AN
NEUTRAL
$214.26
Live
AutoNation, Inc. · NYSE
Target $239.3
(+11.7%)
$148.33
52W Range
$228.92
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
65%
AutoNation's deterministic health scores raise significant concerns, with a weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 indicating poor financial health, and no available Altman Z-Score limits distress risk assessment. Despite this, the company shows strong recent earnings growth (22.6% YoY) and beats on earnings surprises, supported by a bullish analyst recommendation and a forward P/E of 10.12 that appears cheap relative to sector peers. However, high leverage (Debt/Equity of 3.90), weak liquidity (Current Ratio 0.79), and declining Q/Q EPS (-8.2%) offset these positives. The stock trades below the growth-based intrinsic value of $490 but above the conservative Graham Number of $159.54, suggesting mixed valuation signals.
Key Strengths
Strong year-over-year earnings growth of 22.6% and consistent earnings beat history (3 out of last 4 quarters)
Attractive forward P/E of 10.12, significantly below sector average of 52.74, indicating potential undervaluation
High return on equity (ROE) of 27.16%, well above sector average of 6.55%, reflecting efficient use of equity capital
Analyst consensus is 'buy' with a target price of $239.30, implying ~11.7% upside
Revenue growth of 6.9% YoY in a mature industry shows operational momentum
Key Risks
Very weak Piotroski F-Score of 3/9, signaling poor financial health and potential instability
High debt burden with Debt/Equity ratio of 3.90, well above sector average of 1.59, increasing financial risk
Poor liquidity position: Current Ratio of 0.79 and Quick Ratio of 0.17 indicate potential difficulty meeting short-term obligations
Negative technical trend score of 10/100 suggests weak price momentum and bearish market sentiment
Declining Q/Q EPS growth of -8.2% raises concerns about near-term earnings sustainability
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$239.3
+11.7% above current price
Performance Snowflake
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Stock Price & Analyst Targets
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Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Valuation Metrics
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Profitability, Growth & Financial Health
Detailed profit margins, ROE, debt ratios, and liquidity metrics
Sector Comparison & Peer Analysis
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