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PCYO

NEUTRAL
$11.08 Live
Pure Cycle Corporation · NASDAQ
$9.65 52W Range $12.15

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 17, 2026
Market cap
$267.07M
P/E
19.44
ROE
9.9%
Profit margin
45.8%
Debt/Equity
0.05
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
80%
PCYO presents a contradictory financial profile characterized by a weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) and a poor earnings track record, offset by an exceptionally clean balance sheet (Debt/Equity 0.05). While current growth metrics are strong, the massive spike in Forward P/E (123.11) compared to the trailing P/E (19.44) suggests a significant expected decline in future earnings. The stark discrepancy between the operating margin (5.09%) and profit margin (45.80%) indicates that recent profitability is likely driven by non-operating gains rather than core business efficiency. Consequently, the stock is valued near its Graham Number ($8.86) and Intrinsic Value ($16.81) midpoint, but lacks the fundamental quality to be bullish.

Key Strengths

Extremely low leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.05
Strong year-over-year revenue growth of 29.40%
High reported profit margins (45.80%)
Current price is below the growth-based intrinsic value of $16.81
Stronger balance sheet health compared to sector peers

Key Risks

Weak Piotroski F-Score (3/9) indicating deteriorating fundamental health
Alarming Forward P/E of 123.11 suggesting a sharp earnings contraction
Poor earnings quality evidenced by the gap between operating and net margins
Consistent failure to meet analyst estimates (1/4 beats in last 4 quarters)
Bearish insider sentiment with recent significant selling
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$11.25
+1.5% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
33
Weak
Value
50
Future
40
Past
30
Health
45
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
Speculative/Caution
Key drivers: Low Debt/Equity, Poor F-Score, Forward P/E expansion, Earnings surprise misses
Confidence
85%
Value
50/100

Trades between Graham Number ($8.86) and Intrinsic Value ($16.81).

Positives
  • P/E is lower than sector average
Watchpoints
  • Price is above Graham Number
  • High Price/Sales ratio (8.72)
Future
40/100

Growth is high currently, but forward-looking multiples are unsustainable.

Positives
  • High YoY Revenue and Earnings growth
Watchpoints
  • Forward P/E suggests earnings collapse
  • Poor earnings surprise history
Past
30/100

Long-term price performance is negative with a history of missing estimates.

Positives
  • Recent 1Y price return of +10.8%
Watchpoints
  • 5Y change is -31.6%
  • Chronic earnings misses over 20 quarters
Health
45/100

Balance sheet is pristine, but operational health (F-Score) is poor.

Positives
  • Very low Debt/Equity (0.05)
  • Current Ratio > 1.0
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 (Weak)
Dividend
0/100

Dividend Strength 0/100.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$11.08

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PCYO and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-16
PCY
Pure Cycle Corporation
Primary
5Y
-31.6%
3Y
+15.9%
1Y
+10.8%
6M
+0.6%
1M
+6.2%
1W
-6.5%
GWR
Global Water Resources, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-48.2%
3Y
-33.0%
1Y
-19.1%
6M
-23.3%
1M
+4.6%
1W
-0.3%
ART
Artesian Resources Corporation
Peer
5Y
-11.1%
3Y
-31.8%
1Y
+5.2%
6M
+1.1%
1M
-0.2%
1W
-3.0%
DGX
Digi Power X Inc.
Peer
5Y
-53.2%
3Y
+31.9%
1Y
+125.8%
6M
-22.4%
1M
-21.2%
1W
+5.9%
OPA
OPAL Fuels Inc.
Peer
5Y
-74.9%
3Y
-67.2%
1Y
+82.2%
6M
-11.5%
1M
-9.9%
1W
-1.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
19.44
Forward P/E
123.11
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
1.81
P/S Ratio
8.72
EV/Revenue
8.82
EV/EBITDA
19.03
Market Cap
$267.07M

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin 45.8%
Operating Margin 5.09%
Gross Margin 64.85%
ROE 9.91%
ROA 4.71%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth +29.4%
Earnings Growth +52.8%
Q/Q Revenue Growth +29.39%
Q/Q Earnings Growth +36.6%

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
0.05
Low debt
Current Ratio
1.39
Good
Quick Ratio
0.76
Poor
Cash/Share
$0.2

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q1 2026

Revenue
$0.0B
Gross Margin
53.9%
Op. Margin
5.1%
Net Margin
21.4%
Total Assets
$0.2B
Liabilities
$0.0B
Equity
$0.1B
Debt/Equity
0.12x
Operating CF
$-0.0B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$-0.0B
FCF Yield
175%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-07-08
$N/A
2017-01-04
$-0.01
+32.8% surprise
2015-11-06
$-0.04
-305.0% surprise
2015-07-08
$N/A

Utilities Sector Comparison

Comparing PCYO against 36 companies in the Utilities sector (2 bullish, 21 neutral, 13 bearish)
P/E Ratio
19.44
This Stock
vs
27.96
Sector Avg
-30.5% (Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
9.91%
This Stock
vs
-6.77%
Sector Avg
-246.5% (Below Avg)
Profit Margin
45.8%
This Stock
vs
4.34%
Sector Avg
+955.5% (Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.05
This Stock
vs
1.48
Sector Avg
-96.4% (Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
29.4%
This Stock
vs
18.79%
Sector Avg
+56.5% (Fast Growth)
Current Ratio
1.39
This Stock
vs
1.24
Sector Avg
+11.8% (Better)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

BEIRNE PATRICK J
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
SHEETS JEFFREY G
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
FENDEL FREDERICK A. III
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
KOZLOWSKI DANIEL R
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
ABEL WANDA J
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
ROLLER DANIEL J
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
HEITMANN SUSAN DIANE
Director
Stock Award
2026-01-14
2,653 shares
HARDING MARK W
Chief Executive Officer
Gift
2026-01-12
210,000 shares
BEIRNE PATRICK J
Director
Option Exercise
2025-11-17
10,000 shares · $40,500
KOZLOWSKI DANIEL R
Director and Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
Sell
2025-11-17
68,778 shares · $757,108
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-04-09

PCYO filed a current report on April 9, 2026, likely announcing its annual or quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-04-08

PCYO filed its quarterly 10-Q report on April 8, 2026. The provided excerpts do not contain specific financial highlights or detailed risk factor descriptions.

8-K
8-K
2026-01-16
8-K
8-K
2026-01-08
10-Q
10-Q
2026-01-07

PCYO filed its quarterly 10-Q report on January 7, 2026. Due to the absence of provided excerpts, specific financial highlights and risk factors are unavailable for summary.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-12-04

PCYO filed a definitive proxy statement (DEF 14A) on December 4, 2025, providing shareholders with information required to vote on company matters.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-13

PCYO filed a current report on November 13, 2025, likely announcing its third-quarter financial results.

10-K
10-K
2025-11-12

PCYO filed its annual 10-K report on November 12, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available metadata.

8-K
8-K
2025-07-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-07-09

PCYO filed its quarterly 10-Q report on July 9, 2025. Specific financial highlights and risk factors were not provided in the available filing metadata.

8-K
8-K
2025-04-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-04-09
8-K
8-K
2025-01-17
8-K
8-K
2025-01-10
10-Q
10-Q
2025-01-08
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PCYO from our newsroom.

Newest → oldest
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