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AN

NEUTRAL
$214.26 Live
AutoNation, Inc. · NYSE
Target $239.3 (+11.7%)
$148.33 52W Range $228.92

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Jan 24, 2026
Market cap
$7.81B
P/E
12.9
ROE
27.2%
Profit margin
2.4%
Debt/Equity
3.9
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
65%
AutoNation's deterministic health scores raise significant concerns, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicating poor financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite this, the company shows strong recent earnings growth (22.6% YoY) and beats on earnings surprises, supported by a bullish analyst recommendation and a forward P/E of 10.12 that appears cheap relative to sector peers. However, high leverage (Debt/Equity of 3.90), weak liquidity (Current Ratio 0.79), and declining Q/Q EPS (-8.2%) offset these positives. The stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value of $490 but above the conservative Graham Number of $159.54, suggesting mixed valuation signals.

Key Strengths

Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 22.6% and consistent earnings beat history (3 out of last 4 quarters)
Attractive forward P/E of 10.12, significantly below sector average of 52.74, indicating potential undervaluation
High return on equity (ROE) of 27.16%, well above sector average of 6.55%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a target price of $239.30, implying ~11.7% upside
Revenue growth of 6.9% YoY in a mature industry shows operational momentum

Key Risks

Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, signaling poor financial health and potential instability
High debt burden with Debt/Equity ratio of 3.90, well above sector average of 1.59, increasing financial risk
Poor liquidity position: Current Ratio of 0.79 and Quick Ratio of 0.17 indicate potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations
Negative technical trend score of 10/100 suggests weak price momentum and bearish market sentiment
Declining Q/Q EPS growth of -8.2% raises concerns about near-term earnings sustainability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$239.3
+11.7% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
52
Moderate
Value
75
Future
68
Past
60
Health
35
Dividend
20
AI Verdict
Neutral with upside potential if financial health improves
Key drivers: Low Piotroski score dragging down health, Strong ROE and earnings growth supporting future outlook, Undemanding valuation relative to sector, Bearish technicals and weak liquidity as headwinds
Confidence
70%
Value
75/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E of 10.12 is well below sector average
  • Price/Sales of 0.28 indicates low revenue multiple
  • Current price below analyst target of $239.30
Watchpoints
  • Price above Graham Number of $159.54, limiting defensive appeal
  • High P/B of 3.15 may reflect leverage rather than asset efficiency
Future
68/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 22.6% YoY earnings growth
  • Strong historical earnings surprise average (7.49%)
  • Revenue growth of 6.9% in a stable industry
Watchpoints
  • Q/Q EPS decline of 8.2%
  • No PEG ratio due to uncertainty in growth sustainability
Past
60/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent revenue and earnings growth over multiple years
  • History of beating earnings estimates in 18 of last 25 quarters
Watchpoints
  • Earnings volatility evident in quarterly swings
  • Recent two quarters missed estimates (Oct 2024, Jul 2024)
Health
35/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • ROA of 6.53% is positive and above sector average
  • Operating margin of 4.70% shows some profitability
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicates weak financial health
  • Debt/Equity of 3.90 is very high
  • Current and Quick Ratios below 1.0 signal liquidity risk
Dividend
20/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Payout ratio of 0% allows capital retention
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield or payout history
  • Dividend Strength score of 0/100 indicates no shareholder returns via dividends

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$214.26
Analyst Target
$239.3
Upside/Downside
+11.7%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for AN and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-01-23
AN
AutoNation, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+183.9%
3Y
+87.3%
1Y
+15.7%
6M
+5.4%
1M
+0.9%
1W
-0.3%
LKQ
LKQ Corporation
Peer
5Y
-22.7%
3Y
-41.2%
1Y
-23.4%
6M
+8.1%
1M
-0.9%
1W
+7.8%
IBP
Installed Building Products, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+146.5%
3Y
+151.4%
1Y
+80.2%
6M
+11.0%
1M
+13.8%
1W
-3.5%
BIR
Birkenstock Holding plc
Peer
5Y
-1.6%
3Y
-1.6%
1Y
-32.6%
6M
-25.0%
1M
-6.8%
1W
+2.8%
GAP
The Gap, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-9.6%
3Y
+193.6%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+7.9%
1M
+1.0%
1W
-7.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
12.9
Forward P/E
10.12
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
3.15
P/S Ratio
0.28
EV/Revenue
0.63
EV/EBITDA
10.51
Market Cap
$7.81B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 2.38%
Operating Margin 4.7%
Gross Margin 17.82%
ROE 27.16%
ROA 6.53%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +6.9%
Earnings Growth +22.6%
Q/Q Revenue Growth N/A
Q/Q Earnings Growth +15.8%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
3.9
High debt
Current Ratio
0.79
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.17
Poor
Cash/Share
$2.68

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-02-06
$N/A
2025-10-23
$5.01
+3.6% surprise
2025-07-25
$5.46
+16.1% surprise
2025-04-25
$4.45
+2.8% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing AN against 386 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 133 neutral, 230 bearish)
P/E Ratio
12.9
This Stock
vs
33.98
Sector Avg
-62.0% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
27.16%
This Stock
vs
-43.92%
Sector Avg
-161.8% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
2.38%
This Stock
vs
-5.4%
Sector Avg
-144.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
3.9
This Stock
vs
1.51
Sector Avg
+158.0% (Higher)
Revenue Growth
6.9%
This Stock
vs
28.42%
Sector Avg
-75.7% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.79
This Stock
vs
2.46
Sector Avg
-67.7% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BURDICK RICHARD L
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
GRUSKY ROBERT R
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
EDELSON DAVID B
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
MIKAN GEORGE LAWRENCE III
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
LUTOFF-PERLO LISA A
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
BENNETT CLAIRE M.
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
JENKINS NORMAN K
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
TRAVISANO JACQUELINE A
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-02
1,210 shares
BURDICK RICHARD L
Director
Gift
2025-11-18
423 shares
PARENT JEFF
Chief Operating Officer
Stock Award
2025-10-31
288 shares
SZLOSEK THOMAS A
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2025-08-07
3,194 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
10 analysts
Barclays
2026-01-21
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-01-16
up
Neutral Overweight
Wells Fargo
2026-01-12
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Morgan Stanley
2025-12-08
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Evercore ISI Group
2025-11-24
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Barclays
2025-11-12
init
Overweight
JP Morgan
2025-11-05
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-05
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2025-10-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
Wells Fargo
2025-10-15
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning AN from our newsroom.

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