AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc. - Fundamental Analysis
BEARISH
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AMR Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Basic Materials
Coking Coal
Current Price
Live
$231.15
Analyst Target
$204.5
-11.5%
Downside
52W High
$253.82
52W Low
$97.41
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.02B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-2.9%
Profit margin
-2.1%
Debt/Equity
0.0
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
78%
Analysis Accuracy
Despite a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 indicating solid financial health on certain fundamentals, AMR faces significant challenges including negative profitability metrics, declining revenue, and a lack of Altman Z-Score to confirm financial stability. The stock trades at a high forward P/E of 10.82 amid negative earnings trends and collapsing year-over-year EPS growth of -244.8%, while insiders have shown bearish sentiment with $3.81M in net sales. Analysts recommend 'buy' but with limited consensus (only 2 analysts), and technical trend is deeply bearish at 10/100. The extreme 5-year price surge of +1710.4% appears disconnected from deteriorating fundamentals, raising sustainability concerns.
Key Strengths
Strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 suggests robust balance sheet and earnings quality on selected criteria
Exceptionally low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.00 indicates no leverage risk
High liquidity with Current Ratio of 3.95 and Quick Ratio of 2.98
Trading below analyst target price of $204.50, implying potential upside based on sell-side views
Sector peers show mixed performance, but AMR's valuation appears relatively restrained compared to explosive performers like ALM and AAUC
Key Risks
Profitability collapse: negative Profit Margin (-2.09%) and Operating Margin (-1.20%)
Severe revenue decline with YoY Revenue Growth of -21.60%
Catastrophic YoY EPS growth of -244.8% and inconsistent earnings surprises, including multiple large negative beats
Missing Altman Z-Score prevents confirmation of bankruptcy risk; absence is a red flag
Insider selling: $3.81M in sales by officers, president, and CFO with zero buy transactions in last 6 months
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
42
Moderate
38
25
65
70
10
AI Verdict
Overvalued relative to fundamentals despite strong Piotroski score; high risk due to earnings collapse and insider selling
Key drivers: Negative earnings and revenue momentum, Strong liquidity but deteriorating profitability, Lack of Altman Z-Score increases uncertainty, Insider selling pressure, Rich valuation despite negative earnings
Confidence
80%
Value
38/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Forward P/E of 10.82 below sector average of 37.04
- Price/Book of 1.88 and Price/Sales of 1.36 appear reasonable
Watchpoints
- P/E based on negative earnings — not meaningful
- No Graham Number or Intrinsic Value available
- Valuation metrics distorted by collapsing profitability
Future
25/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Forward P/E implies expectation of recovery
Watchpoints
- Revenue Growth (YoY): -21.60%
- Earnings Growth (YoY): -244.8%
- Q/Q EPS Growth: -10.5%
- No visibility on earnings recovery
Past
65/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y price return of +1710.4% shows strong historical momentum
- Some quarters with large positive earnings surprises (e.g., +86.2%)
- Piotroski F-Score of 7 indicates past financial discipline
Watchpoints
- Earnings surprise volatility: average negative surprise in recent quarters
- Progressive deterioration in EPS from 2023 to 2025
Health
70/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 — strong financial health signal
- Debt/Equity = 0.00 eliminates solvency risk
- Current and Quick Ratios well above 1.0
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score missing — critical gap in health assessment
- ROE (-2.87%), ROA (-0.95%) negative
- No data on Total Cash or Total Debt to validate liquidity
Dividend
10/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout Ratio of 0.00% preserves capital
Watchpoints
- No dividend yield or history
- Dividend Strength: 0/100
- No shareholder returns
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$231.15
Analyst Target
$204.5
Upside/Downside
-11.5%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AMR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Primary
|
+1710.4% | +36.5% | +16.0% | +72.1% | +11.2% | -4.0% |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
|
-17.4% | -38.5% | -9.3% | +25.4% | +6.6% | +0.7% |
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
Peer
|
+115.8% | +37.2% | -33.7% | -3.8% | +12.9% | -1.4% |
|
AVNT
Avient Corporation
Peer
|
+2.3% | +3.4% | -10.2% | +11.9% | +19.3% | +4.9% |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
|
+341.5% | +341.5% | +272.8% | +127.9% | +24.3% | +10.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
10.82
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.88
P/S Ratio
1.36
EV/Revenue
1.13
EV/EBITDA
15.23
Market Cap
$3.02B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
-2.09%
Operating Margin
-1.2%
Gross Margin
10.75%
ROE
-2.87%
ROA
-0.95%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-21.6%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.0
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.95
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.98
Excellent
Cash/Share
$35.61
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-27
$N/A
2025-11-06
$-0.42
+6.7% surprise
2025-08-08
$-0.38
+86.2% surprise
2025-05-09
$-2.6
-145.3% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing AMR against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-2.87%
This Stock
vs
0.39%
Sector Avg
-827.5%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
-2.09%
This Stock
vs
-2.41%
Sector Avg
-13.2%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.0
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
-99.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-21.6%
This Stock
vs
15.82%
Sector Avg
-236.5%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.95
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
+73.4%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.02B | - | -2.9% | -2.1% | $231.15 | |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.9B | - | -34.5% | -46.3% | $63.32 | |
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
|
NEUTRAL | $3.15B | 16.63 | 9.0% | 3.0% | $84.33 | |
|
AVNT
Avient Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.42B | 30.66 | 4.8% | 3.5% | $37.4 | |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.79B | - | 2.6% | -3.6% | $30.4 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-15 | COURTIS KENNETH STUART | Director | Purchase | 9,000 | $1,693,441 |
| 2025-12-15 | GORZYNSKI MICHAEL | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Purchase | 38,576 | $7,271,494 |
| 2025-12-12 | COURTIS KENNETH STUART | Director | Purchase | 37,000 | $6,694,203 |
| 2025-12-11 | COURTIS KENNETH STUART | Director | Purchase | 15,000 | $2,719,849 |
| 2025-12-11 | HORN DANIEL E | Officer | Sale | 8,125 | $1,530,118 |
| 2025-12-08 | COURTIS KENNETH STUART | Director | Purchase | 36,000 | $6,309,390 |
| 2025-09-15 | COURTIS KENNETH STUART | Director | Purchase | 108,000 | $16,043,392 |
| 2025-08-12 | WHITEHEAD JASON E | President | Sale | 12,004 | $1,942,782 |
| 2025-08-12 | MUNSEY JOSHUA TODD | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 2,135 | $335,195 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
2 analysts
Jefferies
2026-10-05
Hold
Hold
Jefferies
2026-01-20
Hold
Hold
Texas Capital Securities
2025-09-25
Buy
Jefferies
2025-08-11
Hold
Hold
B. Riley Securities
2025-08-05
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning AMR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.