OPAL
BEARISH
$2.46
Live
OPAL Fuels Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $3.21
(+30.4%)
$1.3
52W Range
$4.08
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 16, 2026
Market cap
$426.56M
P/E
16.4
ROE
7.6%
Profit margin
4.2%
Debt/Equity
0.74
Dividend yield
N/A
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
OPAL presents a high-risk profile characterized by a stable but mediocre Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 and a significant valuation disconnect, with the current price ($2.46) trading at a substantial premium to its intrinsic value ($1.05). While revenue growth is strong at 24.7%, the company has failed to beat earnings estimates in the last four consecutive quarters, showing an average surprise of -126.33%. The most alarming metric is the negative Price/Book ratio (-5.52), indicating negative shareholder equity. Despite a low P/E relative to the sector, the combination of bearish technicals and poor earnings reliability outweighs the growth narrative.
Key Strengths
Strong YoY revenue growth of 24.70%
P/E ratio (16.40) is significantly lower than the sector average (28.70)
Debt/Equity ratio (0.74) is healthier than the sector average (1.55)
Positive ROE (7.56%) compared to a negative sector average (-7.71%)
Recent 1-year price recovery of +82.2%
Key Risks
Negative Price/Book ratio (-5.52) suggests negative equity/insolvency risk
Consistent failure to meet earnings expectations (0/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Current price is more than double the growth-based intrinsic value ($1.05)
Bearish technical trend (0/100) and recent monthly price decline
Low ROA (0.32%) indicating poor asset utilization
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$1.25
-49.2% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
31
Weak
20
60
30
45
0
AI Verdict
Avoid/Speculative
Key drivers: Negative Book Value, Earnings Miss Streak, Intrinsic Value Gap, Strong Revenue Growth
Confidence
90%
Value
20/100
P/E is attractive, but negative equity makes traditional valuation metrics unreliable.
Positives
- Low P/E relative to peers
Watchpoints
- Price/Book is -5.52
- Trading at 135% premium to intrinsic value
Future
60/100
Growth is present in top-line revenue but fails to translate into predictable bottom-line results.
Positives
- Robust revenue growth (24.7%)
- Strong Q/Q earnings growth spike
Watchpoints
- High volatility in EPS
- Inability to meet analyst estimates
Past
30/100
Long-term value destruction despite recent short-term volatility.
Positives
- Strong 1-year recovery
Watchpoints
- 5-year return of -74.9%
- Consistent earnings misses
Health
45/100
Piotroski score is baseline stable, but the balance sheet is fundamentally compromised by negative equity.
Positives
- Debt/Equity lower than sector average
- Piotroski F-Score of 4 (Stable)
Watchpoints
- Negative equity (P/B ratio)
- Quick ratio below 1.0 (0.94)
Dividend
0/100
Non-dividend paying growth/utility stock.
Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
- No dividend paid
- 0/100 dividend strength
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$2.46
Analyst Target
$3.21
Upside/Downside
+30.4%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for OPAL and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-15
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc.
Primary
|
-74.9% | -67.2% | +82.2% | -11.5% | -9.9% | -1.2% |
|
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation
Peer
|
-11.1% | -31.8% | +5.2% | +1.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
|
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
Peer
|
+191.3% | +101.3% | +47.5% | +3.2% | -4.2% | +2.9% |
|
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
Peer
|
-31.6% | +15.9% | +10.8% | +0.6% | +6.2% | -6.5% |
|
RGCO
RGC Resources, Inc.
Peer
|
+19.7% | +14.3% | +10.9% | +7.0% | +7.8% | -2.0% |
OPA
OPAL Fuels Inc.
