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JJSF

BEARISH
$82.49 Live
J&J Snack Foods Corp. · NASDAQ
Target $110.0 (+33.3%)
$73.75 52W Range $142.69
Overview AI Snowflake Price Valuation Profitability Growth Health Statements Peers Insiders

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 12, 2026
Market cap
$1.57B
P/E
26.19
ROE
6.6%
Profit margin
3.9%
Debt/Equity
0.18
Dividend yield
3.88%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
JJSF presents a stark contradiction between a strong balance sheet and deteriorating operational performance. While the Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicates strong short-term financial health and low leverage (Debt/Equity 0.18), the company is facing a severe growth crisis with earnings plummeting 82.4% YoY. The stock is significantly overvalued relative to its Graham Number ($58.36) and Intrinsic Value ($22.05), and the dividend is currently unsustainable with a payout ratio exceeding 100%. Despite bullish analyst targets, the technical trend is completely bearish and fundamental growth is negative.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating operational stability
Very low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.18
Excellent liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.52
Positive analyst sentiment with a target price of $110.00
Operates in the resilient Consumer Defensive sector

Key Risks

Unsustainable dividend payout ratio of 100.32%
Severe earnings contraction (-82.4% YoY)
Negative revenue growth (-5.2% YoY)
Significant valuation premium over Graham and Intrinsic values
Strongly bearish technical trend (0/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$55.0
-33.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
36
Weak
Value
30
Future
20
Past
25
Health
90
Dividend
15
AI Verdict
Fundamental Divergence
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet health, Collapsing earnings growth, Unsustainable dividend policy, Severe overvaluation
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E 26.19, Graham Number $58.36

Positives
  • P/S ratio of 1.00 is reasonable
Watchpoints
  • Price ($82.49) is 41% above Graham Number ($58.36)
  • Price is nearly 4x the growth-based intrinsic value ($22.05)
Future
20/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Forward P/E (17.35) suggests expected earnings recovery
Watchpoints
  • Revenue growth is negative (-5.2%)
  • Earnings growth is in freefall (-82.4%)
Past
25/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent history of earnings beats in some quarters
Watchpoints
  • Negative 1Y (-35.6%), 3Y (-42%), and 5Y (-42.3%) returns
Health
90/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 is strong
  • Low Debt/Equity (0.18)
  • High Current Ratio (2.52)
Watchpoints
  • Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
15/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Yield of 3.88% is attractive on the surface
Watchpoints
  • Payout ratio of 100.32% indicates the dividend is not covered by earnings

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$82.49
Analyst Target
$110.0
Upside/Downside
+33.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for JJSF and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
JJS
J&J Snack Foods Corp.
Primary
5Y
-42.3%
3Y
-42.0%
1Y
-35.6%
6M
-10.7%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+4.1%
AGR
Adecoagro S.A.
Peer
5Y
+62.2%
3Y
+84.1%
1Y
+19.6%
6M
+51.6%
1M
+43.9%
1W
+21.9%
IMK
Ingles Markets, Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+57.2%
3Y
+5.8%
1Y
+48.6%
6M
+34.5%
1M
+10.6%
1W
+3.4%
AFY
Afya Limited
Peer
5Y
-35.4%
3Y
+25.8%
1Y
-14.1%
6M
-11.8%
1M
-11.3%
1W
-0.7%
APE
American Public Education, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+68.2%
3Y
+522.7%
1Y
+173.3%
6M
+61.5%
1M
+33.4%
1W
+28.1%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
26.19
Forward P/E
17.35
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.72
P/S Ratio
1.0
EV/Revenue
1.06
EV/EBITDA
10.32
Market Cap
$1.57B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.92%
Operating Margin 1.23%
Gross Margin 29.33%
ROE 6.6%
ROA 4.08%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -5.2%
Earnings Growth -82.4%
Q/Q Revenue Growth -5.19%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -82.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.18
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.52
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.4
Good
Cash/Share
$3.51

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
27.9%
Op. Margin
1.7%
Net Margin
0.3%
Total Assets
$1.3B
Liabilities
$0.4B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
0.44x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
47%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$0.33
-8.3% surprise
2025-11-17
$1.58
+27.8% surprise
2025-08-05
$2.0
+13.4% surprise

Consumer Defensive Sector Comparison

Comparing JJSF against 78 companies in the Consumer Defensive sector (4 bullish, 35 neutral, 39 bearish)
P/E Ratio
26.19
This Stock
vs
31.0
Sector Avg
-15.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
6.6%
This Stock
vs
-24.63%
Sector Avg
-126.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.92%
This Stock
vs
-3.81%
Sector Avg
-202.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.18
This Stock
vs
1.43
Sector Avg
-87.6% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-5.2%
This Stock
vs
5.25%
Sector Avg
-199.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.52
This Stock
vs
2.35
Sector Avg
+7.3% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

JJSF J&J Snack Foods Corp.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.6B
P/E
26.2
ROE
6.6%
Price
$82.49
AGRO Adecoagro S.A.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.8B
P/E
54.1
ROE
1.7%
Price
$12.45
 Compare with JJSF
IMKTA Ingles...
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.8B
P/E
18.8
ROE
5.9%
Price
$94.04
 Compare with JJSF
AFYA Afya Limited
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$1.2B
P/E
8.9
ROE
16.7%
Price
$13.76
 Compare with JJSF
APEI American...
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$1.0B
P/E
44.0
ROE
10.5%
Price
$57.66
 Compare with JJSF

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CIARAMELLO KATHLEEN E
Director
Stock Award
2026-02-12
482 shares · $41,037
FACHNER DANIEL J.
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2025-11-24
2,202 shares
CIARAMELLO KATHLEEN E
Director
Buy
2025-11-20
540 shares · $48,902
FACHNER DANIEL J.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
13,626 shares
POLLNER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-11-19
1,837 shares
MALLARD LYNWOOD
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
1,679 shares
EVERY STEPHEN
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
1,683 shares
MUNSELL SHAWN
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
2,646 shares
KEHOE MARY LOU
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
721 shares
INDERLIED MATTHEW TODD
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-19
1,643 shares
FACHNER DANIEL J.
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
8,651 shares
POLLNER MICHAEL A
General Counsel
Stock Award
2025-11-14
433 shares
MALLARD LYNWOOD
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
865 shares
EVERY STEPHEN
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
865 shares
KEHOE MARY LOU
Officer
Stock Award
2025-11-14
288 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
Benchmark
2025-11-18
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning JJSF from our newsroom.

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