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MEDP

NEUTRAL
$501.23 Live
Medpace Holdings, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $500.08 (-0.2%)
$250.05 52W Range $628.92

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 14, 2026
Market cap
$14.31B
P/E
32.76
ROE
70.2%
Profit margin
17.8%
Debt/Equity
0.3
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
Medpace exhibits strong operational health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and an exceptional ROE of 70.23%, reflecting a high-efficiency growth engine. However, the stock is significantly overvalued from a defensive standpoint, trading at $501.23 against a Graham Number of $74.63 and slightly above its growth-based intrinsic value of $451.35. While revenue and earnings growth remain robust, the high PEG ratio (2.98) and aggressive insider selling by the CEO and President suggest the current price may have peaked. The overall profile is that of a high-quality company trading at a premium valuation.

Key Strengths

Exceptional Return on Equity (ROE) of 70.23%
Strong Piotroski F-Score (7/9) indicating financial strength
Consistent earnings beat track record over 25 quarters
Robust top-line growth with 32% YoY revenue increase
High gross margins (71.06%) providing significant pricing power

Key Risks

Extreme valuation premium (Price/Book of 30.98)
Liquidity concerns indicated by a Current Ratio of 0.74
Heavy insider selling totaling $140.17M in the last 6 months
High PEG ratio (2.98) suggesting price is outstripping growth
Price is currently trading above the growth-based intrinsic value
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$451.35
-10.0% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
56
Moderate
Value
30
Future
85
Past
95
Health
70
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-Quality Overvalued Growth
Key drivers: Operational efficiency, Consistent EPS growth, Valuation disconnect, Insider bearishness
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100

Ref P/E, PEG, Graham Number

Positives
  • Forward P/E (26.07) is lower than current P/E
Watchpoints
  • P/B ratio of 30.98 is extreme
  • Price far exceeds Graham Number ($74.63)
  • PEG ratio of 2.98 indicates overvaluation
Future
85/100

Ref Growth rates

Positives
  • 32% YoY Revenue growth
  • 26.9% YoY Earnings growth
  • Strong Q/Q momentum
Watchpoints
  • Growth must remain aggressive to justify current multiples
Past
95/100

Ref Historical trends

Positives
  • Consistent earnings beats over 25 quarters
  • Strong 5-year price appreciation (+181.9%)
  • Steady EPS progression
Watchpoints
No urgent risks highlighted.
Health
70/100

Ref Altman Z-Score, Piotroski F-Score

Positives
  • Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
  • Low Debt/Equity ratio (0.30)
Watchpoints
  • Current Ratio (0.74) and Quick Ratio (0.69) are below 1.0
Dividend
0/100

Ref Yield, Payout

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend payments
  • 0% payout ratio

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$501.23
Analyst Target
$500.08
Upside/Downside
-0.2%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MEDP and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-13
MED
Medpace Holdings, Inc.
Primary
5Y
+181.9%
3Y
+160.9%
1Y
+64.2%
6M
-5.0%
1M
+11.3%
1W
+1.1%
ASN
Ascendis Pharma A/S
Peer
5Y
+53.7%
3Y
+106.6%
1Y
+48.4%
6M
+15.5%
1M
+2.0%
1W
-6.1%
BBI
BridgeBio Pharma, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+18.4%
3Y
+720.5%
1Y
+110.0%
6M
+68.2%
1M
+1.8%
1W
+2.1%
NBI
Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+34.2%
3Y
+30.1%
1Y
+19.1%
6M
-6.2%
1M
-0.5%
1W
+3.0%
ION
Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+83.9%
3Y
+101.9%
1Y
+181.4%
6M
+7.4%
1M
+0.5%
1W
+0.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
32.76
Forward P/E
26.07
PEG Ratio
2.98
P/B Ratio
30.98
P/S Ratio
5.66
EV/Revenue
5.48
EV/EBITDA
24.62
Market Cap
$14.31B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 17.83%
Operating Margin 21.63%
Gross Margin 71.06%
ROE 70.23%
ROA 16.4%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +32.0%
Earnings Growth +26.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +32.03%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +15.5%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.3
Low debt
Current Ratio
0.74
Weak
Quick Ratio
0.69
Poor
Cash/Share
$17.51

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
29.0%
Op. Margin
21.6%
Net Margin
19.1%
Total Assets
$2.0B
Liabilities
$1.5B
Equity
$0.5B
Debt/Equity
3.30x
Operating CF
$0.2B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.2B
FCF Yield
98%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-04-22
$N/A
2026-02-09
$4.67
+10.5% surprise
2025-10-22
$3.86
+8.1% surprise
2025-07-21
$3.1
+3.5% surprise

Healthcare Sector Comparison

Comparing MEDP against 319 companies in the Healthcare sector (20 bullish, 107 neutral, 192 bearish)
P/E Ratio
32.76
This Stock
vs
88.11
Sector Avg
-62.8% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
70.23%
This Stock
vs
-86.0%
Sector Avg
-181.7% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
17.83%
This Stock
vs
-11.76%
Sector Avg
-251.6% (Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.3
This Stock
vs
3.51
Sector Avg
-91.5% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
32.0%
This Stock
vs
90.15%
Sector Avg
-64.5% (Slower)
Current Ratio
0.74
This Stock
vs
3.67
Sector Avg
-79.9% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

KRAFT ROBERT O
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
33 shares
CARLEY BRIAN T
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
36 shares
MCCARTHY CORNELIUS P. III
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-31
29 shares
BURWIG SUSAN ELIZABETH
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-03-18
12,000 shares · $2,000,760
GEIGER JESSE J
President
Sell
2026-03-17
31,707 shares · $14,436,197
GEIGER JESSE J
President
Option Exercise
2026-03-17
31,707 shares · $4,403,151
EWALD STEPHEN P
General Counsel
Option Exercise
2026-02-17
3,500 shares · $486,045
CARLEY BRIAN T
Director
Option Exercise
2026-02-13
6,472 shares · $355,895
BURWIG SUSAN ELIZABETH
Officer
Option Exercise
2026-02-13
10,984 shares · $1,185,503
KRAFT ROBERT O
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
56 shares
CARLEY BRIAN T
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
62 shares
MCCARTHY CORNELIUS P. III
Director
Stock Award
2025-12-31
49 shares
BURWIG SUSAN ELIZABETH
Officer
Option Exercise
2025-12-05
10,000 shares · $1,079,300
TROENDLE AUGUST J
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-03
668 shares · $394,581
TROENDLE AUGUST J
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2025-12-02
28,876 shares · $17,114,847
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
HOLD
12 analysts
Barclays
2026-03-06
up
Underweight Equal-Weight
RBC Capital
2026-03-03
init
Outperform
TD Cowen
2026-02-18
up
Sell Hold
Jefferies
2026-02-13
up
Hold Buy
Barclays
2026-02-11
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
Truist Securities
2026-02-11
Maintains
Hold Hold
Leerink Partners
2026-02-11
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Barclays
2025-12-15
Maintains
Underweight Underweight
BMO Capital
2025-11-13
init
Market Perform
Truist Securities
2025-10-27
Maintains
Hold Hold

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MEDP from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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