ERO
BULLISH
$27.31
Live
Ero Copper Corp. · NYSE
Target $33.97
(+24.4%)
$12.03
52W Range
$39.8
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$2.85B
P/E
10.79
ROE
34.9%
Profit margin
33.6%
Debt/Equity
0.67
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
75%
ERO presents a high-growth profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, indicating stable but not strong financial health. While the current price of $27.31 trades at a premium to the Graham Number ($22.61) and Intrinsic Value ($17.71), this is justified by explosive revenue growth (161.30% YoY) and a very attractive forward P/E of 6.17. The company exhibits exceptional profitability with an ROE of 34.91% and operating margins of 43.60%, significantly outperforming sector averages. Despite liquidity concerns reflected in a low quick ratio, the fundamental growth trajectory and analyst targets suggest continued upside.
Key Strengths
Explosive revenue growth of 161.30% YoY
Exceptional profitability with 43.60% operating margins
Strong Return on Equity (ROE) of 34.91%
Very low forward P/E ratio (6.17) relative to sector average
Significant 1-year price appreciation (+115.7%)
Key Risks
Liquidity risk indicated by a low quick ratio of 0.59
Trading at a premium to both Graham and Intrinsic value estimates
Bearish technical trend score (0/100) suggesting short-term momentum loss
Exposure to copper commodity price volatility
Mediocre Piotroski F-Score (4/9) suggesting room for balance sheet improvement
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$26.5
-3.0% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
59
Moderate
65
95
85
50
0
AI Verdict
Strong Growth Play
Key drivers: Hyper-growth in revenue, High operating efficiency, Low valuation relative to future earnings
Confidence
80%
Value
65/100
Trades at a growth premium but remains cheap on a forward-earnings basis.
Positives
- P/E of 10.79 is well below sector average of 40.32
- Forward P/E is highly attractive at 6.17
Watchpoints
- Price exceeds Graham Number ($22.61)
- Price exceeds Intrinsic Value ($17.71)
Future
95/100
Growth metrics are in the top percentile of the Basic Materials sector.
Positives
- 161% YoY revenue growth
- 511% YoY EPS growth
- Strong analyst target price of $33.97
Watchpoints
- Sustainability of triple-digit growth rates
Past
85/100
Strong 1-year and 3-year price performance.
Positives
- 115.7% 1-year return
- Consistent earnings beats in recent quarters
Watchpoints
- Historical volatility in EPS surprises
Health
50/100
Financial health is acceptable but not a core strength.
Positives
- Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.67
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
- Quick ratio of 0.59 suggests potential short-term liquidity pressure
Dividend
0/100
Company is reinvesting all capital into growth.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0% payout ratio
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$27.31
Analyst Target
$33.97
Upside/Downside
+24.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for ERO and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
Primary
|
+42.2% | +44.3% | +115.7% | +31.4% | +7.5% | -5.7% |
|
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
Peer
|
+69.9% | +138.9% | +155.3% | +19.3% | +5.1% | -5.2% |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
|
-17.4% | -38.5% | -9.3% | +25.4% | +6.6% | +0.7% |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
|
+475.9% | +106.0% | +253.3% | +90.1% | +18.4% | -3.3% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+1710.4% | +36.5% | +16.0% | +72.1% | +11.2% | -4.0% |
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
Primary
5Y
+42.2%
3Y
+44.3%
1Y
+115.7%
6M
+31.4%
1M
+7.5%
1W
-5.7%
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
Peer
5Y
+69.9%
3Y
+138.9%
1Y
+155.3%
6M
+19.3%
1M
+5.1%
1W
-5.2%
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
5Y
-17.4%
3Y
-38.5%
1Y
-9.3%
6M
+25.4%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.7%
CLM
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+475.9%
3Y
+106.0%
1Y
+253.3%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+18.4%
1W
-3.3%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1710.4%
3Y
+36.5%
1Y
+16.0%
6M
+72.1%
1M
+11.2%
1W
-4.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
10.79
Forward P/E
6.17
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.04
P/S Ratio
3.62
EV/Revenue
4.3
EV/EBITDA
8.74
Market Cap
$2.85B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
33.56%
Operating Margin
43.6%
Gross Margin
43.85%
ROE
34.91%
ROA
9.87%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+161.3%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+161.27%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.67
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.06
Good
Quick Ratio
0.59
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.01
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
51.4%
Op. Margin
44.4%
