BCC Boise Cascade Company - Fundamental Analysis
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BCC Stock | Fundamental Analysis & Investment Insights
NYSE
Basic Materials
Lumber & Wood Production
Current Price
Live
$84.33
Analyst Target
$91.33
+8.3%
Upside
52W High
$129.74
52W Low
$65.14
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$3.15B
P/E
16.63
ROE
9.0%
Profit margin
3.0%
Debt/Equity
0.24
Dividend yield
1.03%
AI Analysis
Powered by advanced machine learning algorithms
Confidence Score
72%
Analysis Accuracy
Boise Cascade Company exhibits strong financial health with a Piotroski F-Score of 8/9, indicating robust accounting strength, but lacks an Altman Z-Score for distress risk assessment. The stock trades above its Graham Number of $81.11 at $84.33, suggesting a slight premium, while forward P/E of 21.39 reflects elevated growth expectations despite recent negative earnings and revenue growth. Earnings have declined sharply YoY (-75.1%) and Q/Q (-76.1%), with four consecutive earnings misses, offsetting strong historical profitability and low leverage. Analysts recommend a 'buy' with a $91.33 target, yet insider selling and weakening fundamentals create conflicting signals.
Key Strengths
High Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health and conservative accounting practices
Low debt/equity ratio of 0.24 shows minimal financial leverage and strong balance sheet resilience
Current ratio of 3.10 and quick ratio of 1.63 reflect excellent short-term liquidity
Dividend payout ratio of 16.77% is sustainable given current earnings coverage
Trading below analyst target price of $91.33, implying 8.3% upside potential
Key Risks
Earnings growth down 75.1% YoY and 76.1% Q/Q, signaling severe profitability contraction
Four consecutive earnings misses with average surprise of -13.03%, eroding investor confidence
Insider selling activity: $0.41M in sales over last 6 months with no buys, indicating bearish sentiment
Technical trend score of 0/100 suggests strong bearish momentum in price action
Forward P/E of 21.39 is high relative to near-term growth prospects, which are negative
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$81.11
-3.8% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
62
Strong
62
38
75
85
50
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside risk if earnings stabilize
Key drivers: Strong Piotroski score supports resilience, Negative earnings momentum, Valuation premium to Graham Number, Analyst optimism vs insider skepticism
Confidence
70%
Value
62/100
Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number
Positives
- Price/Sales of 0.48 is low, suggesting potential undervaluation on revenue basis
- Graham Number implies $81.11 defensive value
Watchpoints
- Current price ($84.33) trades above Graham Number
- Forward P/E of 21.39 is high given negative growth
Future
38/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target implies growth recovery expectations
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth YoY: -2.70%
- Earnings growth YoY: -75.10%
- Q/Q earnings growth: -76.10%
Past
75/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- Historically strong earnings surprises (e.g., +89.8%, +72.5%)
- Long-term 5Y return of +115.8% outperforms sector
Watchpoints
- Recent quarters show sharp reversal in performance
- Last 4 quarters all missed estimates
Health
85/100
Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score of 8/9 indicates strong financial health
- Debt/Equity of 0.24 is very low
- Current and quick ratios well above 1
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not available, creating uncertainty in distress risk
Dividend
50/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Payout ratio of 16.77% is low and sustainable
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score of 25/100 indicates weak yield and growth
- Yield of 1.03% is below market average
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$84.33
Analyst Target
$91.33
Upside/Downside
+8.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for BCC and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-01-23
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
Primary
|
+115.8% | +37.2% | -33.7% | -3.8% | +12.9% | -1.4% |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+1710.4% | +36.5% | +16.0% | +72.1% | +11.2% | -4.0% |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
Peer
|
-17.4% | -38.5% | -9.3% | +25.4% | +6.6% | +0.7% |
|
AVNT
Avient Corporation
Peer
|
+2.3% | +3.4% | -10.2% | +11.9% | +19.3% | +4.9% |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
Peer
|
+341.5% | +341.5% | +272.8% | +127.9% | +24.3% | +10.1% |
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
16.63
Forward P/E
21.39
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.46
P/S Ratio
0.48
EV/Revenue
0.48
EV/EBITDA
7.58
Market Cap
$3.15B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
2.96%
Operating Margin
1.94%
Gross Margin
17.2%
ROE
9.05%
ROA
4.75%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-2.7%
Earnings Growth
-75.1%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-76.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.24
Low debt
Current Ratio
3.1
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.63
Excellent
Cash/Share
$13.82
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-02-23
$N/A
2025-11-03
$0.58
-15.7% surprise
2025-08-04
$1.64
-5.8% surprise
2025-05-05
$1.06
-17.5% surprise
Basic Materials Sector Comparison
Comparing BCC against 41 companies in the Basic Materials sector
(1 bullish, 21 neutral, 19 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.63
This Stock
vs
30.38
Sector Avg
-45.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.05%
This Stock
vs
0.39%
Sector Avg
+2192.4%
(Excellent)
Profit Margin
2.96%
This Stock
vs
-2.52%
Sector Avg
-217.5%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.24
This Stock
vs
0.61
Sector Avg
-59.7%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-2.7%
This Stock
vs
14.81%
Sector Avg
-118.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
3.1
This Stock
vs
2.28
Sector Avg
+36.0%
(Stronger)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
BCC
Boise Cascade Company
|
NEUTRAL | $3.15B | 16.63 | 9.0% | 3.0% | $84.33 | |
|
AMR
Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $3.02B | - | -2.9% | -2.1% | $231.15 | |
|
ASH
Ashland Inc.
|
BEARISH | $2.9B | - | -34.5% | -46.3% | $63.32 | |
|
AVNT
Avient Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.42B | 30.66 | 4.8% | 3.5% | $37.4 | |
|
AAUC
Allied Gold Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $3.79B | - | 2.6% | -3.6% | $30.4 |
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-26 | STROM JEFFREY ROBERT | Chief Operating Officer | Gift | 250 | - |
| 2025-08-22 | STROM JEFFREY ROBERT | Chief Operating Officer | Sale | 1,000 | $91,063 |
| 2025-08-07 | LITTLE TROY | Officer | Sale | 2,033 | $168,947 |
| 2025-08-06 | TWEDT JILL MARIE | General Counsel | Gift | 602 | - |
| 2025-08-06 | TWEDT JILL MARIE | General Counsel | Sale | 1,782 | $149,635 |
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
6 analysts
Truist Securities
2026-01-06
Buy
Buy
DA Davidson
2025-11-20
Buy
Buy
BMO Capital
2025-11-05
Market Perform
Outperform
DA Davidson
2025-10-24
Buy
Buy
Goldman Sachs
2025-10-13
Neutral
Neutral
Truist Securities
2025-09-17
Buy
Buy
Truist Securities
2025-08-07
Buy
Buy
BMO Capital
2025-08-07
Market Perform
Market Perform
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning BCC from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.