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HNVR

BEARISH
$22.47 Live
Hanover Bancorp, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $23.5 (+4.6%)
$19.08 52W Range $24.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$161.61M
P/E
22.47
ROE
3.8%
Profit margin
11.9%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
1.78%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
HNVR presents a contradictory profile where a stable Piotroski F-Score (4/9) and a discount to the Graham Number ($24.81) are overshadowed by severe fundamental deterioration. The company is experiencing a collapse in growth, evidenced by a -29% YoY revenue decline and a catastrophic -99.20% Q/Q earnings drop. While the stock trades below book value (P/B 0.82), the growth-based intrinsic value of $7.0 suggests the current price is heavily inflated relative to its earning power. Combined with bearish insider sentiment and a 0/4 earnings beat record over the last year, the valuation appears unsupported by operational performance.

Key Strengths

Trading below book value (P/B 0.82)
Current price is below the Graham Number ($24.81)
Sustainable dividend payout ratio (40%)
Positive 1-year price performance (+17.6%)
Forward P/E (7.95) suggests expected earnings recovery

Key Risks

Severe revenue contraction (-29% YoY)
Extreme Q/Q earnings volatility (-99.20% growth)
Very low Return on Equity (3.77%) and Return on Assets (0.32%)
Consistent failure to meet analyst earnings estimates (0/4 beats)
Bearish insider activity with recent director sales
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$16.5
-26.6% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
43
Moderate
Value
65
Future
15
Past
40
Health
50
Dividend
45
AI Verdict
Underperform
Key drivers: Revenue collapse, Earnings misses, Low ROE, Insider selling
Confidence
90%
Value
65/100

Ref P/E 22.47, P/B 0.82, Graham Number $24.81

Positives
  • P/B < 1.0
  • Price < Graham Number
Watchpoints
  • Massive premium to growth-based intrinsic value ($7.0)
Future
15/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Slight Q/Q revenue uptick (3.33%)
Watchpoints
  • YoY Revenue -29%
  • Q/Q Earnings -99.20%
Past
40/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Positive 3Y and 5Y price changes
Watchpoints
  • Average surprise of -46.53% over last 4 quarters
Health
50/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 4 indicates stability
Watchpoints
  • Extremely low ROA (0.32%)
  • Low ROE (3.77%)
Dividend
45/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Conservative payout ratio (40%)
Watchpoints
  • Low dividend yield (1.78%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$22.47
Analyst Target
$23.5
Upside/Downside
+4.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HNVR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HNV
Hanover Bancorp, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+15.5%
3Y
+32.0%
1Y
+17.6%
6M
+3.9%
1M
+8.4%
1W
+4.0%
BMN
Blackrock 2037 Municipal Target Term Trust
Peer
5Y
+18.8%
3Y
+19.2%
1Y
+6.8%
6M
+6.7%
1M
+2.2%
1W
-0.1%
BAN
ArrowMark Financial Corp.
Peer
5Y
+77.2%
3Y
+59.5%
1Y
+11.0%
6M
+8.9%
1M
-3.7%
1W
-1.0%
BCI
BCP Investment Corp.
Peer
5Y
+23.2%
3Y
-13.6%
1Y
-12.9%
6M
+7.6%
1M
+6.1%
1W
+1.7%
FNW
Finward Bancorp
Peer
5Y
-6.9%
3Y
+24.6%
1Y
+20.9%
6M
+10.9%
1M
-5.2%
1W
0.0%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
22.47
Forward P/E
7.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.82
P/S Ratio
2.57
EV/Revenue
1.5
EV/EBITDA
N/A
Market Cap
$161.61M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 11.9%
Operating Margin 29.36%
Gross Margin N/A
ROE 3.77%
ROA 0.32%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -29.0%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +3.33%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -99.2%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
N/A
Quick Ratio
N/A
Cash/Share
$29.13

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.0B
Net Margin
0.2%
Total Assets
$2.4B
Liabilities
$2.2B
Equity
$0.2B
Debt/Equity
10.90x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
97%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-01-29
$N/A
-100.0% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.47
-0.7% surprise
2025-07-23
$0.33
-38.9% surprise

Financial Services Sector Comparison

Comparing HNVR against 341 companies in the Financial Services sector (60 bullish, 147 neutral, 134 bearish)
P/E Ratio
22.47
This Stock
vs
54.09
Sector Avg
-58.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
3.77%
This Stock
vs
-0.66%
Sector Avg
-670.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.9%
This Stock
vs
63.27%
Sector Avg
-81.2% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-29.0%
This Stock
vs
44.9%
Sector Avg
-164.6% (Slower)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GOLDEN ROBERT
Director
Sell
2026-02-06
1,200 shares · $28,270
PUORRO MICHAEL P
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
10,945 shares
HASPEL AHRON H
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
SORRENTI JOHN R
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
KATZ MICHAEL DAVID M.D.
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
SISTI ELENA
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
GOLDEN ROBERT
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
DIIORIO LISA A
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,062 shares
OKUN PHILIP A
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
BURKE LANCE P
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
3,185 shares
ABRAHAM VARKEY
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
CORBETT KEVIN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
2,198 shares
NEGRIN METIN
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,592 shares
VIVONA JOHN P
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
1,338 shares
BURNS JOSEPH F
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-05
2,592 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
2 analysts
Piper Sandler
2026-01-30
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Piper Sandler
2025-12-10
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HNVR from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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