FSM
BULLISH
$10.27
Live
Fortuna Mining Corp. · NYSE
Target $14.0
(+36.3%)
$5.23
52W Range
$13.85
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$3.13B
P/E
12.08
ROE
18.0%
Profit margin
30.4%
Debt/Equity
0.12
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
75%
Fortuna Mining Corp. presents a compelling value opportunity, trading almost exactly at its Graham Number ($10.24) and significantly below its intrinsic value of $25.07. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable but not strong financial health, this is offset by an exceptionally clean balance sheet with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12 and a strong Current Ratio of 2.98. Despite a bearish technical trend and a poor track record of meeting earnings estimates, the company's massive YoY earnings growth and low forward P/E (5.75) suggest significant upside potential.
Key Strengths
Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.12
Strong liquidity position evidenced by a Current Ratio of 2.98
High profitability margins (Operating Margin: 43.43%, Profit Margin: 30.35%)
Significant valuation discount relative to intrinsic value ($25.07)
Explosive Year-over-Year earnings growth (987.10%)
Key Risks
Severe bearish technical trend (0/100 score)
Poor earnings reliability with only 1 of the last 4 quarters beating estimates
Negative Q/Q revenue growth (-10.57%) indicating a potential short-term slowdown
High volatility in quarterly earnings surprises
Limited analyst coverage (only 1 analyst providing a recommendation)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$17.65
+71.9% above current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
57
Moderate
90
70
60
65
0
AI Verdict
Undervalued Growth Play
Key drivers: Low P/E relative to sector, Pristine balance sheet, High intrinsic value gap
Confidence
80%
Value
90/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Trading at Graham Number
- Forward P/E of 5.75 is highly attractive
- P/E (12.08) is far below sector average (39.65)
Watchpoints
- Price/Book of 1.87 is moderate
Future
70/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Massive YoY earnings growth
- Strong revenue growth (38.40%)
Watchpoints
- Q/Q revenue contraction
- Inconsistent earnings beats
Past
60/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Strong 3Y (+176.1%) and 1Y (+67.5%) price performance
Watchpoints
- Chronic failure to meet analyst EPS estimates over 25 quarters
Health
65/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Very low Debt/Equity
- High Quick and Current ratios
Watchpoints
- Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 is only 'Stable'
Dividend
0/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend payments
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$10.27
Analyst Target
$14.0
Upside/Downside
+36.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for FSM and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-24
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
Primary
|
+61.0% | +176.1% | +67.5% | +25.9% | +7.9% | -5.4% |
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
Peer
|
+115.8% | +37.2% | -33.7% | -3.8% | +12.9% | -1.4% |
|
HWKN
Hawkins, Inc.
Peer
|
+370.3% | +246.8% | +34.8% | -11.0% | +0.1% | -2.3% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+1710.4% | +36.5% | +16.0% | +72.1% | +11.2% | -4.0% |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
|
+475.9% | +106.0% | +253.3% | +90.1% | +18.4% | -3.3% |
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
Primary
5Y
+61.0%
3Y
+176.1%
1Y
+67.5%
6M
+25.9%
1M
+7.9%
1W
-5.4%
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
Peer
5Y
+115.8%
3Y
+37.2%
1Y
-33.7%
6M
-3.8%
1M
+12.9%
1W
-1.4%
HWK
Hawkins, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+370.3%
3Y
+246.8%
1Y
+34.8%
6M
-11.0%
1M
+0.1%
1W
-2.3%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1710.4%
3Y
+36.5%
1Y
+16.0%
6M
+72.1%
1M
+11.2%
1W
-4.0%
CLM
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+475.9%
3Y
+106.0%
1Y
+253.3%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+18.4%
1W
-3.3%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
12.08
Forward P/E
5.75
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.87
P/S Ratio
3.3
EV/Revenue
3.0
EV/EBITDA
5.19
Market Cap
$3.13B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
30.35%
Operating Margin
43.43%
Gross Margin
49.3%
ROE
18.04%
ROA
11.58%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+38.4%
Earnings Growth
+987.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-10.57%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+500.0%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.12
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.98
