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PTON

BEARISH
$5.1 Live
Peloton Interactive, Inc. · NASDAQ
Target $7.88 (+54.4%)
$3.65 52W Range $9.2

At a glance

Key valuation, profitability, growth, and risk metrics.

Updated Apr 18, 2026
Market cap
$2.17B
P/E
N/A
ROE
N/A
Profit margin
-2.1%
Debt/Equity
N/A
Dividend yield
N/A

AI Analysis

AI-powered fundamental assessment

Confidence
85%
PTON exhibits severe financial distress, highlighted by a weak Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 and a negative Price-to-Book ratio (-6.63), which indicates negative shareholders' equity. While the company maintains a strong gross margin of 51.73% and has recently beaten earnings estimates, these are overshadowed by declining year-over-year revenue growth (-2.60%) and a catastrophic 5-year price decline of 95.3%. The stark divergence between bullish analyst targets ($7.88) and aggressive insider selling suggests a speculative environment rather than a fundamental recovery.

Key Strengths

Strong Gross Margin (51.73%)
Healthy short-term liquidity (Current Ratio 1.98)
Low Price-to-Sales ratio (0.89) suggesting low valuation relative to revenue
Recent trend of beating quarterly earnings estimates (3/4 last 4 quarters)
Positive operating margin (1.72%) indicating a move toward operational break-even

Key Risks

Negative Shareholders' Equity (Price/Book: -6.63)
Critical financial health (Piotroski F-Score: 2/9)
Negative Revenue Growth (-2.60% YoY)
Heavy insider selling with zero buy transactions in 6 months
Severe long-term value destruction (-95.3% 5-year return)
AI Fair Value Estimate
Based on comprehensive analysis
$6.2
+21.6% above current price

Performance Snowflake

Multi-dimensional analysis across 5 key categories

Overall
22
Weak
Value
45
Future
30
Past
15
Health
20
Dividend
0
AI Verdict
High-Risk Speculative
Key drivers: Negative equity, Weak Piotroski score, Declining revenue, Insider divestment
Confidence
90%
Value
45/100

Trades at a discount to sales, but fundamentally 'broken' balance sheet.

Positives
  • Low P/S ratio
  • Forward P/E is reasonable if earnings stabilize
Watchpoints
  • Negative P/B ratio
  • No Graham Number available due to lack of positive earnings/book value
Future
30/100

Revenue growth is stagnant or declining (-2.60%).

Positives
  • Recent EPS surprises are positive
Watchpoints
  • Negative YoY revenue growth
  • Lack of clear growth catalyst
Past
15/100

Long-term performance is among the worst in the sector.

Positives
  • Short-term 1-month price recovery
Watchpoints
  • 95% loss over 5 years
  • Consistent history of EPS misses in 2021-2023
Health
20/100

Piotroski score indicates a high probability of continued financial weakness.

Positives
  • Current ratio above 1.5
Watchpoints
  • Piotroski F-Score of 2/9
  • Negative equity
Dividend
0/100

Non-dividend paying growth/turnaround stock.

Positives
No standout positives identified.
Watchpoints
  • No dividend paid
  • No history of payouts

Stock Price & Analyst Targets

Real-time price movements and analyst price targets

Current Price
$5.1
Analyst Target
$7.88
Upside/Downside
+54.4%

Multi-Horizon Performance vs Peers

Price momentum across 5Y → 1W horizons for PTON and closest competitors.

Updated 2026-04-17
PTO
Peloton Interactive, Inc.
Primary
5Y
-95.3%
3Y
-48.5%
1Y
-5.4%
6M
-32.0%
1M
+25.9%
1W
+10.4%
PEN
PENN Entertainment, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-82.7%
3Y
-43.3%
1Y
+13.1%
6M
-4.6%
1M
+15.5%
1W
+3.1%
MCW
Mister Car Wash, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-65.6%
3Y
-19.0%
1Y
-3.6%
6M
+49.4%
1M
+0.4%
1W
+0.1%
EYE
National Vision Holdings, Inc.
Peer
5Y
-45.7%
3Y
+29.0%
1Y
+136.4%
6M
-6.6%
1M
-4.0%
1W
+7.5%
MLC
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited
Peer
5Y
-71.0%
3Y
-55.9%
1Y
+15.0%
6M
-25.0%
1M
+1.2%
1W
-0.2%

Positive values indicate cumulative gains over the specified period. Comparables pulled from the same sector to highlight whether momentum is stock-specific or industry-wide.

Historical Performance Trends

Long-term financial metrics and growth patterns

Revenue & Net Income

Profit & Operating Margins

Return on Equity (ROE)

Quarterly Revenue Growth

Historical data shows last 12 quarters (3 years)

Valuation Metrics

Key valuation ratios and pricing indicators

P/E Ratio
N/A
Forward P/E
21.94
PEG Ratio
N/A
P/B Ratio
-6.63
P/S Ratio
0.89
EV/Revenue
1.21
EV/EBITDA
16.96
Market Cap
$2.17B

Profitability

Profit margins and return metrics

Profit Margin -2.09%
Operating Margin 1.72%
Gross Margin 51.73%
ROE N/A
ROA 3.88%

Growth

Revenue and earnings growth rates

Revenue Growth -2.6%
Earnings Growth N/A
Q/Q Revenue Growth -2.6%
Q/Q Earnings Growth N/A

