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HWKN

NEUTRAL
$148.1 Live
Hawkins, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $188.0 (+26.9%)
$114.77 52W Range $186.15

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 11, 2026
Market cap
$3.1B
P/E
37.49
ROE
16.9%
Profit margin
7.8%
Debt/Equity
0.42
Dividend yield
0.51%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Hawkins, Inc. exhibits exceptional financial health with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, indicating a fortress-like balance sheet and strong operational efficiency. However, the stock is severely overvalued from a deterministic standpoint, trading at $148.10—well above its Graham Number ($47.15) and Intrinsic Value ($76.23). While long-term performance is stellar (+370% over 5 years), current YoY revenue growth is slightly negative (-1.60%) and the technical trend is bearish. The company is a high-quality asset currently priced for perfection, creating a significant gap between fundamental value and market price.

Key Strengths

Perfect Piotroski F-Score (9/9) indicating peak financial health
Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.35 and Quick Ratio of 1.36
Robust Return on Equity (ROE) of 16.89%
Conservative leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.42
Impressive 5-year price appreciation of 370.3%

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium (Price is >3x the Graham Number)
Negative Year-over-Year revenue growth (-1.60%)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent 6-month decline of 11%
High P/E ratio (37.49) relative to modest earnings growth (8.20%)
Recent earnings instability with only 1 of the last 4 quarters beating estimates
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$82.5
-44.3% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
61
Strong
Value
20
Future
55
Past
90
Health
100
Dividend
40
AI Verdict
High-quality company, poor entry price
Key drivers: Piotroski 9/9, Valuation Gap, Stagnant Revenue Growth, Strong ROE
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Analyst target price ($188) suggests further upside
Watchpoints
  • P/E of 37.49 is high for Basic Materials
  • Price significantly exceeds Graham Number ($47.15) and Intrinsic Value ($76.23)
Future
55/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Positive Q/Q revenue growth (7.90%)
  • Positive earnings growth (8.20%)
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue growth
  • Recent trend of missing earnings estimates
Past
90/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Exceptional 5-year and 3-year returns
  • Consistent historical earnings beats over a 25-quarter window
Watchpoints
  • Recent 6-month momentum is negative
Health
100/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
  • Low Debt/Equity
  • Strong Current Ratio
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Dividend
40/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Very low payout ratio (18.73%) suggests high sustainability
Watchpoints
  • Negligible dividend yield (0.51%)

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$148.1
Analyst Target
$188.0
Upside/Downside
+26.9%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for HWKN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-10
HWK
Hawkins, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+370.3%
3Y
+246.8%
1Y
+34.8%
6M
-11.0%
1M
+0.1%
1W
-2.3%
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
Peer
5Y
+115.8%
3Y
+37.2%
1Y
-33.7%
6M
-3.8%
1M
+12.9%
1W
-1.4%
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+1710.4%
3Y
+36.5%
1Y
+16.0%
6M
+72.1%
1M
+11.2%
1W
-4.0%
CLM
Calumet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+475.9%
3Y
+106.0%
1Y
+253.3%
6M
+90.1%
1M
+18.4%
1W
-3.3%
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
5Y
-17.4%
3Y
-38.5%
1Y
-9.3%
6M
+25.4%
1M
+6.6%
1W
+0.7%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
37.49
Forward P/E
35.47
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
5.92
P/S Ratio
2.91
EV/Revenue
1.55
EV/EBITDA
9.95
Market Cap
$3.1B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 7.75%
Operating Margin 9.48%
Gross Margin 22.86%
ROE 16.89%
ROA 8.66%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -1.6%
Earnings Growth +8.2%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +7.9%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +7.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.42
Low debt
Current Ratio
2.35
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.36
Good
Cash/Share
$0.53

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.2B
Gross Margin
20.8%
Op. Margin
9.2%
Net Margin
5.9%
Total Assets
$1.0B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
0.88x
Operating CF
$0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
60%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-13
$N/A
2026-01-28
$0.7
-2.6% surprise
2025-10-29
$1.09
-11.7% surprise
2025-07-30
$1.43
+6.6% surprise

Basic Materials Sector Comparison

Comparing HWKN against 60 companies in the Basic Materials sector (1 bullish, 27 neutral, 32 bearish)
P/E Ratio
37.49
This Stock
vs
47.21
Sector Avg
-20.6% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
16.89%
This Stock
vs
-5.96%
Sector Avg
-383.3% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
7.75%
This Stock
vs
-8.72%
Sector Avg
-188.9% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.42
This Stock
vs
0.52
Sector Avg
-18.3% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
-1.6%
This Stock
vs
37.17%
Sector Avg
-104.3% (Slower)
Current Ratio
2.35
This Stock
vs
3.96
Sector Avg
-40.6% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

HAWKINS PATRICK H
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-02-23
1,040 shares
FAULCONBRIDGE JAMES A
Director
Buy
2026-02-05
3,000 shares · $388,860
GRAHEK DREW M
Officer
Gift
2025-12-09
1,460 shares · $184,460
ERSTAD RICHARD G
General Counsel
Gift
2025-11-12
50 shares
GRAHEK DREW M
Officer
Buy
2025-11-03
1,587 shares · $200,506
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
3 analysts
BWS Financial
2026-03-23
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2026-01-29
Maintains
Buy Buy
BWS Financial
2025-11-03
Maintains
Buy Buy

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning HWKN from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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