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KALU

NEUTRAL
$142.67 Live
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $124.5 (-12.7%)
$52.53 52W Range $150.0

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$2.31B
P/E
21.04
ROE
14.3%
Profit margin
3.3%
Debt/Equity
1.33
Dividend yield
2.16%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
KALU presents a stark contrast between aggressive growth and deteriorating operational health, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9. While the company exhibits strong top-line growth (21.4% YoY) and an impressive ROE of 14.34% relative to its sector, the current price of $142.67 trades at a significant premium to its Graham Number of $88.58. The bullish growth-based intrinsic value of $200.01 is countered by bearish technical trends (10/100) and negative insider sentiment. Consequently, the stock appears overextended in the short term despite strong fundamental growth metrics.

Key Strengths

Strong revenue growth of 21.40% YoY
Robust earnings growth of 39.70% YoY
High ROE (14.34%) significantly outperforming sector average (-7.32%)
Strong liquidity position with a Current Ratio of 2.95
Positive earnings surprise trend in recent quarters

Key Risks

Weak operational health indicated by Piotroski F-Score of 3/9
High Debt/Equity ratio (1.33) compared to sector average (0.48)
Bearish insider activity with significant selling by the CFO and General Counsel
Current price exceeds the average analyst target price of $124.50
Strongly bearish technical trend (10/100)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$131.3
-8.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
60
Moderate
Value
45
Future
88
Past
75
Health
30
Dividend
60
AI Verdict
Growth-driven but fundamentally fragile
Key drivers: High YoY growth, Poor Piotroski health score, Bearish technicals/insiders, Premium valuation vs Graham Number
Confidence
80%
Value
45/100

Ref P/E 21.04, Graham Number $88.58

Positives
  • Forward P/E (15.64) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
  • Price is 61% above Graham Number ($88.58)
  • Trading above analyst target price
Future
88/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 21.4% Revenue growth
  • 39.7% Earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Recent Q/Q EPS growth decline (-17.7%)
Past
75/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Massive 1Y price return (+182.8%)
  • Consistent earnings beats in 2025
Watchpoints
  • High volatility in historical EPS surprises
Health
30/100

Ref Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • High Current Ratio (2.95)
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score 3/9 (Weak)
  • Debt/Equity 1.33 is nearly 3x sector average
Dividend
60/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Sustainable payout ratio (45.49%)
Watchpoints
  • Relatively low yield (2.16%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$142.67
Analyst Target
$124.5
Upside/Downside
-12.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for KALU and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
KAL
Kaiser Aluminum Corporation
Primary
5Y
+54.6%
3Y
+123.1%
1Y
+182.8%
6M
+88.7%
1M
+11.8%
1W
+8.4%
IOS
Innospec Inc.
Peer
5Y
-21.1%
3Y
-25.2%
1Y
-10.6%
6M
+3.6%
1M
+8.5%
1W
+2.5%
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
5Y
-17.4%
3Y
-38.5%
1Y
-9.3%
6M
+25.4%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.7%
BAK
Braskem S.A.
Peer
5Y
-61.9%
3Y
-40.9%
1Y
+14.9%
6M
+32.1%
1M
+13.1%
1W
-8.0%
CLM
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+475.9%
3Y
+106.0%
1Y
+253.3%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+18.4%
1W
-3.3%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
21.04
Forward P/E
15.64
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
2.77
P/S Ratio
0.69
EV/Revenue
1.0
EV/EBITDA
10.99
Market Cap
$2.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 3.33%
Operating Margin 6.38%
Gross Margin 13.12%
ROE 14.34%
ROA 4.66%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +21.4%
Earnings Growth +39.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +21.37%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +42.4%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.33
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.95
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.16
Good
Cash/Share
$0.44

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.9B
Gross Margin
13.3%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
3.0%
Total Assets
$2.6B
Liabilities
$1.7B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
2.10x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.1B
FCF Yield
248%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-02-18
$1.53
-2.0% surprise
2025-10-22
$1.86
+109.9% surprise
2025-07-23
$1.21
+58.2% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing KALU against 68 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 29 neutral, 38 bearish)
P/E Ratio
21.04
This Stock
vs
45.31
Sector Avg
-53.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
14.34%
This Stock
vs
-8.21%
Sector Avg
-274.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
3.33%
This Stock
vs
-11.28%
Sector Avg
-129.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.33
This Stock
vs
0.55
Sector Avg
+141.4% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
21.4%
This Stock
vs
44.75%
Sector Avg
-52.2% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.95
This Stock
vs
7.55
Sector Avg
-60.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HARVEY KEITH A
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
65,690 shares
NARAYAN VIJAI
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
733 shares
BARGER HUGH J. III
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
1,686 shares
GHEORGHE IULIAN
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
852 shares
ROBB THOMAS H.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
2,954 shares
DONNAN JOHN MALCOLM
General Counsel
Stock Award
2026-03-05
15,348 shares
WEST NEAL E
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-05
16,201 shares
ROBB THOMAS H.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-02-23
440 shares
DONNAN JOHN MALCOLM
General Counsel
Sell
2026-02-23
18,461 shares · $2,309,024
WEST NEAL E
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-02-23
5,000 shares · $608,600
TIFFANY BLAIN A
Officer
Sell
2025-11-07
8,656 shares · $812,997
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
NONE
2 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-02-23
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2026-02-20
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-13
down
Overweight Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2025-10-28
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Wells Fargo
2025-10-24
Maintains
Overweight Overweight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning KALU from our newsroom.

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