PCAR
NEUTRAL
$127.2
Live
PACCAR Inc · NASDAQ
Target $127.96
(+0.6%)
$84.65
52W Range
$131.88
At a glance
Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.
Updated Apr 28, 2026
Market cap
$66.89B
P/E
28.2
ROE
12.9%
Profit margin
8.4%
Debt/Equity
0.82
Dividend yield
1.04%
AI Analysis
AI-powered fundamental assessment
Confidence
85%
PACCAR exhibits strong fundamental health with a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 and robust liquidity ratios, yet it faces a severe valuation disconnect. The current price of $127.20 trades at a significant premium to both the Graham Number ($61.0) and the growth-based Intrinsic Value ($31.57). While the balance sheet is a fortress, the company is currently grappling with sharp declines in YoY revenue (-13.7%) and earnings (-35.9%), coupled with bearish insider activity from the CEO and CFO.
Key Strengths
Strong financial health indicated by a Piotroski F-Score of 7/9
Excellent liquidity with a Current Ratio of 2.17 and Quick Ratio of 1.94
Conservative dividend payout ratio (29.27%) ensuring sustainability
Consistent track record of beating earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
Manageable leverage with a Debt/Equity ratio of 0.82
Key Risks
Severe valuation premium compared to defensive fair value (Graham Number)
Significant contraction in growth with YoY earnings down 35.9%
Bearish insider sentiment with multiple C-suite sell transactions
Weak technical trend (10/100) suggesting short-term momentum loss
High P/E ratio (28.20) relative to current negative growth trajectory
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$78.5
-38.3% below current price
Performance Snowflake
Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories
Overall
60
Strong
30
35
85
90
60
AI Verdict
Fundamentally sound but overvalued and slowing
Key drivers: Strong balance sheet, Negative growth metrics, Extreme valuation gap
Confidence
90%
Value
30/100
Ref P/E 28.20, Graham Number $61.0
Positives
- Forward P/E (18.76) is lower than trailing P/E
Watchpoints
- Price is 108% above Graham Number
- Price is 300% above Intrinsic Value formula
Future
35/100
Ref Growth rates
Positives
- Analyst target price ($127.96) suggests stability
Watchpoints
- Revenue growth -13.70% YoY
- Earnings growth -35.90% YoY
Past
85/100
Ref Historical trends
Positives
- 5Y Change of +153.3%
- Strong history of earnings surprises
Watchpoints
- Recent quarterly earnings progression is trending downward
Health
90/100
Ref Piotroski F-Score
Positives
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
- Strong Current/Quick ratios
Watchpoints
- Altman Z-Score not provided
Dividend
60/100
Ref Yield, Payout
Positives
- Low payout ratio (29.27%)
Watchpoints
- Low dividend yield (1.04%)
Stock Price & Analyst Targets
Real-time price movements and analyst price targets
Current Price
$127.2
Analyst Target
$127.96
Upside/Downside
+0.6%
Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers
Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PCAR and closest competitors.
Updated 2026-04-27
| Company | 5Y | 3Y | 1Y | 6M | 1M | 1W |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc
Primary
|
+153.3% | +90.2% | +41.8% | +28.2% | +12.8% | -0.9% |
|
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
Peer
|
+120.4% | +68.9% | +1.2% | -14.9% | -5.1% | +2.0% |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc.
Peer
|
+125.6% | +98.6% | +29.8% | +39.8% | +9.3% | -2.3% |
|
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
Peer
|
+524.9% | +199.4% | +32.7% | +24.6% | -1.8% | -3.5% |
|
CNI
Canadian National Railway Company
Peer
|
+15.4% | +2.8% | +19.6% | +21.0% | +12.5% | +3.9% |
PCA
PACCAR Inc
Primary
5Y
+153.3%
3Y
+90.2%
1Y
+41.8%
6M
+28.2%
1M
+12.8%
1W
-0.9%
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+120.4%
3Y
+68.9%
1Y
+1.2%
6M
-14.9%
1M
-5.1%
1W
+2.0%
CMI
Cummins Inc.
Peer
5Y
+125.6%
3Y
+98.6%
1Y
+29.8%
6M
+39.8%
1M
+9.3%
1W
-2.3%
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
Peer
5Y
+524.9%
3Y
+199.4%
1Y
+32.7%
6M
+24.6%
1M
-1.8%
1W
-3.5%
CNI
Canadian National Railway Company
Peer
5Y
+15.4%
3Y
+2.8%
1Y
+19.6%
6M
+21.0%
1M
+12.5%
1W
+3.9%
Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.
