ASH
BEARISH
$63.32
Live
Ashland Inc. · NYSE
Target $65.2
(+3.0%)
$45.21
52W Range
$72.3
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$2.9B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-34.5%
Profit margin
-46.3%
Debt/Equity
0.78
Dividend yield
2.63%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
68%
The Advanced Deterministic Scorecard reveals a deeply concerning financial profile with a Piotroski F-Score of just 2/9, indicating severe weakness in fundamental health. Despite a reasonable forward P/E of 13.53 and a 2.63% dividend yield, the company is plagued by a negative profit margin (-46.33%) and ROE (-34.45%), driven by a catastrophic earnings miss in Q3 2025. While the technical trend shows short-term recovery (+25.4% over 6M), long-term performance remains weak (-38.5% over 3Y), and analyst targets offer only marginal upside. Persistent earnings disappointment, lack of insider support, and deteriorating profitability undermine any value proposition.
Key Strengths
Forward P/E of 13.53 is below sector average, suggesting potential value
Current Ratio of 2.85 indicates strong short-term liquidity
Dividend yield of 2.63% is sustainable with a 40% payout ratio
Recent Q/Q EPS growth of +106.7% shows strong sequential improvement
Analyst recommendation consensus is 'buy' with a target price above current level
Key Risks
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 signals critical financial distress and poor earnings quality
Profit Margin of -46.33% and ROE of -34.45% reflect severe profitability collapse
Catastrophic earnings surprise of -1801.6% in Q3 2025 indicates high volatility and risk
Revenue declining YoY by -8.60%, showing top-line contraction
Technical trend score of 0/100 indicates strong bearish momentum despite recent bounce
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
43
Moderate
58
41
29
22
65
AI Verdict
High-risk, structurally challenged company with temporary technical rebound
Key drivers: Low Piotroski F-Score, Negative profitability metrics, Extreme earnings volatility, Declining revenue, Lack of insider activity
Confidence
70%
Value
58/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 13.53 is reasonable
- Price/Sales of 1.59 is below sector volatility extremes
Watchpoints
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available
- P/E not calculable due to negative earnings
Future
41/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Q/Q EPS growth of +106.7% indicates recovery potential
- Earnings growth YoY of 135.60% (from deeply negative base)
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY of -8.60%
- No visibility on sustained earnings recovery
Past
29/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Some historical quarters beat estimates (e.g., +234.2% in Jan 2024)
Watchpoints
- 3 of last 4 quarters missed estimates
- Average surprise of -608.82% over last 4 quarters
- Long-term price performance negative: -38.5% over 3Y
Health
22/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Current Ratio of 2.85 shows strong liquidity
- Debt/Equity of 0.78 is manageable
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 indicates critical financial weakness
- ROE of -34.45% and Profit Margin of -46.33% show systemic issues
- Altman Z-Score not available, increasing uncertainty
Dividend
65/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Dividend yield of 2.63% is attractive
- Payout ratio of 40% is sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 50/100 indicates moderate risk
- No 5-year yield average to assess consistency
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$63.32
Analyst Target
$65.2
Upside/Downside
+3.0%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ASH and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Primary
|
-17.4% | -38.5% | -9.3% | +25.4% | +6.6% | +0.7% |
|
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
Peer
|
+69.9% | +138.9% | +155.3% | +19.3% | +5.1% | -5.2% |
|
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
Peer
|
+42.2% | +44.3% | +115.7% | +31.4% | +7.5% | -5.7% |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
|
+475.9% | +106.0% | +253.3% | +90.1% | +18.4% | -3.3% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+1710.4% | +36.5% | +16.0% | +72.1% | +11.2% | -4.0% |
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Primary
5Y
-17.4%
3Y
-38.5%
1Y
-9.3%
6M
+25.4%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.7%
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
Peer
5Y
+69.9%
3Y
+138.9%
1Y
+155.3%
6M
+19.3%
1M
+5.1%
1W
-5.2%
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
Peer
5Y
+42.2%
3Y
+44.3%
1Y
+115.7%
6M
+31.4%
1M
+7.5%
1W
-5.7%
CLM
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+475.9%
3Y
+106.0%
1Y
+253.3%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+18.4%
1W
-3.3%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1710.4%
3Y
+36.5%
1Y
+16.0%
6M
+72.1%
1M
+11.2%
1W
-4.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
13.53