Primary
5Y
-74.9%
3Y
-67.2%
1Y
+82.2%
6M
-11.5%
1M
-9.9%
1W
-1.2%
ART
Artesian Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
-11.1%
3Y
-31.8%
1Y
+5.2%
6M
+1.1%
1M
-0.2%
1W
-3.0%
CWC
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
Peer
5Y
+191.3%
3Y
+101.3%
1Y
+47.5%
6M
+3.2%
1M
-4.2%
1W
+2.9%
PCY
Pure Cycle Corporation
Peer
5Y
-31.6%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+10.8%
6M
+0.6%
1M
+6.2%
1W
-6.5%
RGC
RGC Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+19.7%
3Y
+14.3%
1Y
+10.9%
6M
+7.0%
1M
+7.8%
1W
-2.0%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
16.4
Forward P/E
12.95
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-5.52
P/S Ratio
1.22
EV/Revenue
2.65
EV/EBITDA
40.2
Market Cap
$426.56M
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
4.23%
Operating Margin
5.86%
Gross Margin
26.15%
ROE
7.56%
ROA
0.33%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
+24.7%
Earnings Growth
N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth
+24.66%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
+280.2%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.74
Moderate
Current Ratio
1.18
Good
Quick Ratio
0.94
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.84
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$0.1B
Gross Margin
30.6%
Op. Margin
5.9%
Net Margin
4.9%
Total Assets
$1.0B
Liabilities
$0.5B
Equity
$-0.0B
Debt/Equity
-35.71x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
380%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-03-16
$0.2
-48.0% surprise
2025-11-06
$-0.1
-167.2% surprise
2025-08-07
$-0.06
-163.8% surprise
Utilities Sector Comparison
Comparing OPAL against 37 companies in the Utilities sector
(2 bullish, 22 neutral, 13 bearish)
P/E Ratio
16.4
This Stock
vs
27.63
Sector Avg
-40.6%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
7.56%
This Stock
vs
-6.26%
Sector Avg
-220.8%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
4.23%
This Stock
vs
4.58%
Sector Avg
-7.6%
(Weaker)
Debt to Equity
0.74
This Stock
vs
1.48
Sector Avg
-49.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
24.7%
This Stock
vs
18.57%
Sector Avg
+33.0%
(Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.18
This Stock
vs
1.23
Sector Avg
-4.2%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc.
|
BEARISH | $426.56M | 16.4 | 7.6% | 4.2% | $2.46 | |
|
ARTNA
Artesian Resources Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $338.25M | 15.01 | 9.2% | 20.2% | $32.72 | Compare |
|
CWCO
Consolidated Water Co. Ltd.
|
NEUTRAL | $541.51M | 29.24 | 8.7% | 13.9% | $33.92 | Compare |
|
PCYO
Pure Cycle Corporation
|
NEUTRAL | $267.07M | 19.44 | 9.9% | 45.8% | $11.08 | Compare |
|
RGCO
RGC Resources, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $233.88M | 18.0 | 11.3% | 13.1% | $22.5 | Compare |
OPAL
OPAL Fuels Inc.
BEARISH
Mkt Cap
$427M
P/E
16.4
ROE
7.6%
Price
$2.46
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | MARTELL JAMES J | Director | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | VEMURI ASHOK | Director | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | MAURER JONATHAN GILBERT | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 289,458 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | NISAR NADEEM | Director | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | BATTLE BETSY L | Director | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | UNGER DAVID C | Officer | Stock Award | 167,136 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | COGHLIN JOHN H. | General Counsel | Stock Award | 116,365 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | COMORA MARK S | Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | DOLS SCOTT V | Director | Stock Award | 66,073 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | COMORA ADAM | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 289,458 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | BIRCK DARRELL | Officer | Stock Award | 36,708 | - |
| 2026-03-31 | HASAN KAZI | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 220,244 | - |
MARTELL JAMES J
Director
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
VEMURI ASHOK
Director
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
MAURER JONATHAN GILBERT
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-31
289,458 shares
NISAR NADEEM
Director
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
BATTLE BETSY L
Director
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
UNGER DAVID C
Officer
2026-03-31
167,136 shares
COGHLIN JOHN H.
General Counsel
2026-03-31
116,365 shares
COMORA MARK S
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
DOLS SCOTT V
Director
2026-03-31
66,073 shares
COMORA ADAM
Chief Executive Officer
2026-03-31
289,458 shares
BIRCK DARRELL
Officer
2026-03-31
36,708 shares
HASAN KAZI
Chief Financial Officer
2026-03-31
220,244 shares
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
NONE
7 analysts
Goldman Sachs
2026-03-17
Sell
Sell
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning OPAL from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
No matching news yet.