Financial Health

Balance sheet strength and liquidity metrics

Debt/Equity
N/A
Current Ratio
1.98
Good
Quick Ratio
1.62
Excellent
Cash/Share
$2.77

Financial Statement Flow

Interactive flow visualization showing how money moves through the company Q4 2025

Revenue
$0.7B
Gross Margin
50.5%
Op. Margin
1.7%
Net Margin
-5.9%
Total Assets
$2.2B
Liabilities
$2.5B
Equity
$-0.3B
Debt/Equity
-7.63x
Operating CF
$0.1B
CapEx
$-0.0B
Free Cash Flow
$0.1B
FCF Yield
99%

Quarterly Earnings History

EPS performance vs analyst estimates

2026-05-07
$N/A
2026-02-05
$-0.03
+41.1% surprise
2025-11-06
$0.06
+504.0% surprise
2025-08-07
$0.11
+479.0% surprise

Consumer Cyclical Sector Comparison

Comparing PTON against 258 companies in the Consumer Cyclical sector (14 bullish, 87 neutral, 157 bearish)
Profit Margin
-2.09%
This Stock
vs
-5.5%
Sector Avg
-62.0% (Weaker)
Revenue Growth
-2.6%
This Stock
vs
15.67%
Sector Avg
-116.6% (Slower)
Current Ratio
1.98
This Stock
vs
2.42
Sector Avg
-18.2% (Weaker)

Similar Companies

Peer comparison within the same industry

Recent Insider Trading

Insider buy and sell transactions from the last 6 months

CALDWELL NICHOLAS V.
Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
42,632 shares · $164,768
CODDINGTON ELIZABETH F
Chief Financial Officer
Sell
2026-03-16
21,819 shares · $84,501
CALDWELL NICHOLAS V.
Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
115,741 shares
CODDINGTON ELIZABETH F
Chief Financial Officer
Stock Award
2026-03-13
21,819 shares
BRUZZO CHRISTOPHER LOREN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
9,023 shares
BOONE KAREN
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
9,023 shares
COMONTE TARA MARGARET
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
8,459 shares
COMONTE TARA MARGARET
Director
Option Exercise
2026-03-09
8,459 shares · $32,652
MENDEZ ANGEL LUIS
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
9,023 shares
THOMAS-GRAHAM PAMELA
Director
Stock Award
2026-03-09
8,459 shares
SANDERS DION CAMP
Officer
Sell
2026-02-20
146,844 shares · $647,934
COTTER JENNIFER CUNNINGHAM
Officer
Sell
2026-02-20
154,497 shares · $681,672
BAIG SAQIB
Officer
Sell
2026-02-18
36,640 shares · $152,588
SANDERS DION CAMP
Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
88,242 shares · $365,040
CALDWELL NICHOLAS V.
Officer
Sell
2026-02-17
50,570 shares · $209,886
Insider transactions can signal confidence or concerns about company prospects

SEC Filings

Recent regulatory filings from the SEC EDGAR database

8-K
8-K
2026-03-17

Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) filed an 8-K on March 17, 2026, likely to announce its third-quarter financial results.

8-K
8-K
2026-03-11
8-K
8-K
2026-02-05

Peloton Interactive, Inc. filed an 8-K, likely to announce its quarterly financial results.

10-Q
10-Q
2026-02-05

Peloton (PTON) filed its quarterly 10-Q report on February 5, 2026. The filing includes a section on risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and detailed risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-12-15
10-Q
10-Q
2025-11-06

Peloton (PTON) filed its quarterly 10-Q report on November 6, 2025. The filing includes a section detailing company risk factors under Item 1A, although specific financial highlights and risk descriptions were not provided in the available excerpt.

8-K
8-K
2025-11-06

Peloton Interactive, Inc. filed an 8-K, likely announcing its quarterly financial results.

DEF 14A
DEF 14A
2025-10-24

Peloton Interactive, Inc. (PTON) filed a definitive proxy statement on October 24, 2025, providing shareholders with necessary information and voting materials for an upcoming meeting.

8-K
8-K
2025-09-16

Peloton Interactive, Inc. filed a current report likely announcing its quarterly financial results.

10-K
10-K
2025-08-07

Peloton filed its 10-K annual report on August 7, 2025, providing a comprehensive overview of its business operations and financial condition. Detailed financial highlights are contained within the Management's Discussion and Analysis, while key operational and strategic risks are outlined in the Risk Factors section.

8-K
8-K
2025-08-07
10-Q
10-Q
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-05-08
8-K
8-K
2025-04-25
8-K
8-K
2025-04-09
Data sourced from SEC EDGAR. AI summaries generated automatically.

Wall Street Analysts

Professional analyst ratings and price targets

Consensus
BUY
16 analysts
Citigroup
2026-02-12
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
JP Morgan
2026-02-06
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Truist Securities
2026-02-06
Maintains
Buy Buy
Macquarie
2026-02-06
Maintains
Outperform Outperform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-02-06
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Telsey Advisory Group
2026-01-29
Maintains
Market Perform Market Perform
Guggenheim
2025-12-10
init
Neutral
Citigroup
2025-11-20
Maintains
Neutral Neutral
Morgan Stanley
2025-11-19
Maintains
Equal-Weight Equal-Weight
Macquarie
2025-11-11
Maintains
Outperform Outperform

Past News Coverage

Recent headlines mentioning PTON from our newsroom.

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