Net Margin
24.0%
Total Assets
$1.9B
Liabilities
$1.0B
Equity
$0.9B
Debt/Equity
1.05x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
42%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-04
$N/A
2026-03-05
$1.04
-1.4% surprise
2025-11-04
$0.35
+20.7% surprise
2025-07-31
$0.46
+35.6% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing ERO against 128 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(10 bullish, 49 neutral, 69 bearish)
P/E Ratio
10.79
This Stock
vs
40.02
Sector Avg
-73.0%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
34.91%
This Stock
vs
-7.91%
Sector Avg
-541.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
33.56%
This Stock
vs
-5.89%
Sector Avg
-669.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.67
This Stock
vs
0.97
Sector Avg
-30.6%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
161.3%
This Stock
vs
37.88%
Sector Avg
+325.8%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.06
This Stock
vs
5.43
Sector Avg
-80.5%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
|
BULLISH | $2.85B | 10.79 | 34.9% | 33.6% | $27.31 | |
|
EXK
Endeavour Silver Corp.
|
NEUTRAL | $2.86B | - | -22.4% | -25.5% | $9.65 | Compare |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.9B | - | -34.5% | -46.3% | $63.32 | Compare |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.01B | - | -% | -0.8% | $34.73 | Compare |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.02B | - | -2.9% | -2.1% | $231.15 | Compare |
ERO
Ero Copper Corp.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$2.8B
P/E
10.8
ROE
34.9%
Price
$27.31
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Hocking (Michael) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 559 | - |
| 2026-01-30 | Wright (John H) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 1,750 | - |
| 2026-01-29 | Wright (John H) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 38.63 pe | 15,000 | $579,465 |
| 2026-01-26 | Braaten (Lyle) | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 33.89 pe | 10,000 | $338,900 |
| 2026-01-26 | de Come (Eduardo) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 9,936 | $130,777 |
| 2026-01-26 | de Come (Eduardo) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 9,936 | - |
| 2026-01-26 | Wright (John H) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 10,000 | - |
| 2026-01-23 | Getz, Robert Hinman | Director of Issuer | Disposition in the public market at price 32.69 pe | 30,000 | $980,790 |
| 2026-01-22 | Wright (John H) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 10,000 | - |
| 2026-01-12 | Strang (David Maxwell) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 125,000 | - |
| 2026-01-09 | Strang (David Maxwell) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 260,000 | - |
| 2026-01-07 | Strang (David Maxwell) | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 80,000 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | Drier (Wayne) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 14,821 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | Drier (Wayne) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 14,821 | - |
| 2026-01-06 | Lynn (Courtney Raquel Bordone) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Option Exercise | 4,810 | $63,405 |
Hocking (Michael)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-09
559 shares
Wright (John H)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-30
1,750 shares
Wright (John H)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-29
15,000 shares
·
$579,465
Braaten (Lyle)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-26
10,000 shares
·
$338,900
de Come (Eduardo)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-26
9,936 shares
·
$130,777
de Come (Eduardo)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-26
9,936 shares
Wright (John H)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-26
10,000 shares
Getz, Robert Hinman
Director of Issuer
2026-01-23
30,000 shares
·
$980,790
Wright (John H)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-22
10,000 shares
Strang (David Maxwell)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-12
125,000 shares
Strang (David Maxwell)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-09
260,000 shares
Strang (David Maxwell)
Director of Issuer
2026-01-07
80,000 shares
Drier (Wayne)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-06
14,821 shares
Drier (Wayne)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-06
14,821 shares
Lynn (Courtney Raquel Bordone)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-01-06
4,810 shares
·
$63,405
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-04-14
Buy
Neutral
Freedom Broker
2026-02-20
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-14
Buy
Buy
Freedom Broker
2025-12-30
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-29
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning ERO from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.