused speculators

Key Risks

Critical liquidity risk with a current ratio of 0.26
Extremely weak Piotroski F-Score (1/9)
Negative profit margins (-63.59%) and negative ROE
High debt-to-equity ratio (1.68) relative to liquidity
Severe technical downtrend (0/100) and negative 1-year price performance (-36.1%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$4.25
-17.2% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
29
Weak
Value
45
Future
30
Past
20
Health
10
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
High Risk / Distressed
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Current Ratio 0.26, Negative Profit Margin, Bearish Technicals
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

P/B 0.64, Forward P/E 6.11

Positives
  • P/B of 0.64 suggests undervaluation relative to assets
Watchpoints
  • Low P/B is often a signal of distressed assets in financial services
Future
30/100

Revenue Growth 37.60% YoY

Positives
  • YoY Revenue growth is strong
Watchpoints
  • Extreme Q/Q revenue volatility (-635.15%)
  • Inconsistent earnings surprises
Past
20/100

5Y Change -44.9%

Positives
  • Occasional massive EPS beats in 2022
Watchpoints
  • 5-year price change of -44.9%
  • Consistent failure to maintain earnings growth
Health
10/100

Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Current Ratio 0.26

Positives
  • Positive ROA
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
  • Current Ratio 0.26
  • Debt/Equity 1.68
Dividend
40/100

Yield 23.39%, Payout 88.89%

Positives
  • Very high yield (23.39%)
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 88.89% is dangerously high given negative margins

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.13
Analyst Target
$7.0
Upside/Downside
+36.5%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GECC and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-09
GEC
Great Elm Capital Corp.
Primary
5Y
-44.9%
3Y
+2.9%
1Y
-36.1%
6M
-23.4%
1M
-1.6%
1W
+2.6%
BTC
BTCS Inc.
Peer
5Y
-86.5%
3Y
+27.2%
1Y
+4.0%
6M
-75.2%
1M
-20.9%
1W
+3.6%
CLS
Catalyst Bancorp, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+24.1%
3Y
+46.3%
1Y
+50.9%
6M
+26.3%
1M
+2.5%
1W
+1.6%
BYF
Broadway Financial Corporation
Peer
5Y
-59.1%
3Y
-11.9%
1Y
+22.8%
6M
-4.9%
1M
-7.0%
1W
-1.6%
GEG
Great Elm Group, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-18.4%
3Y
-11.1%
1Y
+6.4%
6M
-19.0%
1M
-3.9%
1W
+5.8%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
6.11
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.64
P/S Ratio
1.44
EV/Revenue
5.19
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$71.81M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -63.59%
Operating Margin 71.27%
Gross Margin 100.0%
ROE -25.53%
ROA 6.65%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +37.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -635.15%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.68
High debt
Current Ratio
0.26
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.23
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.13

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$-0.0B
Net Margin
110.3%
Total Assets
$0.3B
Liabilities
$0.2B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
2.02x
Operating CF
$0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
100%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-03-02
$0.31
-8.8% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.2
-13.0% surprise
2025-08-04
$1.02
+135.4% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing GECC against 306 companies in the Financial Services sector (53 bullish, 132 neutral, 121 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-25.53%
This Stock
vs
-0.93%
Sector Avg
+2651.5% (Excellent)
Profit Margin
-63.59%
This Stock
vs
69.73%
Sector Avg
-191.2% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.68
This Stock
vs
1.41
Sector Avg
+18.5% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
37.6%
This Stock
vs
32.66%
Sector Avg
+15.1% (Growing)
Current Ratio
0.26
This Stock
vs
3.27
Sector Avg
-92.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

KAPLAN MATTHEW D
Chief Executive Officer
Buy
2025-11-07
19,650 shares · $150,126
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
1 analysts
Janney Montgomery Scott
2025-11-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GECC from our newsroom.

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