LITE
BEARISH
$897.3
Live
Lumentum Holdings Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $773.35
(-13.8%)
$49.13
52W Range
$960.0
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$64.07B
P/E
263.14
ROE
29.3%
Profit margin
12.0%
Debt/Equity
3.92
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
90%
LITE exhibits a dangerous divergence between explosive growth and fundamental valuation. While the Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 indicates stable health, the company's valuation is completely detached from reality, trading at $897.30 against a Graham Number of $30.16 and an Intrinsic Value of $23.87. Severe liquidity risks are evident with a Current Ratio of 0.61 and a high Debt/Equity ratio of 3.92. Despite massive YoY EPS growth, the P/E of 263.14 and aggressive insider selling suggest a parabolic bubble nearing a correction.
Key Strengths
Explosive Revenue Growth (65.50% YoY)
Massive Year-over-Year EPS Growth (+297.6%)
Strong ROE of 29.28%
Consistent earnings beat track record (3/4 last quarters)
Strong short-term price momentum (1Y Change +1547.3%)
Key Risks
Extreme Valuation (P/E 263.14, P/B 75.68)
Poor Liquidity (Current Ratio 0.61, Quick Ratio 0.41)
High Leverage (Debt/Equity 3.92)
Bearish Insider Sentiment (8 sells, 0 buys)
Price is significantly above Analyst Target Price ($773.35)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$115.5
-87.1% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
44
Moderate
5
90
85
40
0
AI Verdict
Overvalued Growth Play
Key drivers: Extreme valuation multiples, Liquidity crunch, Parabolic price action, Hyper-growth revenue
Confidence
95%
Value
5/100
Ref P/E 263.14, Graham Number $30.16
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- P/E of 263.14 is unsustainable
- Price/Book of 75.68 is extreme
- Trading at ~30x Graham Number
Future
90/100
Ref Revenue Growth 65.50%
Positives
- 65.5% Revenue growth
- Strong EPS trajectory
- High demand in communication equipment
Watchpoints
- Growth must be perfect to justify current price
Past
85/100
Ref 1Y Change +1547.3%
Positives
- Exceptional 1Y and 3Y returns
- Consistent earnings surprises
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
40/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score 4/9, Current Ratio 0.61
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Current Ratio 0.61 indicates potential short-term insolvency
- Debt/Equity 3.92 is significantly higher than sector average (0.74)
Dividend
0/100
Ref Dividend Yield N/A
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 Dividend Strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$897.3
Analyst Target
$773.35
Upside/Downside
-13.8%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LITE and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Primary
|
+868.9% | +1815.7% | +1547.3% | +499.8% | +33.5% | +8.5% |
|
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
Peer
|
+119.2% | +23.0% | -15.1% | -2.8% | +3.2% | +3.0% |
|
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
Peer
|
+132.0% | +96.8% | +57.4% | +45.9% | +6.6% | -2.1% |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated
Peer
|
+154.6% | +161.6% | +78.8% | +72.4% | -4.9% | -3.7% |
|
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Peer
|
+187.4% | +234.6% | +83.1% | -3.8% | +14.0% | -3.2% |
LIT
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
Primary
5Y
+868.9%
3Y
+1815.7%
1Y
+1547.3%
6M
+499.8%
1M
+33.5%
1W
+8.5%
FTN
Fortinet, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+119.2%
3Y
+23.0%
1Y
-15.1%
6M
-2.8%
1M
+3.2%
1W
+3.0%
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
Peer
5Y
+132.0%
3Y
+96.8%
1Y
+57.4%
6M
+45.9%
1M
+6.6%
1W
-2.1%
GLW
Corning Incorporated
Peer
5Y
+154.6%
3Y
+161.6%
1Y
+78.8%
6M
+72.4%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-3.7%
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+187.4%
3Y
+234.6%
1Y
+83.1%
6M
-3.8%
1M
+14.0%
1W
-3.2%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
263.14
Forward P/E
56.65
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
75.68
P/S Ratio
30.43
EV/Revenue
31.46
EV/EBITDA
247.42
Market Cap
$64.07B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
11.95%
Operating Margin
10.73%
Gross Margin
37.12%
ROE
29.28%
ROA
0.29%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+65.5%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+65.46%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
N/A
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
3.92
High debt
Current Ratio
0.61
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.41
Poor
Cash/Share
$16.18