Strong
Quick Ratio
2.44
Excellent
Cash/Share
$1.84
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.3B
Gross Margin
54.9%
Op. Margin
44.7%
Net Margin
25.2%
Total Assets
$2.4B
Liabilities
$0.6B
Equity
$1.7B
Debt/Equity
0.37x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
70%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-06
$N/A
2026-02-18
$0.23
+2.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.17
-8.2% surprise
2025-08-06
$0.16
-11.6% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing FSM against 128 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(10 bullish, 49 neutral, 69 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.08
This Stock
vs
40.02
Sector Avg
-69.8%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
18.04%
This Stock
vs
-7.91%
Sector Avg
-328.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
30.35%
This Stock
vs
-5.89%
Sector Avg
-615.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.12
This Stock
vs
0.97
Sector Avg
-87.5%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
38.4%
This Stock
vs
37.88%
Sector Avg
+1.4%
(Growing)
Current Ratio
2.98
This Stock
vs
5.43
Sector Avg
-45.1%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
|
BULLISH | $3.13B | 12.08 | 18.0% | 30.4% | $10.27 | |
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
|
NEUTRAL | $3.15B | 16.63 | 9.0% | 3.0% | $84.33 | Compare |
|
HWKN
Hawkins, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $3.1B | 37.49 | 16.9% | 7.8% | $148.1 | Compare |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.02B | - | -2.9% | -2.1% | $231.15 | Compare |
|
CLMT
Calumet, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.01B | - | -% | -0.8% | $34.73 | Compare |
FSM
Fortuna Mining Corp.
BULLISH
Mkt Cap
$3.1B
P/E
12.1
ROE
18.0%
Price
$10.27
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Stock Award | 200,000 | - |
| 2026-03-27 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 200,000 | $1,877,400 |
| 2026-03-27 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Stock Award | 1,300,000 | - |
| 2026-03-26 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 200,000 | $1,845,400 |
| 2026-03-25 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 200,000 | $1,895,600 |
| 2026-03-24 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 200,000 | $1,828,800 |
| 2026-03-23 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 300,000 | $2,712,000 |
| 2026-03-20 | Baudrand (Julien) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 31,600 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | Chapman (Eric) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 31,433 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Purchase | 400,000 | $3,446,400 |
| 2026-03-20 | Fortuna Mining Corp | Issuer | Stock Award | 200,000 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | Ganoza Durant, Luis Dario | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 52,230 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | Ganoza Durant, Jorge A. | Director of Issuer | Stock Award | 130,385 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | Manrique (Carlos) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 19,217 | - |
| 2026-03-20 | O'Reilly (Kevin) | Senior Officer of Issuer | Stock Award | 10,226 | - |
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-31
200,000 shares
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-27
200,000 shares
·
$1,877,400
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-27
1,300,000 shares
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-26
200,000 shares
·
$1,845,400
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-25
200,000 shares
·
$1,895,600
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-24
200,000 shares
·
$1,828,800
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-23
300,000 shares
·
$2,712,000
Baudrand (Julien)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-20
31,600 shares
Chapman (Eric)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-20
31,433 shares
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-20
400,000 shares
·
$3,446,400
Fortuna Mining Corp
Issuer
2026-03-20
200,000 shares
Ganoza Durant, Luis Dario
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-20
52,230 shares
Ganoza Durant, Jorge A.
Director of Issuer
2026-03-20
130,385 shares
Manrique (Carlos)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-20
19,217 shares
O'Reilly (Kevin)
Senior Officer of Issuer
2026-03-20
10,226 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
1 analysts
Scotiabank
2026-01-26
Sector Outperform
Sector Outperform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning FSM from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.