LKQ
NEUTRAL
$30.38
Live
LKQ Corporation · NASDAQ
Target $40.81
(+34.3%)
$27.64
52W Range
$43.1
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 13, 2026
Market cap
$7.75B
P/E
13.15
ROE
9.5%
Profit margin
4.4%
Debt/Equity
0.77
Dividend yield
3.95%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
80%
LKQ presents as a classic value trap with a stable Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a current price ($30.38) trading below its Graham Number ($36.50). While valuation multiples are attractive (P/E 13.15, P/S 0.57), the company is suffering from a severe earnings collapse of -57.70% YoY and a completely bearish technical trend. The discrepancy between the Graham Number and the growth-based intrinsic value ($16.17) highlights a conflict between asset-based value and poor earnings performance. Overall, the stock is fundamentally cheap but lacks a growth catalyst.
Key Strengths
Trading below Graham Number ($36.50) suggesting defensive value
Very low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.57) relative to sector
Sustainable dividend yield of 3.95% with a reasonable 51.95% payout ratio
Manageable Debt/Equity ratio of 0.77
Strong analyst consensus with a target price of $40.81
Key Risks
Severe earnings contraction (-57.70% YoY)
Poor short-term liquidity indicated by a Quick Ratio of 0.48
Stagnant revenue growth (2.70% YoY) and negative Q/Q growth
Significant underperformance over 1Y (-23.4%) and 3Y (-41.2%) periods
Low ROE (9.48%) compared to high-performing peers like AutoNation (27.16%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$27.5
-9.5% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
50
Moderate
80
20
30
50
70
AI Verdict
Value Trap Risk
Key drivers: Earnings collapse, Low valuation multiples, Bearish technicals, Stable dividend
Confidence
85%
Value
80/100
Strong asset-based value but weak growth-based value.
Positives
- P/E of 13.15 is low
- Price is below Graham Number
- P/B of 1.19 is modest
Watchpoints
- Intrinsic value based on growth is very low ($16.17)
Future
20/100
Growth metrics are severely distressed.
Positives
- Positive YoY revenue growth (marginal)
Watchpoints
- Earnings growth -57.70%
- Negative Q/Q revenue growth
Past
30/100
Long-term price erosion and deteriorating earnings track record.
Positives
- Historical ability to beat estimates in 2020-2022
Watchpoints
- Negative 5Y, 3Y, and 1Y price returns
- Recent trend of missing earnings estimates (1/4 last 4 quarters)
Health
50/100
Stable but fragile financial health.
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9 (Stable)
- Debt/Equity 0.77 is reasonable
Watchpoints
- Quick Ratio 0.48 suggests liquidity risk
- Altman Z-Score missing
Dividend
70/100
Reliable income stream but not a growth driver.
Positives
- Yield of 3.95% is attractive
- Payout ratio is sustainable at ~52%
Watchpoints
- Dividend strength score is only 50/100
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$30.38
Analyst Target
$40.81
Upside/Downside
+34.3%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for LKQ and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-10
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
Primary
|
-22.7% | -41.2% | -23.4% | +8.1% | -0.9% | +7.8% |
|
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
Peer
|
+183.9% | +87.3% | +15.7% | +5.4% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
|
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
Peer
|
-1.6% | -1.6% | -32.6% | -25.0% | -6.8% | +2.8% |
|
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Peer
|
+163.1% | +161.4% | -7.9% | +23.3% | +8.7% | -0.6% |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
Peer
|
-19.5% | -29.3% | -10.8% | -2.9% | +4.0% | -1.5% |
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
Primary
5Y
-22.7%
3Y
-41.2%
1Y
-23.4%
6M
+8.1%
1M
-0.9%
1W
+7.8%
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+183.9%
3Y
+87.3%
1Y
+15.7%
6M
+5.4%
1M
+0.9%
1W
-0.3%
BIR
Birkenstock Holding plc
Peer
5Y
-1.6%
3Y
-1.6%
1Y
-32.6%
6M
-25.0%
1M
-6.8%
1W
+2.8%
ALS
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.1%
3Y
+161.4%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
+23.3%
1M
+8.7%
1W
-0.6%
CHD
Churchill Downs Incorporated
Peer
5Y
-19.5%
3Y
-29.3%
1Y
-10.8%
6M
-2.9%
1M
+4.0%
1W
-1.5%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
13.15
Forward P/E
9.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.19
P/S Ratio
0.57
EV/Revenue