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
36.1%
Op. Margin
9.6%
Net Margin
11.8%
Total Assets
$4.8B
Liabilities
$4.0B
Equity
$0.8B
Debt/Equity
4.68x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.0B
FCF Yield
34%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-03
$1.67
+18.6% surprise
2025-11-04
$1.1
+7.0% surprise
2025-08-12
$0.88
+8.9% surprise
Technology Sector Comparison
Comparing LITE against 283 companies in the Technology sector
(24 bullish, 95 neutral, 164 bearish)
P/E Ratio
263.14
This Stock
vs
64.87
Sector Avg
+305.7%
(Expensive)
Return on Equity (ROE)
29.28%
This Stock
vs
-24.99%
Sector Avg
-217.1%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
11.95%
This Stock
vs
-10.83%
Sector Avg
-210.4%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.92
This Stock
vs
0.75
Sector Avg
+423.9%
(Higher)
Revenue Growth
65.5%
This Stock
vs
8662.5%
Sector Avg
-99.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
0.61
This Stock
vs
3.75
Sector Avg
-83.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
|
BEARISH | $64.07B | 263.14 | 29.3% | 12.0% | $897.3 | |
|
FTNT
Fortinet, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $60.77B | 33.77 | 135.7% | 27.3% | $81.72 | Compare |
|
TEL
TE Connectivity plc
|
BULLISH | $69.82B | 38.47 | 14.6% | 10.7% | $237.33 | Compare |
|
GLW
Corning Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $70.61B | 52.6 | 12.7% | 9.2% | $82.06 | Compare |
|
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
|
BEARISH | $72.63B | - | -8.2% | -4.7% | $206.34 | Compare |
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$64.1B
P/E
263.1
ROE
29.3%
Price
$897.3
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | ALI WAJID | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 5,302 | $3,664,387 |
| 2026-02-27 | HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 611 | - |
| 2026-02-17 | RETORT VINCENT D | Officer | Sale | 3,441 | $1,878,025 |
| 2026-02-13 | CHANG ERIC | Officer | Stock Award | 5,006 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | HERSCHER PENELOPE A | Director | Sale | 4,000 | $2,389,180 |
| 2026-02-12 | RETORT VINCENT D | Officer | Sale | 45,026 | $26,624,903 |
| 2026-02-06 | HERSCHER PENELOPE A | Director | Sale | 4,849 | $2,596,542 |
| 2026-01-30 | HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 629 | - |
| 2025-12-31 | HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO | Officer and Director | Stock Award | 870 | - |
| 2025-12-29 | THAD TRENT | Director | Stock Award | 1,205 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | HERSCHER PENELOPE A | Director | Stock Award | 1,283 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | SMALL IAN SEYMOUR | Director | Stock Award | 1,283 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | FLETCHER PAMELA | Director | Stock Award | 4,093 | - |
| 2025-11-19 | FLETCHER PAMELA | Director | Sale | 3,421 | $935,762 |
| 2025-11-19 | WUPEN YUEN | Officer | Sale | 822 | $212,865 |
ALI WAJID
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
5,302 shares
·
$3,664,387
HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO
Officer and Director
2026-02-27
611 shares
RETORT VINCENT D
Officer
2026-02-17
3,441 shares
·
$1,878,025
CHANG ERIC
Officer
2026-02-13
5,006 shares
HERSCHER PENELOPE A
Director
2026-02-12
4,000 shares
·
$2,389,180
RETORT VINCENT D
Officer
2026-02-12
45,026 shares
·
$26,624,903
HERSCHER PENELOPE A
Director
2026-02-06
4,849 shares
·
$2,596,542
HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO
Officer and Director
2026-01-30
629 shares
HARRIS ISAAC HOSOJIRO
Officer and Director
2025-12-31
870 shares
THAD TRENT
Director
2025-12-29
1,205 shares
HERSCHER PENELOPE A
Director
2025-11-19
1,283 shares
SMALL IAN SEYMOUR
Director
2025-11-19
1,283 shares
FLETCHER PAMELA
Director
2025-11-19
4,093 shares
FLETCHER PAMELA
Director
2025-11-19
3,421 shares
·
$935,762
WUPEN YUEN
Officer
2025-11-19
822 shares
·
$212,865
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
23 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-04-09
Overweight
Overweight
Morgan Stanley
2026-03-18
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Rosenblatt
2026-03-18
Buy
Buy
TD Cowen
2026-03-12
Hold
Needham
2026-03-04
Buy
Buy
Barclays
2026-03-03
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Stifel
2026-03-02
Buy
Buy
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-23
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Mizuho
2026-02-17
Outperform
Outperform
Citigroup
2026-02-05
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LITE from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.