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.53
P/S Ratio
1.59
EV/Revenue
2.29
EV/EBITDA
11.46
Market Cap
$2.9B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-46.33%
Operating Margin
14.26%
Gross Margin
33.55%
ROE
-34.45%
ROA
2.05%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-8.6%
Earnings Growth
+135.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+100.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.78
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.85
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.05
Good
Cash/Share
$4.7
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-02
$N/A
2025-11-04
$1.08
-14.6% surprise
2025-07-29
$-16.21
-1801.6% surprise
2025-04-30
$0.99
-10.3% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing ASH against 143 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(14 bullish, 54 neutral, 75 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-34.45%
This Stock
vs
-6.64%
Sector Avg
+418.9%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
-46.33%
This Stock
vs
-5.75%
Sector Avg
+705.3%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.78
This Stock
vs
0.89
Sector Avg
-12.1%
(Lower)
Revenue Growth
-8.6%
This Stock
vs
36.56%
Sector Avg
-123.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.85
This Stock
vs
5.16
Sector Avg
-44.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.9B | - | -34.5% | -46.3% | $63.32 | |
|
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.86B | - | -22.4% | -25.5% | $9.65 | Compare |
|
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
|
BULLISH | $2.85B | 10.79 | 34.9% | 33.6% | $27.31 | Compare |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.01B | - | -% | -0.8% | $34.73 | Compare |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.02B | - | -2.9% | -2.1% | $231.15 | Compare |
ASH
Ashland Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$2.9B
P/E
-
ROE
-34.5%
Price
$63.32
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | KULKARNI ASHISH K | Director | Stock Award | 2,113 | - |
| 2025-11-17 | NOVO GUILLERMO | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 6,122 | $303,651 |
| 2025-11-17 | MUSA OSAMA M | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 976 | $48,410 |
| 2025-11-17 | DRURY EILEEN | Officer | Option Exercise | 567 | $28,123 |
| 2025-11-17 | LAMPKIN ROBIN E | General Counsel | Option Exercise | 239 | $11,854 |
| 2025-11-17 | WHITAKER WILLIAM | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 107 | $5,307 |
| 2025-11-17 | RICHARDSON SAMUEL | Officer | Option Exercise | 107 | $5,307 |
| 2025-11-14 | NOVO GUILLERMO | Chief Executive Officer | Option Exercise | 18,148 | $949,160 |
| 2025-11-14 | MUSA OSAMA M | Chief Technology Officer | Option Exercise | 3,484 | $181,676 |
| 2025-11-14 | DRURY EILEEN | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,160 | $112,634 |
| 2025-11-14 | LAMPKIN ROBIN E | General Counsel | Option Exercise | 2,142 | $111,711 |
| 2025-11-14 | MINICUCCI JAMES P | Officer | Option Exercise | 2,245 | $117,262 |
| 2025-11-14 | WHITAKER WILLIAM | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 585 | $30,497 |
| 2025-11-14 | RICHARDSON SAMUEL | Officer | Option Exercise | 374 | $19,497 |
| 2025-11-13 | ASSIS ALESSANDRA FACCIN | Officer | Option Exercise | 1,340 | $71,154 |
KULKARNI ASHISH K
Director
2026-01-21
2,113 shares
NOVO GUILLERMO
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-17
6,122 shares
·
$303,651
MUSA OSAMA M
Chief Technology Officer
2025-11-17
976 shares
·
$48,410
DRURY EILEEN
Officer
2025-11-17
567 shares
·
$28,123
LAMPKIN ROBIN E
General Counsel
2025-11-17
239 shares
·
$11,854
WHITAKER WILLIAM
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-17
107 shares
·
$5,307
RICHARDSON SAMUEL
Officer
2025-11-17
107 shares
·
$5,307
NOVO GUILLERMO
Chief Executive Officer
2025-11-14
18,148 shares
·
$949,160
MUSA OSAMA M
Chief Technology Officer
2025-11-14
3,484 shares
·
$181,676
DRURY EILEEN
Officer
2025-11-14
2,160 shares
·
$112,634
LAMPKIN ROBIN E
General Counsel
2025-11-14
2,142 shares
·
$111,711
MINICUCCI JAMES P
Officer
2025-11-14
2,245 shares
·
$117,262
WHITAKER WILLIAM
Chief Financial Officer
2025-11-14
585 shares
·
$30,497
RICHARDSON SAMUEL
Officer
2025-11-14
374 shares
·
$19,497
ASSIS ALESSANDRA FACCIN
Officer
2025-11-13
1,340 shares
·
$71,154
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
UBS
2026-01-12
Buy
Buy
Argus Research
2026-01-12
Buy
Buy
Wells Fargo
2025-12-19
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2025-12-18
Outperform
Outperform
BMO Capital
2025-12-15
Market Perform
Outperform
Mizuho
2025-11-17
Outperform
Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-11-11
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-11
In-Line
In-Line
Wells Fargo
2025-10-15
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2025-10-03
Outperform
Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ASH from our newsroom.
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No matching news yet.