0.92
EV/EBITDA
8.37
Market Cap
$7.75B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.45%
Operating Margin
6.43%
Gross Margin
38.57%
ROE
9.48%
ROA
4.51%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+2.7%
Earnings Growth
-57.7%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-1.34%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-57.7%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.77
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.67
Good
Quick Ratio
0.48
Poor
Cash/Share
$1.25
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$3.3B
Gross Margin
37.9%
Op. Margin
6.5%
Net Margin
2.0%
Total Assets
$15.1B
Liabilities
$8.6B
Equity
$6.5B
Debt/Equity
1.31x
Operating CF
$0.3B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.3B
FCF Yield
83%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-30
$N/A
2026-02-19
$0.59
-9.3% surprise
2025-10-30
$0.7
+7.7% surprise
2025-07-24
$0.87
-5.8% surprise
Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison
Comparing LKQ against 187 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector
(12 bullish, 69 neutral, 106 bearish)
P/E Ratio
13.15
This Stock
vs
36.65
Sector Avg
-64.1%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.48%
This Stock
vs
-8.24%
Sector Avg
-215.0%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.45%
This Stock
vs
-3.91%
Sector Avg
-213.8%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.77
This Stock
vs
1.36
Sector Avg
-43.2%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
2.7%
This Stock
vs
5.66%
Sector Avg
-52.3%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
1.67
This Stock
vs
2.5
Sector Avg
-33.0%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $7.75B | 13.15 | 9.5% | 4.4% | $30.38 | |
|
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $7.81B | 12.9 | 27.2% | 2.4% | $214.26 | Compare |
|
BIRK
Birkenstock Holding plc
|
NEUTRAL | $7.27B | 18.14 | 13.0% | 16.6% | $39.55 | Compare |
|
ALSN
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $9.16B | 13.63 | 40.4% | 22.8% | $109.57 | Compare |
|
CHDN
Churchill Downs Incorporated
|
NEUTRAL | $6.17B | 16.73 | 35.7% | 13.1% | $88.51 | Compare |
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$7.8B
P/E
13.2
ROE
9.5%
Price
$30.38
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-20 | JUDE JUSTIN L | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 97,525 | $3,250,021 |
| 2026-02-20 | MCKAY MATTHEW J | General Counsel | Stock Award | 25,507 | $850,021 |
| 2026-02-20 | DOMBROWSKI GENEVIEVE L | Officer | Stock Award | 16,205 | $540,032 |
| 2026-02-20 | GALLOWAY RICK | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 29,258 | $975,023 |
| 2026-02-20 | MEYNE JOHN R | Officer | Stock Award | 25,507 | $850,021 |
| 2026-02-20 | HAMILTON ANDREW C | Officer | Stock Award | 25,507 | $850,021 |
| 2026-02-20 | CUNNINGHAM TODD G | Officer | Stock Award | 5,252 | $175,023 |
| 2026-02-20 | HANLEY WALTER P | Officer | Stock Award | 21,606 | - |
| 2026-02-20 | CLARK MICHAEL S | Officer | Stock Award | 9,003 | $300,025 |
| 2025-12-15 | CLARKE ANDREW C | Director | Stock Award | 5,429 | $167,023 |
| 2025-12-15 | MENDEL JOHN W | Director | Stock Award | 4,284 | - |
| 2025-12-15 | MILLER JODY G | Director | Stock Award | 4,685 | $144,134 |
JUDE JUSTIN L
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-20
97,525 shares
·
$3,250,021
MCKAY MATTHEW J
General Counsel
2026-02-20
25,507 shares
·
$850,021
DOMBROWSKI GENEVIEVE L
Officer
2026-02-20
16,205 shares
·
$540,032
GALLOWAY RICK
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-20
29,258 shares
·
$975,023
MEYNE JOHN R
Officer
2026-02-20
25,507 shares
·
$850,021
HAMILTON ANDREW C
Officer
2026-02-20
25,507 shares
·
$850,021
CUNNINGHAM TODD G
Officer
2026-02-20
5,252 shares
·
$175,023
HANLEY WALTER P
Officer
2026-02-20
21,606 shares
CLARK MICHAEL S
Officer
2026-02-20
9,003 shares
·
$300,025
CLARKE ANDREW C
Director
2025-12-15
5,429 shares
·
$167,023
MENDEL JOHN W
Director
2025-12-15
4,284 shares
MILLER JODY G
Director
2025-12-15
4,685 shares
·
$144,134
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
8 analysts
Barclays
2026-04-07
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-02-23
Overweight
Overweight
Stephens & Co.
2025-12-10
Overweight
Barclays
2025-11-12
Equal-Weight
Roth Capital
2025-11-03
Buy
Buy
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning LKQ from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.