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GAP

NEUTRAL
$24.99 Live
The Gap, Inc. · NYSE
Target $30.56 (+22.3%)
$18.68 52W Range $29.36

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 27, 2026
Market cap
$9.13B
P/E
11.73
ROE
23.1%
Profit margin
5.3%
Debt/Equity
1.48
Dividend yield
2.8%

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
GAP exhibits a strong deterministic health profile with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, indicating solid operational improvement despite a lack of Altman Z-Score data. However, the stock is currently trading at a premium to both its Graham Number ($22.13) and Intrinsic Value ($14.91), suggesting limited valuation upside. While the balance sheet is stable and the P/E ratio is low relative to the sector, significant headwinds include negative earnings growth (-16% YoY) and a starkly bearish insider sentiment. The disconnect between analyst 'Buy' ratings and the 0/100 technical trend suggests a high-risk environment for new entries.

Key Strengths

Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating improving financial health
Low P/E ratio (11.73) compared to the Consumer Cyclical sector average (34.14)
Healthy Return on Equity (ROE) of 23.10%
Sustainable dividend payout ratio of 30.99%
Strong current ratio (1.75) ensuring short-term liquidity

Key Risks

Negative earnings growth (-16% YoY) and declining Q/Q EPS
Heavy insider selling with $14.19M in net outflows and zero buys
Stagnant revenue growth (2.10%) failing to keep pace with inflation
Technical trend is completely bearish (0/100)
Current price ($24.99) exceeds defensive fair value (Graham Number $22.13)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$20.5
-18.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
58
Moderate
Value
60
Future
30
Past
50
Health
80
Dividend
70
AI Verdict
Stable but Stagnant
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet health, Poor earnings growth, Bearish insider/technical signals, Reasonable valuation
Confidence
90%
Value
60/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Low Forward P/E of 9.57
  • P/S ratio of 0.59 is attractive
Watchpoints
  • Price is 13% above Graham Number
  • Price is 67% above Intrinsic Value
Future
30/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • Slight positive revenue growth (2.1%)
Watchpoints
  • Earnings growth is sharply negative (-16%)
  • PEG ratio of 1.46 suggests overvaluation relative to growth
Past
50/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Impressive 3-year return of +193.6%
Watchpoints
  • Negative 5-year change (-9.6%)
  • Inconsistent quarterly earnings surprises
Health
80/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 is strong
  • Current ratio of 1.75 is healthy
Watchpoints
  • Debt/Equity of 1.48 is moderately high
Dividend
70/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
  • Low payout ratio (30.99%) provides safety
  • Consistent 2.8% yield
Watchpoints
  • Dividend growth not specified

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$24.99
Analyst Target
$30.56
Upside/Downside
+22.3%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for GAP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-24
GAP
The Gap, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-9.6%
3Y
+193.6%
1Y
+24.0%
6M
+7.9%
1M
+1.0%
1W
-7.5%
ALS
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+163.1%
3Y
+161.4%
1Y
-7.9%
6M
+23.3%
1M
+8.7%
1W
-0.6%
DDS
Dillard's, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+708.6%
3Y
+134.4%
1Y
+88.9%
6M
+2.5%
1M
+5.0%
1W
-1.7%
ALV
Autoliv, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+62.6%
3Y
+63.5%
1Y
+28.6%
6M
+8.9%
1M
+5.9%
1W
+0.4%
BRO
Dutch Bros Inc.
Peer
5Y
+66.2%
3Y
+78.1%
1Y
+0.1%
6M
+2.5%
1M
-4.9%
1W
-1.9%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
11.73
Forward P/E
9.57
PEG Ratio
1.46
P/B Ratio
2.45
P/S Ratio
0.59
EV/Revenue
0.78
EV/EBITDA
7.45
Market Cap
$9.13B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 5.31%
Operating Margin 4.89%
Gross Margin 40.79%
ROE 23.1%
ROA 5.62%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +2.1%
Earnings Growth -16.0%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +2.1%
Q/Q Earnings Growth -17.0%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
1.48
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.75
Good
Quick Ratio
1.0
Good
Cash/Share
$8.06

