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MSTR

BEARISH
$137.41 Live
Strategy Inc · NASDAQ
Target $367.64 (+167.6%)
$104.17 52W Range $457.22

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 15, 2026
Market cap
$47.65B
P/E
N/A
ROE
-11.1%
Profit margin
N/A
Debt/Equity
0.16
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
95%
MSTR exhibits critical financial instability, highlighted by a Piotroski F-Score of 1/9, indicating severe deterioration in fundamental health. The company's operational performance is catastrophic, with an operating margin of -4401.61% and stagnant revenue growth of 1.90%. While the Price/Book ratio of 0.97 suggests the stock is trading near its asset value, the extreme Price/Sales ratio of 99.85 reveals a total disconnect between the company's software business and its market valuation. Despite a 'strong_buy' analyst consensus, the combination of heavy insider selling and a 0/100 technical trend suggests a high-risk profile.

Key Strengths

Strong liquidity with a Current Ratio of 5.62
Low Debt/Equity ratio of 0.16
Trading near book value (P/B 0.97)
High Gross Margin of 68.69%
High analyst target price ($367.64) suggesting speculative upside

Key Risks

Catastrophic operating margins (-4401.61%)
Severe earnings collapse (YoY EPS Growth -1316.8%)
Extreme valuation based on sales (P/S 99.85)
Consistent insider selling with zero buy transactions
Stagnant organic revenue growth (1.90%)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$130.0
-5.4% below current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
13
Weak
Value
20
Future
10
Past
25
Health
10
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Fundamental Failure
Key drivers: Piotroski F-Score 1/9, Extreme Operating Losses, Price/Sales Disconnect, Bearish Insider Sentiment
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100

Graham Number is N/A; valuation is driven by assets rather than earnings.

Positives
  • P/B ratio is under 1.0
Watchpoints
  • P/S ratio of 99.85 is unsustainable
  • P/E is N/A due to losses
Future
10/100

Forward P/E of 3.78 appears unrealistic given historical EPS volatility.

Positives
  • Positive revenue growth (marginal)
Watchpoints
  • EPS growth is deeply negative
  • Revenue growth (1.9%) is negligible for a tech firm
Past
25/100

Recent price action is heavily bearish.

Positives
  • Strong 3Y and 5Y long-term returns
Watchpoints
  • 1Y return is -55.9%
  • Consistent earnings misses (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Health
10/100

Altman Z-Score not provided, but F-Score is in the 'Weak' zone.

Positives
  • High Current Ratio
  • Low Debt/Equity
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 indicates critical weakness
  • Negative ROE and ROA
Dividend
0/100

Company does not pay dividends.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend yield
  • 0/100 dividend strength

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$137.41
Analyst Target
$367.64
Upside/Downside
+167.6%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for MSTR and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-14
MST
Strategy Inc
Primary
5Y
+85.7%
3Y
+311.7%
1Y
-55.9%
6M
-54.3%
1M
-6.8%
1W
+11.1%
ROP
Roper Technologies, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+13.4%
3Y
+4.9%
1Y
-19.9%
6M
-22.6%
1M
-10.1%
1W
+0.6%
NXP
NXP Semiconductors N.V.
Peer
5Y
+43.1%
3Y
+19.3%
1Y
-10.3%
6M
-6.4%
1M
-9.3%
1W
-3.6%
ADS
Autodesk, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-15.7%
3Y
+15.0%
1Y
-8.6%
6M
-24.6%
1M
-3.0%
1W
0.0%
SNO
Snowflake Inc.
Peer
5Y
-36.3%
3Y
-2.2%
1Y
+3.2%
6M
-33.1%
1M
-11.4%
1W
-6.5%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
3.78
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
0.97
P/S Ratio
99.85
EV/Revenue
123.06
EV/EBITDA
-10.79
Market Cap
$47.65B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin N/A
Operating Margin -4401.61%
Gross Margin 68.69%
ROE -11.11%
ROA -7.78%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +1.9%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth +1.9%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.16
Low debt
Current Ratio
5.62
Strong
Quick Ratio
5.52
Excellent
Cash/Share
$6.9

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
66.1%
Op. Margin
-8.1%
Net Margin
-10112.1%
Total Assets
$61.6B
Liabilities
$10.6B
Equity
$51.0B
Debt/Equity
0.21x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-3.1B
Free Cash Flow
$-3.1B
FCF Yield
14408%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-05
$N/A
2026-02-05
$-42.93
-104.5% surprise
2025-10-30
$8.42
-12.9% surprise
2025-07-31
$32.52
+51.4% surprise

Technology Sector Comparison

Comparing MSTR against 383 companies in the Technology sector (32 bullish, 137 neutral, 214 bearish)
Return on Equity (ROE)
-11.11%
This Stock
vs
-35.13%
Sector Avg
-68.4% (Below Avg)
Debt to Equity
0.16
This Stock
vs
0.67
Sector Avg
-76.0% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
1.9%
This Stock
vs
6431.4%
Sector Avg
-100.0% (Slower)
Current Ratio
5.62
This Stock
vs
3.83
Sector Avg
+46.6% (Stronger)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Sell
2026-04-09
1,900 shares · $248,105
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Option Exercise
2026-04-09
1,900 shares · $35,443
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Sell
2026-04-08
2,100 shares · $270,654
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Option Exercise
2026-04-08
2,100 shares · $39,173
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Sell
2026-04-01
1,400 shares · $172,653
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Option Exercise
2026-04-01
1,400 shares · $26,116
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Sell
2026-03-30
700 shares · $89,628
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-30
700 shares · $13,058
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Sell
2026-03-26
700 shares · $96,159
PATTEN JARROD MICHAEL
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-26
700 shares · $13,058
MONTGOMERY JEANINE J.
Officer
Sell
2026-03-24
470 shares · $65,016
LE PHONG QUOC
Chief Executive Officer
Sell
2026-03-24
3,299 shares · $456,362
KANG ANDREW
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-24
2,373 shares · $328,266
MONTGOMERY JEANINE J.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
1,560 shares
LE PHONG QUOC
Chief Executive Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-23
7,320 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
STRONG_BUY
14 analysts
TD Cowen
2026-04-10
Maintains
Buy Buy
BTIG
2026-04-08
reit
Buy Buy
Citigroup
2026-03-18
Maintains
Buy Buy
B. Riley Securities
2026-03-10
init
Neutral Buy
BTIG
2026-03-06
reit
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2026-02-17
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Cantor Fitzgerald
2026-02-09
Maintains
Overweight Overweight
BTIG
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Canaccord Genuity
2026-02-04
Maintains
Buy Buy
Mizuho
2026-01-16
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning MSTR from our newsroom.

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