Historical Performance Trends
Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns
Revenue & Net Income
Profit & Operating Margins
Return on Equity (ROE)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)
Valuation Metrics
Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators
P/E Ratio
28.2
Forward P/E
18.76
PEG Ratio
1.27
P/B Ratio
3.47
P/S Ratio
2.35
EV/Revenue
2.58
EV/EBITDA
21.45
Market Cap
$66.89B
Profitability
Profit margins and return metrics
Profit Margin
8.35%
Operating Margin
9.21%
Gross Margin
14.01%
ROE
12.92%
ROA
4.37%
Growth
Revenue and earnings growth rates
Revenue Growth
-13.7%
Earnings Growth
-35.9%
Q/Q Revenue Growth
-13.74%
Q/Q Earnings Growth
-36.1%
Financial Health
Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics
Debt/Equity
0.82
Moderate
Current Ratio
2.17
Strong
Quick Ratio
1.94
Excellent
Cash/Share
$17.6
Financial Statement Flow
Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025
Revenue
$6.8B
Gross Margin
15.6%
Op. Margin
8.8%
Net Margin
8.2%
Total Assets
$44.3B
Liabilities
$25.1B
Equity
$19.3B
Debt/Equity
1.30x
Operating CF
$1.1B
CapEx
$-0.4B
Free Cash Flow
$0.8B
FCF Yield
68%
Quarterly Earnings History
EPS performance vs analyst estimates
2026-04-28
$N/A
2026-01-27
$1.06
+0.5% surprise
2025-10-21
$1.12
+3.9% surprise
2025-07-22
$1.37
+4.3% surprise
Industrials Sector Comparison
Comparing PCAR against 469 companies in the Industrials sector
(39 bullish, 174 neutral, 256 bearish)
P/E Ratio
28.2
This Stock
vs
98.24
Sector Avg
-71.3%
(Discount)
Return on Equity (ROE)
12.92%
This Stock
vs
-19.38%
Sector Avg
-166.7%
(Below Avg)
Profit Margin
8.35%
This Stock
vs
6.65%
Sector Avg
+25.5%
(Superior)
Debt to Equity
0.82
This Stock
vs
2.63
Sector Avg
-68.9%
(Less Debt)
Revenue Growth
-13.7%
This Stock
vs
71.29%
Sector Avg
-119.2%
(Slower)
Current Ratio
2.17
This Stock
vs
3.09
Sector Avg
-29.8%
(Weaker)
Similar Companies
Peer comparison within the same industry
| Company | AI Rating | Market Cap | P/E | ROE | Profit Margin | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PCAR
PACCAR Inc
|
NEUTRAL | $66.89B | 28.2 | 12.9% | 8.4% | $127.2 | |
|
RSG
Republic Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.95B | 31.17 | 18.2% | 12.8% | $209.8 | Compare |
|
CMI
Cummins Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.53B | 23.98 | 22.8% | 7.9% | $462.61 | Compare |
|
PWR
Quanta Services, Inc.
|
NEUTRAL | $64.02B | 63.69 | 13.4% | 3.7% | $429.3 | Compare |
|
CNI
Canadian National Railway Company
|
NEUTRAL | $70.07B | 20.69 | 22.1% | 27.3% | $114.6 | Compare |
PCAR
PACCAR Inc
NEUTRAL
Mkt Cap
$66.9B
P/E
28.2
ROE
12.9%
Price
$127.2
Recent Insider Trading
Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months
| Date | Insider | Position | Transaction | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | BANEY KEVIN D | Officer | Stock Award | 1,736 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | WALTON MICHAEL K | General Counsel | Stock Award | 490 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | RICH JOHN N | Chief Technology Officer | Stock Award | 1,196 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | BOLGAR PAULO HENRIQUE | Officer | Stock Award | 750 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | POPLAWSKI BRICE J | Chief Financial Officer | Stock Award | 646 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | BLOCH LAURA J. | Officer | Stock Award | 1,061 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R | Officer | Stock Award | 633 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON | Chief Executive Officer | Stock Award | 10,125 | - |
| 2026-02-27 | DOZIER CHRISTOPHER MICHAEL | Officer | Stock Award | 1,794 | - |
| 2026-02-12 | POPLAWSKI BRICE J | Chief Financial Officer | Sale | 2,200 | $286,902 |
| 2026-02-12 | POPLAWSKI BRICE J | Chief Financial Officer | Option Exercise | 2,200 | $158,290 |
| 2026-02-11 | GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R | Officer | Sale | 8,748 | $1,128,492 |
| 2026-02-11 | GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R | Officer | Option Exercise | 8,748 | $535,902 |
| 2026-02-09 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON | Chief Executive Officer | Gift | 15,625 | - |
| 2026-02-04 | FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON | Chief Executive Officer | Sale | 9,258 | $1,200,734 |
BANEY KEVIN D
Officer
2026-02-27
1,736 shares
WALTON MICHAEL K
General Counsel
2026-02-27
490 shares
RICH JOHN N
Chief Technology Officer
2026-02-27
1,196 shares
BOLGAR PAULO HENRIQUE
Officer
2026-02-27
750 shares
POPLAWSKI BRICE J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-27
646 shares
BLOCH LAURA J.
Officer
2026-02-27
1,061 shares
GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R
Officer
2026-02-27
633 shares
FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-27
10,125 shares
DOZIER CHRISTOPHER MICHAEL
Officer
2026-02-27
1,794 shares
POPLAWSKI BRICE J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-12
2,200 shares
·
$286,902
POPLAWSKI BRICE J
Chief Financial Officer
2026-02-12
2,200 shares
·
$158,290
GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R
Officer
2026-02-11
8,748 shares
·
$1,128,492
GRYNIEWICZ CRAIG R
Officer
2026-02-11
8,748 shares
·
$535,902
FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-09
15,625 shares
FEIGHT ROBERT PRESTON
Chief Executive Officer
2026-02-04
9,258 shares
·
$1,200,734
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects
SEC Filings
Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database
DEF 14A
10-K
8-K
8-K
10-Q
8-K
10-Q
8-K
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.
Wall Street Analysts
Professional analyst ratings and price targets
Consensus
BUY
17 analysts
Citigroup
2026-04-13
Neutral
Neutral
Freedom Broker
2026-03-26
Buy
Hold
Evercore ISI Group
2026-02-23
Outperform
Outperform
Morgan Stanley
2026-02-03
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
Freedom Broker
2026-01-30
Hold
Hold
Citigroup
2026-01-29
Neutral
Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-01-28
Hold
Hold
Wells Fargo
2026-01-23
Equal-Weight
Equal-Weight
JP Morgan
2026-01-14
Overweight
Overweight
Citigroup
2026-01-13
Neutral
Neutral
Past News Coverage
Recent headlines mentioning PCAR from our newsroom.
Newest → oldest
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