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$4.2B
Gross Margin
38.1%
Op. Margin
5.4%
Net Margin
4.0%
Total Assets
$12.6B
Liabilities
$8.8B
Equity
$3.8B
Debt/Equity
2.32x
Operating CF
$0.7B
CapEx
$-0.1B
Free Cash Flow
$0.5B
FCF Yield
79%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-28
$N/A
2026-03-05
$0.45
-0.7% surprise
2025-11-20
$0.62
+5.6% surprise
2025-08-28
$0.57
+3.8% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing GAP against 364 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (23 bullish, 117 neutral, 224 bearish)
P/E Ratio
11.73
This Stock
vs
33.86
Sector Avg
-65.3% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
23.1%
This Stock
vs
-47.51%
Sector Avg
-148.6% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
5.31%
This Stock
vs
-6.04%
Sector Avg
-188.0% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
1.48
This Stock
vs
1.53
Sector Avg
-3.5% (Lower)
Revenue Growth
2.1%
This Stock
vs
30.1%
Sector Avg
-93.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.75
This Stock
vs
2.4
Sector Avg
-27.1% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

GRUBER JULIE GROLLMUS
Officer
Sell
2026-04-17
5,302 shares · $143,154
GRUBER JULIE GROLLMUS
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-04-17
5,302 shares · $73,857
CHAN ERIC KAYEN
Officer
Sell
2026-04-10
13,376 shares · $350,266
FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2026-04-08
300,000 shares · $7,620,000
THOMPSON AMANDA J
Officer
Sell
2026-04-06
25,000 shares · $628,385
FISHER JOHN J
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-04-02
56,870 shares
FISHER ROBERT J.
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Gift
2026-04-02
150,000 shares
GILLIGAN SARAH
Officer
Sell
2026-03-23
69,912 shares · $1,747,800
BARBEITO HORACIO
Officer
Sell
2026-03-20
113,684 shares · $2,729,973
O'CONNELL KATRINA
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-19
8,486 shares · $201,419
BREITBARD MARK
Officer
Sell
2026-03-19
8,486 shares · $201,404
O'CONNELL KATRINA
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
17,275 shares
O'CONNELL KATRINA
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-18
11,503 shares · $278,489
O'CONNELL KATRINA
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
17,275 shares
BARBEITO HORACIO
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-18
27,147 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2026-03-27

Gap Inc. filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on March 27, 2026, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for the company's annual meeting.

10-K
10-K
2026-03-17

Gap Inc. filed its 10-K on March 17, 2026, providing a comprehensive overview of its business operations and financial condition. The filing includes detailed sections on risk factors and management's discussion and analysis of results, though specific financial metrics were not provided in the excerpts.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-12

Gap Inc. filed a current report likely announcing its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-05

Gap Inc. likely reported its fourth-quarter and full-year financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-25

Gap Inc. submitted its 10-Q quarterly filing on November 25, 2025. While the document includes a section for risk factors under Item 1A, the provided excerpt contains no specific financial metrics or detailed risk disclosures.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-20

Gap Inc. likely reported its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-15

Gap Inc. likely filed this 8-K to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-08-29

Gap Inc. submitted its 10-Q filing on August 29, 2025. While the document includes a dedicated section for risk factors, specific financial performance metrics and detailed risk disclosures were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-28

Gap Inc. reported its second-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-29

Gap Inc. filed an 8-K to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-30
8-K
8-K
2025-05-29
8-K
8-K
2025-05-23
DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-04-09
10-K
10-K
2025-03-18
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
JP Morgan
2026-03-20
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
JP Morgan
2026-03-06
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
Citigroup
2026-03-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-03-02
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Goldman Sachs
2026-01-30
Maintains
Buy Buy
UBS
2026-01-08
up
Neutral Buy
Telsey Advisory Group
2025-12-17
up
Market Perform Outperform
Baird
2025-12-17
up
Neutral Outperform
Wells Fargo
2025-12-16
up
Equal-Weight Overweight
Guggenheim
2025-12-10
init
Neutral

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning GAP from our newsroom.

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